China PengFei Group (3348) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · HK · Market cap HK$660M
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 6, 2026, revised from HK$4.16 to HK$4.17 (+0.2%) since Jul 2, 2026.
A solid business, screening 207% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$3.43). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.5107 – HK$1.46 · fair‑value band HK$3.43 – HK$4.98 · the HK$1.36 price screens below the HK$4.17 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
China PengFei Group (3348) currently trades at HK$1.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$4.17, implying the stock looks roughly 206.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, China PengFei Group generated revenue of HK$1.4B at a net margin of 7.0%. Revenue grew 37.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$604M. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$3.43 (bear case) to HK$4.98 (bull case); at HK$1.36, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 105% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 207%, 3348 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$4.02) versus Dividend Discount (HK$0.4600). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 65 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
China PengFei Group Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells rotary kilns, grinding equipment, and related equipment in the People's Republic of China and internationally.
Full company description
China PengFei Group Limited, an investment holding company, manufactures and sells rotary kilns, grinding equipment, and related equipment in the People's Republic of China and internationally. It offers ball mills, vertical mills, mining mills, raw material mills, air swept coal mills, roller presses, crushers, dust collectors, powder concentrators, and control systems; and spare parts. The company also provides production line construction services comprising design, procurement, construction, and/or trial operations of production lines; installation services; and leases property and equipment. It serves customers in building materials, metallurgy, chemical, and environmental protection industries. The company was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Haian, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
China PengFei Group reported revenue of HK$1.4B in FY2025 versus HK$1.8B in FY2021, a compound −5.9%/yr. Reported net income was HK$101M in FY2025, compounding −2.0%/yr from FY2021.
Watch 3348: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Specialty Industrial Machinery · 810 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Industrial Machinery stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| GE Vernova Inc 1GEV | €967.60 | €212.97 | -78% |
| 1SIE 1SIE | €284.30 | €122.46 | -57% |
| SMNS SMNS | C$31.76 | C$22.68 | -29% |
| Eaton Corporation ETN | $407.28 | $171.92 | -58% |
| Atlas Copco AB ATCOA | kr 195.15 | kr 112.59 | -42% |
| Sandvik AB SAND | kr 384.10 | kr 193.01 | -50% |
| Vestas Wind Systems A/S VWS | kr 178.10 | kr 124.54 | -30% |
| Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co 002050 | ¥43.20 | ¥22.68 | -48% |
| NARI Technology Co 600406 | ¥22.19 | ¥18.71 | -16% |
| Shenzhen Han's CNC Technology Co 301200 | ¥303.01 | ¥37.62 | -88% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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