Baazeem Trading Co (4051) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Baazeem Trading Co is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 2.22 SAR – 11.64 SAR · fair‑value band 1.84 SAR – 3.18 SAR · the 5.48 SAR price screens above the 2.11 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Baazeem Trading Company operates as a fast-moving consumer goods distribution company. It engages in the wholesale of coffee and tea products, food and beverages, cosmetic products, soap and detergents, raw plastic materials, rubber, and synthetic fibers.
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Baazeem Trading Company operates as a fast-moving consumer goods distribution company. It engages in the wholesale of coffee and tea products, food and beverages, cosmetic products, soap and detergents, raw plastic materials, rubber, and synthetic fibers. The company also engages in the general warehousing of various goods; sale of plastic tools and materials, including bags; trading in cleaning materials, tools, and equipment; manufacture of paper bags, tissue papers, napkins, thermoplastic materials in its raw forms, and sponge products; and land transportation of goods. It offers its products under the MAOG, Tanay, u-do, Shiraa, SMAC, Fid Fad, RIO mare, Merito, LOOK, WC NET, Fornet, OMINO BIANCO, and Camel brands. The company sells its products through business to business, discount store, and wholesale and retail channels in the United Arab Emirates, the Kingdom of Bahrain, and the Sultanate of Oman. Baazeem Trading Company was incorporated in 1978 and is headquartered in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Baazeem Trading Co (4051) currently trades at 5.48 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.11 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 159.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 4.31 SAR per share, and 0 of the 12 models we run sit above the 5.48 SAR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 1.36 SAR, and 12 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 1.84 SAR (bear) to 3.18 SAR (bull), the price of 5.48 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Baazeem Trading Co reported revenue of 269M SAR in FY2025 versus 260M SAR in FY2021, a compound +0.8%/yr. Reported net income was 25.7M SAR in FY2025, compounding +4.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 555M SAR (≈ $148M) · P/E ratio 21.1 · P/S ratio 2.01 · EPS (TTM) 0.2600 SAR · Dividend yield 3.3% · Net margin 9.5% · Return on equity 12.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at −62%, 4051 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1.84 SARFair Value 2.11 SARBull 3.18 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0563 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.2%
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−31.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−34.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−35% vs −23%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 11%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 24.5%/yr over ~9Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+29.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 377 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−43% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)13% · Top 25%
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)10% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)14% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.3% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)21.1× · Pricier than median
P/B0.73× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)0.55× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF11.6× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA3.3× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 31
FUTURE (revenue growth)32· sector 16
PAST (return on equity)50· sector 17
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 89
DIVIDEND (yield)66· sector 41
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Baazeem Trading Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4051
Frequently asked questions
Is Baazeem Trading Co (4051) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.11 SAR versus a price of 5.48 SAR, about −62% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4051?
Our model-based fair value for Baazeem Trading Co is 2.11 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 5.48 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4051?
Baazeem Trading Co has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Baazeem Trading Co (4051)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.11 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.84 SAR, optimistic scenario 3.18 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Baazeem Trading Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.11 SAR, about −62% upside versus a price of 5.48 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.84 SAR, optimistic scenario 3.18 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Baazeem Trading Co (4051)?
Baazeem Trading Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 272M SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Baazeem Trading Co pay a dividend?
Baazeem Trading Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.28% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What growth is priced into Baazeem Trading Co (4051)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Baazeem Trading Co would have to grow free cash flow by +29.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.2 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 4051 use?
Our models discount Baazeem Trading Co at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.50, country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Baazeem Trading Co that is +29.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Baazeem Trading Co (4051) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Baazeem Trading Co grew -1.2 % a year. The price currently implies +29.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Baazeem Trading Co (4051) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Baazeem Trading Co (+29.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Baazeem Trading Co (4051)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.32 %: that much free cash flow Baazeem Trading Co produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Baazeem Trading Co (4051)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Baazeem Trading Co it is 2.11 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 5.48 SAR. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Baazeem Trading Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 4051 trades above its calculated fair value: price 5.48 SAR, fair value 2.11 SAR, a gap of about −62% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4051?
No. The price is what the market pays today (5.48 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.11 SAR). For Baazeem Trading Co the two are 3.37 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Baazeem Trading Co worth?
The market values Baazeem Trading Co at about 555M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 5.48 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 2.11 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4051?
Our models span a range for Baazeem Trading Co: cautious scenario 1.84 SAR, base 2.11 SAR, optimistic 3.18 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 5.48 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4051?
Baazeem Trading Co trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.1 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 2.11 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 3.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Baazeem Trading Co (4051)?
Balance-sheet figures for Baazeem Trading Co (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 12.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4051 from its 52-week high?
Baazeem Trading Co trades at 5.48 SAR, about 21% below its 52-week high of 6.95 SAR and 12% above the low of 4.88 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.11 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Baazeem Trading Co?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value ITOCHU Corporation, 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, CITIC Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Baazeem Trading Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 5.48 SAR, calculated fair value 2.11 SAR (−62%), Quality Score 59/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4051 calculated?
We run Baazeem Trading Co through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.11 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Baazeem Trading Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Baazeem Trading Co right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.18 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Baazeem Trading Co (4051) come from?
Earnings per share at Baazeem Trading Co grew −19.4 % a year from 2014 to 2024. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −17.3 %, EBIT margin −2.2 %, tax rate −1.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Baazeem Trading Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Baazeem Trading Co (4051)?
The market capitalisation of Baazeem Trading Co is 555M SAR (≈ $148M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Baazeem Trading Co (4051)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Baazeem Trading Co is 2.01 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Baazeem Trading Co (4051)?
Earnings per share at Baazeem Trading Co are 0.2600 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Baazeem Trading Co (4051)?
The dividend yield of Baazeem Trading Co is 3.3% (payout 69.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Baazeem Trading Co (4051)?
The net margin of Baazeem Trading Co is 9.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Baazeem Trading Co (4051)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Baazeem Trading Co is 12.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Baazeem Trading Co (4051)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Baazeem Trading Co is 11.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Baazeem Trading Co (4051)?
The operating margin of Baazeem Trading Co is 14.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Baazeem Trading Co (4051)?
Revenue at Baazeem Trading Co is growing +6.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Baazeem Trading Co (4051)?
Earnings per share at Baazeem Trading Co are growing +11.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Baazeem Trading Co (4051) hold?
Baazeem Trading Co holds more cash than debt, 21.6M SAR net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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