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NNK Group Ltd (3773) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · HK · Market cap HK$954M

NG NNK Group Ltd 3773 · HK
PriceHK$2.61
Fair ValueHK$1.37
Upside-47.5%
Quality73/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 18.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Moderate moat 56/100
Evidence: High Range HK$1.02 – HK$1.71 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 23 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +4.0% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 48% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$1.71). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

HK$3.35 HK$0.3600 Fair Value HK$1.37 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range HK$0.3600 – HK$3.35 · fair‑value band HK$1.02 – HK$1.71 · the HK$2.61 price screens above the HK$1.37 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

NNK Group Ltd (3773) currently trades at HK$2.61, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$1.37, implying the stock looks roughly 47.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, NNK Group Ltd generated revenue of HK$153M at a net margin of 18.7%. Revenue grew 27.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of HK$43.7M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from HK$1.02 (bear case) to HK$1.71 (bull case); at HK$2.61, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 118% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -48%, 3773 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF HK$3.05 HK$4.18 HK$5.58 80
Residual Income HK$0.6500 HK$0.6800 HK$0.7300 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.6800 HK$0.7500 HK$0.8100 72
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF HK$3.04 HK$4.34 HK$6.07 38
Owner Earnings HK$0.8700 HK$1.19 HK$1.61 31
5Y Revenue Exit HK$1.50 HK$1.79 HK$2.10 39
5Y EBITDA Exit HK$1.70 HK$2.17 HK$2.68 41
5Y P/E Exit HK$1.93 HK$2.60 HK$3.27 38
10Y Revenue Exit HK$2.10 HK$2.50 HK$2.96 36
10Y EBITDA Exit HK$2.22 HK$2.75 HK$3.36 37
10Y P/E Exit HK$2.36 HK$3.02 HK$3.78 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd HK$0.4700 HK$1.49 HK$1.99 54
Lynch FV HK$0.3300 HK$0.4700 HK$0.6100 50
PEG = 1.0 HK$0.3300 HK$0.4700 HK$0.6100 46
EPV HK$0.6800 HK$0.7500 HK$0.8100 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple HK$1.14 HK$1.52 HK$1.90 63
P/S Multiple HK$0.3300 HK$0.4400 HK$0.5500 58
P/B Multiple HK$0.8800 HK$1.17 HK$1.47 55
EV/EBIT HK$1.18 HK$1.52 HK$1.85 53
EV/EBITDA HK$0.9000 HK$1.13 HK$1.37 54
EV/Revenue HK$0.4900 HK$0.6300 HK$0.7600 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) HK$0.4100 HK$0.5500 HK$0.8200 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF HK$3.05 HK$4.18 HK$5.58 80
Economic Profit
Residual Income HK$0.6500 HK$0.6800 HK$0.7300 76
ROIC Compounder HK$0.6800 HK$0.7500 HK$0.8100 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E HK$0.9400 HK$1.35 HK$1.75 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF (HK$4.18) versus Earnings-Based (HK$0.4700). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$153M
Revenue growth (YoY) +27.4%
Net margin 18.7%
Return on equity 8.8%
Free cash flow HK$126M FY2025
P/E ratio 28.8 as of Jul 2, 2026
More key figures
Operating margin 20.3%
EPS (TTM) HK$0.0300
EPS growth (YoY) +52.6%
Net cash HK$43.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 85

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 83
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 89
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 94
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Yinsheng Digifavor Company Limited provides mobile and data usage top-up services to mobile subscribers in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Top Up Services and Digital Marketing Services segments. It offers a 007ka Top-up Platform that processes mobile top-up request received from mobile users.

Full company description

Yinsheng Digifavor Company Limited provides mobile and data usage top-up services to mobile subscribers in the People's Republic of China. The company operates through Top Up Services and Digital Marketing Services segments. It offers a 007ka Top-up Platform that processes mobile top-up request received from mobile users. It provides mobile top-up services through electronic banking systems, offline channels, third-party online platforms, the company's websites, and Wechat public account. The company also engages in provision of mobile charges and all-in-one live streaming services; technical development; and sale of consultation packages and products related to diabetes, as well as value-added services. The company was formerly known as NNK Group Limited and changed its name to Yinsheng Digifavor Company Limited in July 2023. Yinsheng Digifavor Company Limited was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, the People's Republic of China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NNK Group Ltd reported revenue of HK$153M in FY2025 versus HK$90.6M in FY2021, a compound +14.0%/yr. Reported net income was HK$28.7M in FY2025, compounding +2.0%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 94/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
HK$153M
Latest YoY
+22.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+21.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.5%
Avg. growth/yr (13Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.6%
Revenue +14.0%/yr
FY21 HK$90.6M
FY22 HK$86.4M
FY23 HK$90.3M
FY24 HK$126M
FY25 HK$153M
Net income +2.0%/yr
FY21 HK$26.5M
FY22 HK$27.3M
FY23 HK$16.4M
FY24 HK$31.9M
FY25 HK$28.7M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −3.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share −7.6 pp

of which total revenue −5.4 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.1 pp

EBIT margin −2.1 pp
Tax rate −0.8 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +6.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

3773 screens 48% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NNK Group Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3773

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 369 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −48% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 20% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 27% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 28.8× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.81× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 6.23× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 27.3× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 48
PAST 35 · sector 14
HEALTH 99 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 29

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

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Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS €358.00 €93.61 -74%
Block, Inc XYZ A$111.01 A$70.69 -36%
Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 ¥67.70 ¥30.89 -54%
Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS ₹11,679 ₹6,897 -41%
360 Security Technology Inc 601360 ¥9.58 ¥1.05 -89%
One97 Communications Limited PAYTM ₹1,610 ₹241.68 -85%
PT GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk GOTO 50.00 IDR 20.41 IDR -59%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NNK Group Ltd (3773) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$1.37 versus a price of HK$2.61, about −48% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 3773?
Our model-based fair value for NNK Group Ltd is HK$1.37 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$2.61.
What is the quality score of 3773?
NNK Group Ltd has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of NNK Group Ltd (3773)?
NNK Group Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$153M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 3773?
The net profit margin of NNK Group Ltd is about 18.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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