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Xintec (3374) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Xintec TWD 50.31, price TWD 472, upside -89.3%, quality 51 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Technology · TW · ISIN TW0003374005

X Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Xintec

3374 · TWO

Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value 50.31 TWD · Strongly overvalued (−89%)
!Quality 51/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −0.1 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 18.4% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·0.53% dividend yield
!Trails peers (5/13)
✓Wide moat 65/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 11 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

488.00 TWD 80.05 TWD Fair Value 50.31 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 80.05 TWD – 488.00 TWD · fair‑value band 33.92 TWD – 70.29 TWD · the 472.00 TWD price screens above the 50.31 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Xintec Inc. operates as a wafer level chip scale packaging company in Asia, the United States, and Europe. The company provides wafer level chip scale packaging, wafer-level back cover packaging, and testing services for semiconductors.

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Xintec Inc. operates as a wafer level chip scale packaging company in Asia, the United States, and Europe. The company provides wafer level chip scale packaging, wafer-level back cover packaging, and testing services for semiconductors. It also offers optical sensor chip scale packaging services comprising side-wall interconnect and through silicon via XinTSV, various glass thickness and filters, and glass bonding to wafer with or without cavity; FSI/BSI/stack wafer reconstruction for mobile, automotive, and consumer applications; and specialty RW service with a glass lid for automotive applications. In addition, the company provides micro-electromechanical systems sensor packaging services, such as wafer thinning and bonded wafer partial dicing to reveal bonding pad; CSP, using via last TSV to connect pad on wafer surface toward backside; and dry etching silicon to form large cavities to derive product performance needs; as well as 3D I/O redistribution, power ground enhancement, and dual side connection services. Xintec Inc. was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Taoyuan City, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

Xintec (3374) currently trades at 472.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 50.31 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 838.1% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 117.20 TWD per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the 472.00 TWD price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 24.09 TWD, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 33.92 TWD (bear) to 70.29 TWD (bull), the price of 472.00 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Xintec reported revenue of 7.2B TWD in FY2025 versus 7.7B TWD in FY2021, a compound −1.4%/yr. Reported net income was 1.4B TWD in FY2025, compounding −7.8%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 128B TWD (≈ $4.0B) · P/E ratio 95.4 · P/S ratio 17.8 · EPS (TTM) 4.95 TWD · Dividend yield 0.5% · Net margin 18.7% · Return on equity 14.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 19.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 268% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −17% fair-value upside, at −89%, 3374 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 33.92 TWD Fair Value 50.31 TWD Bull 70.29 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (1.81 TWD per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV 50.59 TWD 57.71 TWD 63.93 TWD 74
ROIC Compounder 52.96 TWD 64.60 TWD 78.27 TWD 72
Residual Income 34.98 TWD 43.19 TWD 91.19 TWD 71
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 33.92 TWD 96.37 TWD 126.95 TWD 65
Lynch FV 19.66 TWD 28.08 TWD 36.51 TWD 61
PEG = 1.0 19.66 TWD 28.08 TWD 36.51 TWD 57
EPV 50.59 TWD 57.71 TWD 63.93 TWD 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 22.95 TWD 47.73 TWD 75.71 TWD 66
DDM Multi-Stage 22.95 TWD 36.51 TWD 50.09 TWD 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple 104.75 TWD 139.66 TWD 174.58 TWD 63
P/S Multiple 63.60 TWD 84.79 TWD 105.99 TWD 58
P/B Multiple 63.60 TWD 84.79 TWD 105.99 TWD 55
EV/EBIT 113.44 TWD 148.62 TWD 183.80 TWD 66
EV/EBITDA 135.80 TWD 178.43 TWD 221.06 TWD 67
EV/Revenue 61.26 TWD 84.12 TWD 106.99 TWD 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 17.98 TWD 24.09 TWD 35.96 TWD 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income 34.98 TWD 43.19 TWD 91.19 TWD 71
ROIC Compounder 52.96 TWD 64.60 TWD 78.27 TWD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 82.04 TWD 117.20 TWD 152.35 TWD 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 9
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 37
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 97
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 22
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 18
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 100
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 98
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 29/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.0% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.4%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−4.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−4.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.5%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.24% → 22%

