Jiaxin Intl Resources Invest (3858) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · HK · Market cap HK$26.2B
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 3 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from HK$12.42 to HK$10.48 (−15.6%) since Aug 6, 2026. Share price +19.6% over the past month.
A strong business, but screening 82% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- A high-quality business (quality 78/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (HK$13.10). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
12‑month range HK$26.90 – HK$151.50 · fair‑value band HK$7.73 – HK$13.10 · the HK$58.80 price screens above the HK$10.48 fair value. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
Jiaxin Intl Resources Invest (3858) currently trades at HK$58.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is HK$10.48, implying the stock looks roughly 82.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 78/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Jiaxin Intl Resources Invest generated revenue of HK$1.1B at a net margin of 28.7%. It earns a return on equity of 39.5%. Net debt stands at HK$241M. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 70.2 (as of Jul 2, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from HK$7.73 (bear case) to HK$13.10 (bull case); at HK$58.80, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 158% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -42% fair-value upside, at -82%, 3858 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (HK$11.56) versus Asset-Based (HK$2.36). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Notify me when 3858 reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 74 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Jiaxin International Resources Investment Limited operates as a tungsten mining company focusing on the development of the Boguty Project based in the Republic of Kazakhstan. The company principally engages in the exploration, development, and operation of a tungsten ore. The company was incorporated in 2014 and is based in Wan Chai, Hong Kong.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Jiaxin Intl Resources Invest reported revenue of HK$1.1B in FY2025 versus HK$0 in FY2022. Reported net income was HK$305M in FY2025.
3858 screens 82% overvalued. Compare with BHP Group →
Peer Group
Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 480 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| BHP Group BHPN | 1,425 MXN | 745.46 MXN | -48% |
| Rio Tinto Group RIO | A$179.43 | A$81.76 | -54% |
| Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB | 222.38 MXN | 172.99 MXN | -22% |
| Vale S.A VALEN | 250.00 MXN | 139.41 MXN | -44% |
| Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 | 58.05 SAR | 33.87 SAR | -42% |
| CMOC Group 603993 | ¥19.00 | ¥19.80 | +4% |
| China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 | ¥70.43 | ¥9.55 | -86% |
| Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC | ₹584.60 | ₹501.98 | -14% |
| China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 | ¥41.02 | ¥10.59 | -74% |
| Boliden AB BOL | kr 527.80 | kr 461.48 | -13% |
Compare Jiaxin Intl Resources Invest with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Jiaxin Intl Resources Invest (3858) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of 3858?
What is the quality score of 3858?
What is the revenue of Jiaxin Intl Resources Invest (3858)?
What is the net profit margin of 3858?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Jiaxin Intl Resources Invest and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.