Advanced Optoelectronic Technology Inc (3437) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · TW · Market cap 2.7B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 23, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Share price −12.8% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 62% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (8.52 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (4.50 TWD to 8.52 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 13.05 TWD – 39.80 TWD · fair‑value band 4.50 TWD – 8.52 TWD · the 18.10 TWD price screens above the 6.81 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 23, 2026.
Analysis
Advanced Optoelectronic Technology Inc (3437) currently trades at 18.10 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 6.81 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 62.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Advanced Optoelectronic Technology Inc generated revenue of 1.5B TWD at a net margin of -27.3%. Revenue declined 23.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -17.3%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 1.1B TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 23, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 4.50 TWD (bear case) to 8.52 TWD (bull case); at 18.10 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 42% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -62%, 3437 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 3 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (9.51 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (4.31 TWD). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Advanced Optoelectronic Technology Inc. engages in the research, development, testing, manufacturing, and sale of LED and other related products in Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Vietnam, the United States, Turkey, and internationally.
Full company description
Advanced Optoelectronic Technology Inc. engages in the research, development, testing, manufacturing, and sale of LED and other related products in Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Vietnam, the United States, Turkey, and internationally. The company offers surface mount light-emitting diodes, light module applications, sensing components, and automotive lighting products; and is involved in the import, export, and trading of raw materials and semi-finished products. Its products are used for backlight application, including television/monitor, mobile device/pads/notebook, industrial control/automotive backlight, and mini products; sensor application, such as wearable and mobile phone products; vehicle application comprising interior and exterior application products; and UV application, which includes UVA solidification, UVB plant factory, and UVA disinfection products. The company was formerly known as Advanced Development Optoelectronics Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Advanced Optoelectronic Technology Inc. in June 2010. Advanced Optoelectronic Technology Inc. was incorporated in 1999 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Advanced Optoelectronic Technology Inc reported revenue of 1.6B TWD in FY2025 versus 4.4B TWD in FY2021, a compound −22.3%/yr. Reported net income was −383M TWD in FY2025.
3437 screens 62% overvalued. Compare with NVIDIA Corporation →
Peer Group
Semiconductors · 318 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 23, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NVIDIA Corporation NVDA | $211.80 | $96.91 | -54% |
| Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM | $398.37 | $207.49 | -48% |
| Broadcom Inc 1AVGO | €367.75 | €121.25 | -67% |
| Micron Technology, Inc 1MU | €784.90 | €185.67 | -76% |
| SK hynix Inc 000660 | 2,082,000 KRW | 1,109,311 KRW | -47% |
| Advanced Micro Devices, Inc 1AMD | €425.20 | €56.33 | -87% |
| Intel Corporation INTC | C$68.40 | C$9.82 | -86% |
| Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN | $311.46 | $59.75 | -81% |
| MediaTek Inc 2454 | 3,740 TWD | 1,163 TWD | -69% |
| SK Square Co 402340 | 1,212,000 KRW | 868,000 KRW | -28% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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