3833 (3833) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · Market cap HK$3.0B

3 3833 3833 · HK

PriceHK$1.38

Fair ValueHK$3.90

Upside+182.6%

Quality44/100

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Evidence: Medium Range HK$2.93 – HK$4.32

Fair value as of: Jul 2, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated today

Share price −31.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

12‑month range HK$0.9121 – HK$3.50 · fair‑value band HK$2.93 – HK$4.32 · the HK$1.38 price screens below the HK$3.90 fair value. As of Jul 2, 2026.

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Analysis

3833 (3833) currently trades at HK$1.38, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$3.90 — implying the stock looks roughly 182.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, 3833 generated revenue of HK$2.6B at a net margin of 7.6%. Revenue grew 17.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 2.5%. Net debt stands at HK$1.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 2, 2026

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) HK$2.6B

Revenue growth (YoY) +17.6%

Net margin 7.6%

Return on equity 2.5%

Free cash flow −HK$269M FY2025

P/E ratio 13.8

More key figures

Operating margin 13.1%

Dividend yield 3.6%

EPS growth (YoY) +214%

Net debt HK$1.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 2, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

3833 reported revenue of HK$2.4B in FY2025 versus HK$2.4B in FY2021, a compound +0.6%/yr. Reported net income was HK$189M in FY2025, compounding −22.2%/yr from FY2021.

Revenue +0.6%/yr

FY21 HK$2.4B

FY22 HK$2.9B

FY23 HK$2.0B

FY24 HK$2.3B

FY25 HK$2.4B

Net income −22.2%/yr

FY21 HK$516M

FY22 HK$745M

FY23 HK$163M

FY24 HK$186M

FY25 HK$189M

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Similar stocks

6 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 2, 2026).

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHP	$85.78	$60.26	-30%
Rio Tinto Group RTNTF	$129.57	$76.59	-41%
RIO RIO	A$184.58	A$454.52	+146%
Grupo México, S.A. GMBXF	$11.89	$9.58	-19%
CMOC Group CMCLY	$148.88	$119.76	-20%
Vale S.A VALEN	260.19 MXN	124.80 MXN	-52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is 3833 (3833) undervalued?

As of Jul 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of HK$3.90 versus a price of HK$1.38 — about +183% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.

What is the fair value of 3833?

Our model-based fair value for 3833 is HK$3.90 (as of Jul 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is HK$1.38.

What is the quality score of 3833?

3833 has a Quality Score of 44/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

What is the revenue of 3833 (3833)?

3833 reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about HK$2.6B (latest available figure, as of Jul 2, 2026).

What is the net profit margin of 3833?

The net profit margin of 3833 is about 7.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

Does 3833 pay a dividend?

3833 currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.60% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 2, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.