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360 DigiTech Inc. (3660) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · HK · Market cap HK$15.4B

3D 360 DigiTech Inc. 3660 · HK
PriceHK$49.46
Fair ValueHK$101.20
Upside+104.6%
Quality74/100
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Healthy Growth
Highly profitable · 27.5% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
17.34% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (12/14)
Wide moat 82/100
Evidence: High Range HK$75.90 – HK$404.80 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$108.20 to HK$101.20 (−6.5%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price +1.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 105% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (74/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$75.90). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide (HK$75.90 to HK$404.80). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

HK$169.57 HK$42.15 Fair Value HK$101.20 Nov 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

44‑month range HK$42.15 – HK$169.57 · fair‑value band HK$75.90 – HK$404.80 · the HK$49.46 price screens below the HK$101.20 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

360 DigiTech Inc. (3660) currently trades at HK$49.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$101.20, implying the stock looks roughly 104.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 360 DigiTech Inc. generated revenue of HK$18.4B at a net margin of 27.5%. Revenue declined 16.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.3%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 2.9 (as of Jul 2, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$75.90 (bear case) to HK$404.80 (bull case); at HK$49.46, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at 105%, 3660 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$717.72 HK$1,412 HK$2,550 80
Residual Income HK$172.51 HK$238.78 HK$1,590 76
Rev-Margin DCF HK$332.66 HK$491.44 HK$805.87 74
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings HK$387.80 HK$866.19 HK$1,870 31
5Y P/E Exit HK$399.07 HK$758.74 HK$1,229 38
10Y P/E Exit HK$511.34 HK$944.32 HK$1,610 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$167.27 HK$1,166 HK$1,637 54
Lynch FV HK$602.65 HK$860.93 HK$1,119 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM HK$51.96 HK$108.04 HK$171.40 70
DDM Multi-Stage HK$51.96 HK$91.11 HK$113.40 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$239.83 HK$319.77 HK$399.72 63
P/B Multiple HK$103.98 HK$138.65 HK$173.31 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$49.52 HK$66.35 HK$99.03 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$717.72 HK$1,412 HK$2,550 80
Rev-Margin DCF HK$332.66 HK$491.44 HK$805.87 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$172.51 HK$238.78 HK$1,590 76

Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$866.19) versus Asset-Based (HK$66.35). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$18.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) -16.7%
Net margin 27.5%
Return on equity 21.3%
Free cash flow HK$10.8B FY2025
P/E ratio 2.9 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 27.5%
EPS (TTM) HK$21.18
EPS growth (YoY) -43.3%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 74/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26

Profitability 64
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 46
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 98
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 2
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Qfin Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operate AI- driven credit-tech platform under the Qifu Jietiao brand in the People's Republic of China.

Full company description

Qfin Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operate AI- driven credit-tech platform under the Qifu Jietiao brand in the People's Republic of China. The company provides credit-driven services that match borrowers with financial institutions to conduct borrower acquisition, credit assessment, fund matching, and post-facilitation services; and platform services, including loan and post-facilitation services to financial institution partners under capital light model, intelligence credit engine, referral services, and other technology solutions. It serves financial institutions, consumers, and small and micro-enterprises. The company was formerly known as Qifu Technology, Inc. and changed its name to Qfin Holdings, Inc. in July 2025. Qfin Holdings, Inc. was founded in 2016 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

360 DigiTech Inc. reported revenue of HK$19.2B in FY2025 versus HK$16.6B in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$6.0B in FY2025, compounding +0.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 84/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$19.2B
Latest YoY
+11.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.2%
Avg. growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+309.0%
Revenue +3.7%/yr
FY21 HK$16.6B
FY22 HK$16.6B
FY23 HK$16.3B
FY24 HK$17.2B
FY25 HK$19.2B
Net income +0.9%/yr
FY21 HK$5.8B
FY22 HK$4.0B
FY23 HK$4.3B
FY24 HK$6.3B
FY25 HK$6.0B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "360 DigiTech Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3660

Peer Group

Credit Services · 333 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +105% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 21% · Top 25%
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 28% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 27% · Below median
Revenue growth -17% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 17.3% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.07× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Credit Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 2.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.64× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.84× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 1.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 33
FUTURE 0 · sector 39
PAST 85 · sector 31
HEALTH 97 · sector 59
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 58

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Credit Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Visa Inc V $359.42 $198.27 -45%
Mastercard Incorporated MA $561.44 $221.87 -60%
Bajaj Finance Limited BAJFINANCE ₹1,094 ₹397.61 -64%
Shriram Finance Limited SHRIRAMFIN ₹1,117 ₹553.83 -50%
Cholamandalam Investment and Finance Company CHOLAFIN ₹1,918 ₹796.52 -58%
Tata Capital Limited TATACAP ₹367.05 ₹149.40 -59%
Power Finance Corporation PFC ₹376.50 ₹615.85 +64%
Muthoot Finance Limited MUTHOOTFIN ₹2,876 ₹3,429 +19%
Indian Railway Finance Corporation IRFC ₹88.35 ₹69.72 -21%
REC Limited RECLTD ₹346.00 ₹692.00 +100%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 360 DigiTech Inc. (3660) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$101.20 versus a price of HK$49.46, about +105% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 3660?
Our model-based fair value for 360 DigiTech Inc. is HK$101.20 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$49.46.
What is the quality score of 3660?
360 DigiTech Inc. has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of 360 DigiTech Inc. (3660)?
360 DigiTech Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$18.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 3660?
The net profit margin of 360 DigiTech Inc. is about 27.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 27.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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