Saudi Industrial Export Company (4140) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · SA · Market cap 449M SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 3 valuation models · updated today
Share price −4.1% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.5400 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range (0.2900 SAR to 0.5400 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 1.80 SAR – 2.98 SAR · fair‑value band 0.2900 SAR – 0.5400 SAR · the 2.31 SAR price screens above the 0.4400 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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Saudi Industrial Export Company (4140) currently trades at 2.31 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.4400 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 81.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
It earns a return on equity of -22.8%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 13.3M SAR. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.2900 SAR (bear case) to 0.5400 SAR (bull case); at 2.31 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -10% fair-value upside, at -81%, 4140 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Saudi Industrial Export Company provides supply chain and trade solutions in the Middle East and African regions. The company engages in the wholesale of lubricating oils and refined petroleum products, cement, plaster and the like, plastic materials, rubber and synthetic fibers; and storage in ports.
Full company description
Saudi Industrial Export Company provides supply chain and trade solutions in the Middle East and African regions. The company engages in the wholesale of lubricating oils and refined petroleum products, cement, plaster and the like, plastic materials, rubber and synthetic fibers; and storage in ports. It offers payment alternatives and financing solutions to fund and expand operations; commodity exchange solutions and warehouse management systems; and commercial insurance protection services. It also provides physical movement of goods services for import and export, including drayage to and from ports; negotiated trucking, air, and containership contracted rates; coverage of all lanes and capacity requirements; value-added services, packaging, kitting, and processing; collateral management agreements; and chartering services/bulk logistics. In addition, the company offers integrated information flow solutions, including internal market research data mine and IQ International capabilities; SaaS ecommerce platform for trading, product cataloging, vendor profiles, and routing guide compliance; configures, manages, and expands B2B storefronts; control tower visibility across entire supply chain; transactions across all currencies; and bid options on required services. Saudi Industrial Export Company was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Saudi Industrial Export Company reported revenue of 0 SAR in FY2025 versus 15.7M SAR in FY2021. Reported net income was −24.9M SAR in FY2025.
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Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Honeywell International Inc HON | 3,736 MXN | 2,515 MXN | -33% |
| CITIC Limited 0267 | HK$12.87 | HK$21.98 | +71% |
| Swire Pacific Limited 0019 | HK$81.70 | HK$13.77 | -83% |
| SK Inc 034730 | 625,000 KRW | 390,279 KRW | -38% |
| PT Astra International Tbk, ASII | 4,730 IDR | 16,231 IDR | +243% |
| Grupo Carso, S.A. GCARSOA1 | 130.55 MXN | 72.45 MXN | -45% |
| The Siam Cement Public Company SCC | 234.00 THB | 209.79 THB | -10% |
| SRF Limited SRF | ₹2,705 | ₹725.09 | -73% |
| Empresas Copec S.A COPEC | 5,980 CLP | 10,697 CLP | +79% |
| Posco International Corporation 047050 | 58,300 KRW | 56,299 KRW | -3% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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