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Saudi Industrial Export Co (4140) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 28, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Saudi Industrial Export Co stock SAR 0.37, price SAR 1.89, upside -80.2%, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Industrials SA · ISIN SA0007879675

SI Saudi Industrial Export Co logo Thin data Oct 28, 2026

Saudi Industrial Export Co

4140 · SR
Very expensive, weak qualityAn uptrend, but price far above fair value and weak quality.Main risk: Little protection from competitors.

Our calculation puts a fair price 80% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 42/100
Fair value 0.3740 SAR · Strongly overvalued (−80.2%)
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −22.2 %/yr in SAR)
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (0/6)
Narrow moat 3/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

10.58 SAR 1.71 SAR Fair Value 0.3740 SAR Mar 2020 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 28, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.71 SAR – 10.58 SAR · fair‑value band 0.2805 SAR – 0.4675 SAR · the 1.89 SAR price screens above the 0.3740 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Oct 28, 2026.

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Company profile

Saudi Industrial Export Company provides supply chain and trade solutions in the Middle East and African regions.

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The company engages in the wholesale of lubricating oils and refined petroleum products, cement, plaster and the like, plastic materials, rubber and synthetic fibers; and storage in ports.

It offers payment alternatives and financing solutions to fund and expand operations; commodity exchange solutions and warehouse management systems; and commercial insurance protection services.

It also provides physical movement of goods services for import and export, including drayage to and from ports; negotiated trucking, air, and containership contracted rates; coverage of all lanes and capacity requirements; value-added services, packaging, kitting, and processing; collateral management agreements; and chartering services/bulk logistics.

In addition, the company offers integrated information flow solutions, including internal market research data mine and IQ International capabilities; SaaS ecommerce platform for trading, product cataloging, vendor profiles, and routing guide compliance; configures, manages, and expands B2B storefronts; control tower visibility across entire supply chain; transactions across all currencies; and bid options on required services.

Saudi Industrial Export Company was incorporated in 1990 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.

Stock analysis

Saudi Industrial Export Co (4140) currently trades at 1.89 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.3740 SAR, 80.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: 0.2805 SAR (bear) to 0.4675 SAR (bull), the price of 1.89 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Saudi Industrial Export Co reported revenue of 0 SAR in FY2025 versus 15.7M SAR in FY2021. Reported net income was −24.9M SAR in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 367M SAR (≈ $97.9M) Micro · EPS (TTM) −0.1100 SAR · Return on equity −19.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) −21.0% · Free cash flow −10.0M SAR · Net cash 13.3M SAR.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 3 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at −80%, 4140 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 0.2805 SAR Fair Value 0.3740 SAR Bull 0.4675 SAR
Price 1.89 SAR · Upside -80.2%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
P/B Multiple 0.3300 SAR 0.4400 SAR 0.5500 SAR 55
NCAV (Graham) 0.2900 SAR 0.4400 SAR 0.5400 SAR 52
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple 0.3300 SAR 0.4400 SAR 0.5500 SAR 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.2900 SAR 0.4400 SAR 0.5400 SAR 52

The fair value above starts from this blend and is adjusted for dilution from new shares.

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 42/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 0
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 0
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 50
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 100
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 66
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 27
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 18
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+73.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−22.2%
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−11.8%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−13.3% (2019) → −88.4% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

4140 screens overvalued: fair value 80% below the price. Compare with 3M Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Conglomerates · 361 stocks

Beats the industry median on 0/5 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −80.2% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −22.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Conglomerates median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.98× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Conglomerates stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
CK Hutchison Holdings 0001 HK$66.35 HK$132.70 +100% vs 4140
SGH Limited SGH A$39.50 A$56.23 +42% vs 4140
Jardine Matheson Holdings J36 $59.82 $78.52 +31% vs 4140
Honeywell International Inc HON $218.81 $245.42 +12% vs 4140
Kingdom Holding 4280 12.04 SAR 13.40 SAR +11% vs 4140
SK Inc 034730 497,500 KRW 351,325 KRW −29% vs 4140
3M Company MMM $171.58 $73.02 −57% vs 4140
Keppel Ltd BN4 10.09 SGD 3.87 SGD −62% vs 4140
Swire Pacific Limited 0019 HK$106.90 HK$27.75 −74% vs 4140
Doosan Corporation 000150 1,013,000 KRW 112,649 KRW −89% vs 4140

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Saudi Industrial Export Co · Fair Value
0.3740 SAR −80%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Saudi Industrial Export Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4140

Frequently asked questions

Is Saudi Industrial Export Co (4140) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 28, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.3740 SAR versus a price of 1.89 SAR, about −80% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4140?
Our model-based fair value for Saudi Industrial Export Co is 0.3740 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.89 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4140?
Saudi Industrial Export Co has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Saudi Industrial Export Co (4140)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.3740 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.2805 SAR, optimistic scenario 0.4675 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Saudi Industrial Export Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.3740 SAR, about −80% upside versus a price of 1.89 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.2805 SAR, optimistic scenario 0.4675 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Saudi Industrial Export Co (4140)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Saudi Industrial Export Co it is 0.3740 SAR per share (as of Oct 28, 2026), against a price of 1.89 SAR. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Saudi Industrial Export Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 28, 2026, 4140 trades above its calculated fair value: price 1.89 SAR, fair value 0.3740 SAR, a gap of about −80% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4140?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.89 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.3740 SAR). For Saudi Industrial Export Co the two are 1.52 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Saudi Industrial Export Co worth?
The market values Saudi Industrial Export Co at about 367M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 28, 2026). Per share that is 1.89 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.3740 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4140?
Our models span a range for Saudi Industrial Export Co: cautious scenario 0.2805 SAR, base 0.3740 SAR, optimistic 0.4675 SAR per share (as of Oct 28, 2026, price 1.89 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Saudi Industrial Export Co (4140)?
Balance-sheet figures for Saudi Industrial Export Co (as of Oct 28, 2026): return on equity −19.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4140 from its 52-week high?
Saudi Industrial Export Co trades at 1.89 SAR, about 37% below its 52-week high of 2.98 SAR and 11% above the low of 1.71 SAR (as of Oct 28, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.3740 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Saudi Industrial Export Co?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value 3M Company, Honeywell International Inc, Swire Pacific Limited, CK Hutchison Holdings, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Saudi Industrial Export Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 28, 2026: price 1.89 SAR, calculated fair value 0.3740 SAR (−80%), Quality Score 42/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4140 calculated?
We run Saudi Industrial Export Co through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.3740 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.4 % above its aggregate fair value. Saudi Industrial Export Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Saudi Industrial Export Co (4140)?
The closing price on Oct 28, 2026 was 1.89 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 0.3740 SAR, about −80% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Saudi Industrial Export Co right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.4675 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Saudi Industrial Export Co

How large is the market capitalisation of Saudi Industrial Export Co (4140)?
The market capitalisation of Saudi Industrial Export Co is 367M SAR (≈ $97.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of Saudi Industrial Export Co (4140)?
Earnings per share at Saudi Industrial Export Co are −0.1100 SAR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Saudi Industrial Export Co (4140)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Saudi Industrial Export Co is −19.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Saudi Industrial Export Co (4140)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Saudi Industrial Export Co is −21.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much free cash flow does Saudi Industrial Export Co (4140) generate?
The free cash flow of Saudi Industrial Export Co is −10.0M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Saudi Industrial Export Co (4140) hold?
Saudi Industrial Export Co holds more cash than debt, 13.3M SAR net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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