Sinad Holding Co (4080) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 29, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Sinad Holding Co stock SAR 4.86, price SAR 6.74, upside -27.9%, quality 59 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 6.37 SAR – 27.05 SAR · fair‑value band 3.66 SAR – 6.82 SAR · the 6.74 SAR price screens above the 4.86 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Oct 28, 2026.
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Sinad Holding Company engages in the manufacture, packaging, wholesale, and retail trade of food products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, Egypt, other Arab countries, and internationally. The company operates in two segments, Investment and Industrial.
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It manufactures dairy, dairy products, juices, and drinks; manufactures Saudi thobes and uniforms; invests in stocks and securities; owns real estate and movable properties; provides loans, guarantees, and financing services; and owns and leases industrial property rights, including patents, trademarks, industrial rights, franchises, and other moral rights.
The company was formerly known as Aseer Trading, Tourism and Manufacturing Co. and changed its name to Sinad Holding Company in June 2022. The company was incorporated in 1975 and is based in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Sinad Holding Company operates as a subsidiary of Dallah Albaraka Holding Company.
Stock analysis
Sinad Holding Co (4080) currently trades at 6.74 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.86 SAR, 27.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 15.32 SAR per share, and 2 of the 4 models we run sit above the 6.74 SAR price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 4.63 SAR, and 2 of the 4 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 3.66 SAR (bear) to 6.82 SAR (bull), the price of 6.74 SAR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Sinad Holding Co reported revenue of 1.7B SAR in FY2025 versus 1.7B SAR in FY2021, a compound −0.3%/yr. Reported net income was −14.8M SAR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 831M SAR (≈ $222M) Micro · P/S ratio 0.49 · EPS (TTM) −0.1900 SAR · Net margin −1.5% · Return on equity 2.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.1% · Operating margin 9.8% · Revenue (TTM) 1.8B SAR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 31 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 6% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at −28%, 4080 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear3.66 SARFair Value 4.86 SARBull6.82 SAR
Price 6.74 SAR · Upside -27.9%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.31/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −3.2% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.1%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
1.0% (2020) → 5.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−15.3%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Saudi Arabia: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −17.0% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 362 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−29.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)2.0% · Below median
Return on assets−0.6% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)−1.5% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months)9.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)12.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.15× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.82× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)0.48× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow3.2× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA4.5× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 46
FUTURE (revenue growth)62· sector 34
PAST (return on equity)8· sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)92· sector 90
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 46
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sinad Holding Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4080
Frequently asked questions
Is Sinad Holding Co (4080) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 4.86 SAR versus a price of 6.74 SAR, about −28% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4080?
Our model-based fair value for Sinad Holding Co is 4.86 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 6.74 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4080?
Sinad Holding Co has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sinad Holding Co (4080)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 4.86 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario 3.66 SAR, optimistic scenario 6.82 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sinad Holding Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 4.86 SAR, about −28% upside versus a price of 6.74 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 3.66 SAR, optimistic scenario 6.82 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sinad Holding Co (4080)?
Sinad Holding Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8B SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 28, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sinad Holding Co (4080)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sinad Holding Co would have to grow free cash flow by -15.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.5 % per year. As of Oct 28, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 4080 use?
Our models discount Sinad Holding Co at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.51, country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sinad Holding Co that is -15.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sinad Holding Co (4080) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sinad Holding Co grew +1.5 % a year. The price currently implies -15.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sinad Holding Co (4080) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sinad Holding Co (-15.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sinad Holding Co (4080)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 32.19 %: that much free cash flow Sinad Holding Co produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sinad Holding Co (4080)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sinad Holding Co it is 4.86 SAR per share (as of Oct 28, 2026), against a price of 6.74 SAR. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sinad Holding Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 28, 2026, 4080 trades above its calculated fair value: price 6.74 SAR, fair value 4.86 SAR, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4080?
No. The price is what the market pays today (6.74 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (4.86 SAR). For Sinad Holding Co the two are 1.88 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sinad Holding Co worth?
The market values Sinad Holding Co at about 831M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 28, 2026). Per share that is 6.74 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 4.86 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4080?
Our models span a range for Sinad Holding Co: cautious scenario 3.66 SAR, base 4.86 SAR, optimistic 6.82 SAR per share (as of Oct 28, 2026, price 6.74 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sinad Holding Co (4080)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sinad Holding Co (as of Oct 28, 2026): return on equity 2.0%, debt of 0.15 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4080 from its 52-week high?
Sinad Holding Co trades at 6.74 SAR, about 35% below its 52-week high of 10.44 SAR and 6% above the low of 6.37 SAR (as of Oct 29, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 4.86 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sinad Holding Co?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, Swire Pacific Limited, CK Hutchison Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sinad Holding Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 28, 2026: price 6.74 SAR, calculated fair value 4.86 SAR (−28%), Quality Score 59/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4080 calculated?
We run Sinad Holding Co through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 4.86 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Sinad Holding Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sinad Holding Co (4080)?
The closing price on Oct 29, 2026 was 6.74 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 4.86 SAR, about −28% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sinad Holding Co right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (3.66 SAR to 6.82 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Sinad Holding Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Sinad Holding Co (4080)?
The market capitalisation of Sinad Holding Co is 831M SAR (≈ $222M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sinad Holding Co (4080)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sinad Holding Co is 0.49 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sinad Holding Co (4080)?
Earnings per share at Sinad Holding Co are −0.1900 SAR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Sinad Holding Co (4080)?
The net margin of Sinad Holding Co is −1.5% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sinad Holding Co (4080)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sinad Holding Co is 2.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sinad Holding Co (4080)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sinad Holding Co is 1.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sinad Holding Co (4080)?
The operating margin of Sinad Holding Co is 9.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sinad Holding Co (4080)?
Revenue at Sinad Holding Co is growing +12.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sinad Holding Co (4080)?
Earnings per share at Sinad Holding Co are growing −96.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sinad Holding Co (4080) carry?
The net debt of Sinad Holding Co is 414M SAR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Oct 28, 2026