AGORA Hospitality Group (3R8) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 27, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of AGORA Hospitality Group stock €0.27, price €0.13, upside +106.7%, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?Yes
Good quality?No
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.1295 – €0.7124 · fair‑value band €0.0900 – €0.4100 · the €0.1306 price screens below the €0.2700 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 27, 2026.
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AGORA Hospitality Group Co., Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the lodging business in Japan. It operates through Accommodation Business and Other Investment Business segments. The company is involved in the planning, development, operation, and management of hotels and inns.
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It also engages in the rental of stores and parking lots; supply of hot spring water; real estate rental; real estate development of housing; operation of cemeteries; and securities investment activities.
The company was formerly known as Tokai Kanko Co., Ltd. and changed its name to AGORA Hospitality Group Co., Ltd in April 2012. AGORA Hospitality Group Co., Ltd was incorporated in 1948 and is headquartered in Minato, Japan.
Stock analysis
AGORA Hospitality Group (3R8) currently trades at €0.1306, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.2700, implying the stock looks roughly 51.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of €0.5700 per share, and 19 of the 24 models we run sit above the €0.1306 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €0.0700, and 5 of the 24 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: €0.0900 (bear) to €0.4100 (bull), the price of €0.1306 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
AGORA Hospitality Group reported revenue of ¥9.9B in FY2025 versus ¥3.4B in FY2021, a compound +31.1%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.3B in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €34.8M Micro · P/E ratio 6.5 · P/S ratio 0.84 · EPS (TTM) €0.0200 · Net margin 12.9% · Return on equity 15.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.9% · Operating margin 6.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 63% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −24% fair-value upside, at 107%, 3R8 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€0.0900Fair Value €0.2700Bull€0.4100
Price €0.1306 · Upside +106.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.0165 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+18.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+26.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−41.4% (2020) → 10.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no profitable base year
not computed
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+21.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +19.3% a year for the price.
Compare AGORA Hospitality Group with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Lodging · 162 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside+106.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)15.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets6.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)10.3% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)6.7% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−22.1% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.36× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Lodging median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "AGORA Hospitality Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/3R8
Frequently asked questions
Is AGORA Hospitality Group (3R8) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.2700 versus a price of €0.1306, about +107% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 3R8?
Our model-based fair value for AGORA Hospitality Group is €0.2700 (as of Oct 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €0.1306.
What is the quality score of 3R8?
AGORA Hospitality Group has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for AGORA Hospitality Group (3R8)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €0.2700 (as of Oct 27, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario €0.0900, optimistic scenario €0.4100. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the AGORA Hospitality Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €0.2700, about +107% upside versus a price of €0.1306 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €0.0900, optimistic scenario €0.4100. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of AGORA Hospitality Group (3R8)?
AGORA Hospitality Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥9.1B (latest available figure, as of Oct 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into AGORA Hospitality Group (3R8)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, AGORA Hospitality Group would have to grow free cash flow by +21.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +24.5 % per year. As of Oct 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 3R8 use?
Our models discount AGORA Hospitality Group at 9.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For AGORA Hospitality Group that is +21.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has AGORA Hospitality Group (3R8) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at AGORA Hospitality Group grew +24.5 % a year. The price currently implies +21.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of AGORA Hospitality Group (3R8) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into AGORA Hospitality Group (+21.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of AGORA Hospitality Group (3R8)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.71 %: that much free cash flow AGORA Hospitality Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of AGORA Hospitality Group (3R8)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For AGORA Hospitality Group it is €0.2700 per share (as of Oct 27, 2026), against a price of €0.1306. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is AGORA Hospitality Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 27, 2026, 3R8 trades below its calculated fair value: price €0.1306, fair value €0.2700, a gap of about +107% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 3R8?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€0.1306); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€0.2700). For AGORA Hospitality Group the two are €0.1394 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is AGORA Hospitality Group worth?
The market values AGORA Hospitality Group at about €34.8M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 27, 2026). Per share that is €0.1306; our models calculate a fair value of €0.2700 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 3R8?
Our models span a range for AGORA Hospitality Group: cautious scenario €0.0900, base €0.2700, optimistic €0.4100 per share (as of Oct 27, 2026, price €0.1306). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 3R8?
AGORA Hospitality Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.5 (as of Oct 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €0.2700 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 7.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of AGORA Hospitality Group (3R8)?
Balance-sheet figures for AGORA Hospitality Group (as of Oct 27, 2026): return on equity 15.7%, debt of 1.36 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 3R8 from its 52-week high?
AGORA Hospitality Group trades at €0.1306, about 63% below its 52-week high of €0.3540 and 9% above the low of €0.1200 (as of Oct 26, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €0.2700 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to AGORA Hospitality Group?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Marriott International, Inc, Hilton Worldwide Holdings, InterContinental Hotels Group, Hyatt Hotels Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is AGORA Hospitality Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 27, 2026: price €0.1306, calculated fair value €0.2700 (+107%), Quality Score 49/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 3R8 calculated?
We run AGORA Hospitality Group through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €0.2700, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. AGORA Hospitality Group currently trades 52 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of AGORA Hospitality Group (3R8)?
The closing price on Oct 27, 2026 was €0.1306. Our model-based fair value is €0.2700, about +107% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with AGORA Hospitality Group right now?
The model range is unusually wide (€0.0900 to €0.4100). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of AGORA Hospitality Group
How large is the market capitalisation of AGORA Hospitality Group (3R8)?
The market capitalisation of AGORA Hospitality Group is €34.8M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of AGORA Hospitality Group (3R8)?
The price-to-sales ratio of AGORA Hospitality Group is 0.84 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of AGORA Hospitality Group (3R8)?
Earnings per share at AGORA Hospitality Group are €0.0200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of AGORA Hospitality Group (3R8)?
The net margin of AGORA Hospitality Group is 12.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of AGORA Hospitality Group (3R8)?
The return on equity (ROE) of AGORA Hospitality Group is 15.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of AGORA Hospitality Group (3R8)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of AGORA Hospitality Group is −1.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of AGORA Hospitality Group (3R8)?
The operating margin of AGORA Hospitality Group is 6.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at AGORA Hospitality Group (3R8)?
Revenue at AGORA Hospitality Group is growing −22.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +26.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at AGORA Hospitality Group (3R8)?
Earnings per share at AGORA Hospitality Group are growing −91.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does AGORA Hospitality Group (3R8) carry?
The net debt of AGORA Hospitality Group is ¥5.3B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 18.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Oct 27, 2026