3374 screens 838% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 335 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −89% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 24% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 24% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.5% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.23× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 95.4× · Priciest 25%
P/B 13.13× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 16.84× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 46.4× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 64
PAST (return on equity)57 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)89 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)11 · sector 18

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $228.87 $197.96 −14%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $452.00 $497.20 +10%
Broadcom Inc AVGO $364.54 $303.52 −17%
SK hynix Inc 000660 1,862,000 KRW 2,048,200 KRW +10%
Micron Technology, Inc MU $1,096 $151.51 −86%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc AMD $623.77 $122.74 −80%
Intel Corporation INTC $123.86 $35.41 −71%
Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN $271.41 $82.09 −70%
Arm Holdings ARM $333.20 $44.44 −87%
QUALCOMM Incorporated QCOM $198.27 $218.10 +10%

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Xintec · Fair Value
50.31 TWD −838%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Xintec Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3374

Frequently asked questions

Is Xintec (3374) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 50.31 TWD versus a price of 472.00 TWD, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 3374?
Our model-based fair value for Xintec is 50.31 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 472.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 3374?
Xintec has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Xintec (3374)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 50.31 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario 33.92 TWD, optimistic scenario 70.29 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Xintec stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 50.31 TWD, about −89% upside versus a price of 472.00 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 33.92 TWD, optimistic scenario 70.29 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Xintec (3374)?
Xintec reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 7.6B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Xintec pay a dividend?
Xintec currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.53% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Xintec (3374)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Xintec it is 50.31 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 472.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Xintec stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 3374 trades above its calculated fair value: price 472.00 TWD, fair value 50.31 TWD, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3374?
No. The price is what the market pays today (472.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (50.31 TWD). For Xintec the two are 421.69 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Xintec worth?
The market values Xintec at about 128B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 472.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 50.31 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3374?
Our models span a range for Xintec: cautious scenario 33.92 TWD, base 50.31 TWD, optimistic 70.29 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 472.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 3374?
Xintec trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 95.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 50.31 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 13.1, P/S 16.8, EV/EBITDA 46.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of Xintec (3374)?
Balance-sheet figures for Xintec (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 14.3%, debt of 0.23 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 51/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3374 from its 52-week high?
Xintec trades at 472.00 TWD, about 3% below its 52-week high of 488.00 TWD and 268% above the low of 128.43 TWD (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 50.31 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Xintec?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, SK hynix Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Xintec stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 472.00 TWD, calculated fair value 50.31 TWD (−89%), Quality Score 51/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3374 calculated?
We run Xintec through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 50.31 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Xintec itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Xintec (3374)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 472.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 50.31 TWD, about −89% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Xintec right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (70.29 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (33.92 TWD to 70.29 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Xintec

How large is the market capitalisation of Xintec (3374)?
The market capitalisation of Xintec is 128B TWD (≈ $4.0B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Xintec (3374)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Xintec is 17.8 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Xintec (3374)?
Earnings per share at Xintec are 4.95 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 95.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Xintec (3374)?
The dividend yield of Xintec is 0.5% (payout 50.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Xintec (3374)?
The net margin of Xintec is 18.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Xintec (3374)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Xintec is 14.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Xintec (3374)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Xintec is 19.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Xintec (3374)?
The operating margin of Xintec is 23.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Xintec (3374)?
Revenue at Xintec is growing +23.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Xintec (3374)?
Earnings per share at Xintec are growing +11.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Xintec (3374) generate?
The free cash flow of Xintec is −1.1B TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Xintec (3374) hold?
Xintec holds more cash than debt, 3.5B TWD net (fiscal year 2023). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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