Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd (3828) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 11, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd stock HK$2.01, price HK$0.67, upside +200.0%, quality 64 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range HK$0.2151 – HK$0.9714 · fair‑value band HK$1.51 – HK$2.51 · the HK$0.6700 price screens below the HK$2.01 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Ming Fai International Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the manufacture and trading of hospitality supplies, and trading of operating supplies and equipment in Hong Kong, North America, Europe, China, Australia, other Asia Pacific regions, and internationally.
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It operates through three segments: Hospitality Supplies Business, OS&E Business, and Health Care and Hygienic Products Business.
It offers room and bathing facility products, including body washes, shampoos, conditioners, body lotions, and hand soaps; guest room amenities solutions, such as tea boxes, notepads, trash bins, resin items, acrylic products, umbrellas, protective pads, vanity mirrors, ironing boards, and leather goods; and guest room appliances comprising safe boxes, electronic scales, refrigerators, electric kettles, telephones, hairdryers, irons, flashlights, and players.
The company also provides lobby supplies, including signage, luggage carts, ashtray pillars, railing stands, trash bins, and floor mats; cleaning supplies, such as cleaning equipment, tools, and agents; and outdoor furniture comprising leisure chairs, loungers, hammocks, swings, and sun umbrellas.
In addition, it provides linens and bedding solutions, including towels, bathrobes, tablecloths, bedsheets, blankets, pillows, work shoes, and accessories; ceramic solutions, such as porcelain sets, teacups, coffee utensils, glazed ceramics, Japanese and Korean ceramics, clay and stone pots, and earthenware; catering solutions comprising buffet stove and table arrangement solutions, catering consumables, and bakery supplies; kitchenware, including cutlery, pots, and Chinese kitchen cookware and utensils; and health care and hygienic products.
Further, it is involved in the provision of professional solutions in product design, corporate branding, gifts and premiums, and event management services. Ming Fai International Holdings Limited was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Tsuen Wan, Hong Kong.
Stock analysis
Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd (3828) currently trades at HK$0.6700, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$2.01, implying the stock looks roughly 67% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of HK$3.58 per share, and 26 of the 26 models we run sit above the HK$0.6700 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at HK$1.13, and 0 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: HK$1.51 (bear) to HK$2.51 (bull), the price of HK$0.6700 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd reported revenue of HK$2.2B in FY2025 versus HK$1.4B in FY2021, a compound +11.7%/yr. Reported net income was HK$101M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap HK$485M (≈ $61.8M) Micro · P/E ratio 5.5 · P/S ratio 0.25 · Dividend yield 9.7% · Net margin 4.5% · Return on equity 6.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.4% (5-year average) · Operating margin 3.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −30% fair-value upside, at 200%, 3828 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
BearHK$1.51Fair Value HK$2.01BullHK$2.51
Price HK$0.6700 · Upside +200.0%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.76/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.7% a year
Revenue growth 21 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+12.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)9.7%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.2.9% vs −1.0%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 5%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain.
Compare Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Household & Personal Products · 242 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score64 · Above median
Fair Value upside+200.0% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.3% · Below median
Return on assets5.0% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)3.6% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)3.5% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)12.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (12 months)9.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3828
Frequently asked questions
Is Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd (3828) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$2.01 versus a price of HK$0.6700, about +200% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 3828?
Our model-based fair value for Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd is HK$2.01 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: HK$0.6700.
What is the quality score of 3828?
Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd (3828)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of HK$2.01 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario HK$1.51, optimistic scenario HK$2.51. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at HK$2.01, about +200% upside versus a price of HK$0.6700 (undervalued). Cautious scenario HK$1.51, optimistic scenario HK$2.51. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd (3828)?
Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.4B (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd pay a dividend?
Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 9.70% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd (3828) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd pays a dividend of HK$0.065 per share a year, a dividend yield of 9.7%. The last ex-dividend date was Sep 15, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2008. The payout ratio is 47.4% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 3.77 times. Our assessment: Well covered. A low payout and the dividend is fully funded by free cash flow, a comfortable, sustainable dividend.
What growth is priced into Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd (3828)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +10.6 % per year. Calculated on free cash flow for fiscal year 2025. Over the last twelve months it was negative, so the figure above is uncertain. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 3828 use?
Our models discount Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.40, country premium for Hong Kong. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd that is less than minus 40 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd (3828) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd grew +10.6 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of less than minus 40 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd (3828) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd (less than minus 40 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd (3828)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 37.06 % in the last fiscal year (free cash flow was negative over the last twelve months): that much free cash flow Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd (3828)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd it is HK$2.01 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of HK$0.6700. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, 3828 trades below its calculated fair value: price HK$0.6700, fair value HK$2.01, a gap of about +200% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3828?
No. The price is what the market pays today (HK$0.6700); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (HK$2.01). For Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd the two are HK$1.34 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd worth?
The market values Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd at about HK$485M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is HK$0.6700; our models calculate a fair value of HK$2.01 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3828?
Our models span a range for Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd: cautious scenario HK$1.51, base HK$2.01, optimistic HK$2.51 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price HK$0.6700). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 3828?
Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 5.5 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of HK$2.01 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 9 fiscal years (2016 to 2025), reported earnings: 6.2. Other multiples: PEG 0.2, P/B 0.4, P/S 0.2.
What is the PEG ratio of 3828?
The PEG ratio of Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd is 0.25 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd (3828)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 6.3%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3828 from its 52-week high?
Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd trades at HK$0.6700, about 30% below its 52-week high of HK$0.9619 and 6% above the low of HK$0.6350 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of HK$2.01 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Colgate-Palmolive Company, Hindustan Unilever Limited, The Estée Lauder Companies Inc, Henkel AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price HK$0.6700, calculated fair value HK$2.01 (+200%), Quality Score 64/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3828 calculated?
We run Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of HK$2.01 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0% above its aggregate fair value. Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd currently trades 67% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd (3828)?
The closing price on Nov 11, 2026 was HK$0.6700. Our model-based fair value is HK$2.01, about +200% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (HK$1.51). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (64/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd (3828) come from?
Earnings per share at Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd grew +0.4 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +3.0 %, EBIT margin +1.1 %, tax rate −0.4 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −3.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd (3828)?
The market capitalisation of Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd is HK$485M (≈ $61.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd (3828)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd is 0.25 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd (3828)?
The dividend yield of Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd is 9.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd (3828)?
The net margin of Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd is 4.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd (3828)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd is 6.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd (3828)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd is 4.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd (3828)?
The operating margin of Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd is 3.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd (3828)?
Revenue at Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd is growing +12.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd (3828)?
Earnings per share at Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd are growing −31.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd (3828) hold?
Ming Fai International Holdings Ltd holds more cash than debt, HK$407M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Thin data
Nov 8, 2026