Yancoal Australia Ltd (3668) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · HK · Market cap HK$39.1B

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$24.22 – HK$47.40 · fair‑value band HK$24.77 – HK$41.28 · the HK$30.92 price screens below the HK$33.02 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

Yancoal Australia Ltd (3668) currently trades at HK$30.92, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$33.02, implying the stock looks roughly 6.8% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Yancoal Australia Ltd generated revenue of HK$6.0B at a net margin of 7.3%. Revenue declined 11.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$2.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$24.77 (bear case) to HK$41.28 (bull case); at HK$30.92, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 7%, 3668 screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Yancoal Australia Ltd engages in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of metallurgical and thermal coal in Australia, China, Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, Thailand, Vietnam, Malaysia, India, Europe, Israel, Chile, Indonesia, Cambodia, and Bangladesh.

Full company description

Yancoal Australia Ltd engages in the exploration, development, production, and marketing of metallurgical and thermal coal in Australia, China, Japan, Taiwan, South Korea, Thailand, Vietnam, Malaysia, India, Europe, Israel, Chile, Indonesia, Cambodia, and Bangladesh. The company owns a 98.75% interest in the Moolarben coal mine located in the Western Coalfields of New South Wales; an 83.6% interest in the Mount Thorley and Warkworth mines located in the Hunter Valley region of New South Wales; and 51% interest in the Hunter Valley Operations located to the north-west of Singleton in the Hunter Valley region of New South Wales. It also holds 100% interests in the Yarrabee mine located to the northeast of Blackwater in Central Queensland's Bowen Basin; Donaldson located in the Hunter Valley; Ashton mine located in the Upper Hunter Valley region of New South Wales; and Stratford Duralie mine located within the New South Wales Gloucester Basin, the Stratford Duralie. In addition, the company owns Middlemount mine located to the northeast of Emerald in Queensland's Bowen Basin; Premier Coal located in Collie, Western Australia; and Austar and Cameby Downs, and other interests located in New South Wales, Queensland, and Western Australia. The company was incorporated in 2004 and is based in Sydney, Australia. Yancoal Australia Ltd is a subsidiary of Yankuang Energy Group Company Limited.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Yancoal Australia Ltd reported revenue of HK$5.9B in FY2025 versus HK$5.4B in FY2021, a compound +2.1%/yr. Reported net income was HK$440M in FY2025, compounding −13.6%/yr from FY2021.

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Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.