Supermarket Income REIT PLC (SUPR) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Supermarket Income REIT PLC £1.39, price £0.84, upside +65.6%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.5444 – £0.9706 · fair‑value band £0.7200 – £2.71 · the £0.8395 price screens below the £1.39 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Supermarket Income REIT plc, a FTSE 250 company, is the only LSE listed company dedicated to investing in grocery properties which are an essential part of national food infrastructure.
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Supermarket Income REIT plc, a FTSE 250 company, is the only LSE listed company dedicated to investing in grocery properties which are an essential part of national food infrastructure. The Company focuses on grocery stores which are predominantly omnichannel, fulfilling online and in-person sales and are let to leading supermarket operators in the UK and Europe. The portfolio was valued at 1.6 billion as of 30 June 2025. The Company's properties earn long-dated, secure, inflation-linked, growing rental income. SUPR targets a progressive dividend and the potential for long term capital growth. The Company's shares are traded on the LSE's Main Market and on the Main Board of the JSE Limited in South Africa. Supermarket Income REIT plc was incorporated in 2017 in South Africa.
Stock analysis
Supermarket Income REIT PLC (SUPR) currently trades at £0.8395, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £1.39, implying the stock looks roughly 39.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £1.36 per share, and 10 of the 16 models we run sit above the £0.8395 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £0.5900, and 6 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: £0.7200 (bear) to £2.71 (bull), the price of £0.8395 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Supermarket Income REIT PLC reported revenue of £115M in FY2025 versus £49.0M in FY2021, a compound +23.7%/yr. Reported net income was £61.5M in FY2025, compounding −6.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 1.0B GBX · P/E ratio 16.8 · P/S ratio 9.00 · EPS (TTM) £0.0500 · Dividend yield 7.4% · Net margin 53.6% · Return on equity 5.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at 66%, SUPR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £0.7200Fair Value £1.39Bull £2.71
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.95/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+44.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−5.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−12.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.79% → 70%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+12.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +9.7% a year for the price and +1.0% for the forecasts.
Compare Supermarket Income REIT PLC with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Retail · 93 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+66% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6% · Below median
Return on assets3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)57% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)93% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−11% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)7.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.37× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Supermarket Income REIT PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SUPR
Frequently asked questions
Is Supermarket Income REIT PLC (SUPR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £1.39 versus a price of £0.8395, about +66% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SUPR?
Our model-based fair value for Supermarket Income REIT PLC is £1.39 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.8395.
What is the quality score of SUPR?
Supermarket Income REIT PLC has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Supermarket Income REIT PLC (SUPR)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £1.39 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.7200, optimistic scenario £2.71. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Supermarket Income REIT PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £1.39, about +66% upside versus a price of £0.8395 (undervalued). Cautious scenario £0.7200, optimistic scenario £2.71. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Supermarket Income REIT PLC (SUPR)?
Supermarket Income REIT PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £108M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Supermarket Income REIT PLC pay a dividend?
Supermarket Income REIT PLC currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.39% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Supermarket Income REIT PLC (SUPR)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Supermarket Income REIT PLC would have to grow free cash flow by +12.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +34.2 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SUPR use?
Our models discount Supermarket Income REIT PLC at 10.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.59, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Supermarket Income REIT PLC that is +12.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Supermarket Income REIT PLC (SUPR) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Supermarket Income REIT PLC grew +34.2 % a year. The price currently implies +12.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Supermarket Income REIT PLC (SUPR) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Supermarket Income REIT PLC (+12.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Supermarket Income REIT PLC (SUPR)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 6.32 %: that much free cash flow Supermarket Income REIT PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Supermarket Income REIT PLC (SUPR)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Supermarket Income REIT PLC it is £1.39 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of £0.8395. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Supermarket Income REIT PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SUPR trades below its calculated fair value: price £0.8395, fair value £1.39, a gap of about +66% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SUPR?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.8395); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£1.39). For Supermarket Income REIT PLC the two are £0.5505 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Supermarket Income REIT PLC worth?
The market values Supermarket Income REIT PLC at about 1.0B GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is £0.8395; our models calculate a fair value of £1.39 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SUPR?
Our models span a range for Supermarket Income REIT PLC: cautious scenario £0.7200, base £1.39, optimistic £2.71 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price £0.8395). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SUPR?
Supermarket Income REIT PLC trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.8 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of £1.39 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 15.1, P/B 1.3, P/S 12.8, EV/EBITDA 17.2.
What is the PEG ratio of SUPR?
The PEG ratio of Supermarket Income REIT PLC is 15.09 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Supermarket Income REIT PLC (SUPR)?
Balance-sheet figures for Supermarket Income REIT PLC (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 5.5%, debt of 0.37 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SUPR from its 52-week high?
Supermarket Income REIT PLC trades at £0.8395, about 4% below its 52-week high of £0.8731 and 18% above the low of £0.7126 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £1.39 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Supermarket Income REIT PLC?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Simon Property Group, Realty Income Corporation, Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE, Kimco Realty Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Supermarket Income REIT PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price £0.8395, calculated fair value £1.39 (+66%), Quality Score 61/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SUPR calculated?
We run Supermarket Income REIT PLC through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £1.39, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Supermarket Income REIT PLC currently trades 66 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Supermarket Income REIT PLC (SUPR)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was £0.8395. Our model-based fair value is £1.39, about +66% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Supermarket Income REIT PLC right now?
The model range is unusually wide (£0.7200 to £2.71). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Supermarket Income REIT PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of Supermarket Income REIT PLC (SUPR)?
The market capitalisation of Supermarket Income REIT PLC is 1.0B GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Supermarket Income REIT PLC (SUPR)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Supermarket Income REIT PLC is 9.00 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Supermarket Income REIT PLC (SUPR)?
Earnings per share at Supermarket Income REIT PLC are £0.0500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Supermarket Income REIT PLC (SUPR)?
The dividend yield of Supermarket Income REIT PLC is 7.4% (payout 124%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Supermarket Income REIT PLC (SUPR)?
The net margin of Supermarket Income REIT PLC is 53.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Supermarket Income REIT PLC (SUPR)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Supermarket Income REIT PLC is 5.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Supermarket Income REIT PLC (SUPR)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Supermarket Income REIT PLC is 4.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Supermarket Income REIT PLC (SUPR)?
The operating margin of Supermarket Income REIT PLC is 92.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Supermarket Income REIT PLC (SUPR)?
Revenue at Supermarket Income REIT PLC is growing −10.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Supermarket Income REIT PLC (SUPR) carry?
The net debt of Supermarket Income REIT PLC is 508M GBX (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 7.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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