Advanced Analog Technology (3438) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Advanced Analog Technology TWD 21.66, price TWD 61.10, upside -64.6%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 38.30 TWD – 101.99 TWD · fair‑value band 20.29 TWD – 23.79 TWD · the 61.10 TWD price screens above the 21.66 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Advanced Analog Technology, Inc. designs and develops integrated circuits in Taiwan and internationally.
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Advanced Analog Technology, Inc. designs and develops integrated circuits in Taiwan and internationally. The company offers multifunctional PMICs, such as TFT LCDs, AMOLEDs, DSC/DVs, and portable devices; switching regulator, such as boost, buck, buck-boost, and inverting switching regulators; WLED drivers, including backlights and lighting products; and battery management products, such as battery chargers and battery protection products. It also provides audio amps, GPMs, LDOs, and level shifters; and BLDC motor driver products. Its products are used in DSC/DV/drive recorder, PND, and discrete and integrated LCD panel applications. The company was founded in 1999 and is headquartered in Zhubei, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Advanced Analog Technology (3438) currently trades at 61.10 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 21.66 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 182.1% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 30.41 TWD per share, and 0 of the 22 models we run sit above the 61.10 TWD price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 9.61 TWD, and 22 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 20.29 TWD (bear) to 23.79 TWD (bull), the price of 61.10 TWD sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Advanced Analog Technology reported revenue of 1.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 1.6B TWD in FY2021, a compound −10.5%/yr. Reported net income was 47.1M TWD in FY2025, compounding −33.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.9B TWD (≈ $90.7M) · P/E ratio 41.6 · P/S ratio 1.94 · EPS (TTM) 1.47 TWD · Dividend yield 2.5% · Net margin 4.7% · Return on equity 3.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 23% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at −65%, 3438 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 20.29 TWDFair Value 21.66 TWDBull 23.79 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−19.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−22.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.5%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 2%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.7%/yr over ~6Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+39.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +37.2% a year for the price.
Compare Advanced Analog Technology with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 338 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside−65% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3% · Below median
Return on assets0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−12% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.5% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)41.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.35× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)3.15× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF2.1× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA85.5× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 64
PAST (return on equity)12· sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)49· sector 20
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Advanced Analog Technology Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3438
Frequently asked questions
Is Advanced Analog Technology (3438) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 21.66 TWD versus a price of 61.10 TWD, about −65% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 3438?
Our model-based fair value for Advanced Analog Technology is 21.66 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 61.10 TWD.
What is the quality score of 3438?
Advanced Analog Technology has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Advanced Analog Technology (3438)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 21.66 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario 20.29 TWD, optimistic scenario 23.79 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Advanced Analog Technology stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 21.66 TWD, about −65% upside versus a price of 61.10 TWD (overvalued). Cautious scenario 20.29 TWD, optimistic scenario 23.79 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Advanced Analog Technology (3438)?
Advanced Analog Technology reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 916M TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Advanced Analog Technology pay a dividend?
Advanced Analog Technology currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.45% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Advanced Analog Technology (3438)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Advanced Analog Technology would have to grow free cash flow by +39.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -4.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 3438 use?
Our models discount Advanced Analog Technology at 13.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.93, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Advanced Analog Technology that is +39.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Advanced Analog Technology (3438) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Advanced Analog Technology grew -4.6 % a year. The price currently implies +39.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Advanced Analog Technology (3438) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Advanced Analog Technology (+39.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Advanced Analog Technology (3438)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.47 %: that much free cash flow Advanced Analog Technology produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Advanced Analog Technology (3438)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Advanced Analog Technology it is 21.66 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 61.10 TWD. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Advanced Analog Technology stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 3438 trades above its calculated fair value: price 61.10 TWD, fair value 21.66 TWD, a gap of about −65% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3438?
No. The price is what the market pays today (61.10 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (21.66 TWD). For Advanced Analog Technology the two are 39.44 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Advanced Analog Technology worth?
The market values Advanced Analog Technology at about 2.9B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 61.10 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 21.66 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3438?
Our models span a range for Advanced Analog Technology: cautious scenario 20.29 TWD, base 21.66 TWD, optimistic 23.79 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 61.10 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 3438?
Advanced Analog Technology trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 41.6 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 21.66 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.4, P/S 3.1, EV/EBITDA 85.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Advanced Analog Technology (3438)?
Balance-sheet figures for Advanced Analog Technology (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.0%. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3438 from its 52-week high?
Advanced Analog Technology trades at 61.10 TWD, about 23% below its 52-week high of 79.00 TWD and 42% above the low of 43.10 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 21.66 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Advanced Analog Technology?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Advanced Analog Technology stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 61.10 TWD, calculated fair value 21.66 TWD (−65%), Quality Score 52/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3438 calculated?
We run Advanced Analog Technology through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 21.66 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Advanced Analog Technology itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Advanced Analog Technology (3438)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 61.10 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 21.66 TWD, about −65% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Advanced Analog Technology right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (23.79 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Advanced Analog Technology
How large is the market capitalisation of Advanced Analog Technology (3438)?
The market capitalisation of Advanced Analog Technology is 2.9B TWD (≈ $90.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Advanced Analog Technology (3438)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Advanced Analog Technology is 1.94 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Advanced Analog Technology (3438)?
Earnings per share at Advanced Analog Technology are 1.47 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 41.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Advanced Analog Technology (3438)?
The dividend yield of Advanced Analog Technology is 2.5% (payout 102%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Advanced Analog Technology (3438)?
The net margin of Advanced Analog Technology is 4.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Advanced Analog Technology (3438)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Advanced Analog Technology is 3.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Advanced Analog Technology (3438)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Advanced Analog Technology is 5.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Advanced Analog Technology (3438)?
The operating margin of Advanced Analog Technology is 5.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Advanced Analog Technology (3438)?
Revenue at Advanced Analog Technology is growing −12.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Advanced Analog Technology (3438)?
Earnings per share at Advanced Analog Technology are growing −27.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Advanced Analog Technology (3438) hold?
Advanced Analog Technology holds more cash than debt, 380M TWD net (fiscal year 2023). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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