Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co (4141) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co SAR 2.55, price SAR 18.29, upside -86.1%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 18.28 SAR – 74.54 SAR · fair‑value band 1.25 SAR – 3.85 SAR · the 18.29 SAR price screens above the 2.55 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Al-Omran Industrial Trading Company manufactures, imports, sells, wholesales, retails, and exports household and electronic devices and products.
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Al-Omran Industrial Trading Company manufactures, imports, sells, wholesales, retails, and exports household and electronic devices and products. It offers air conditioners and its spare parts, refrigerators, freezers, water and liquid coolers, spoons, shokats, fittings connections, profile water standards, and display shelves, ovens, plastic knives, chairs, containers, and refrigerator door profiles; and metal, paper, and cardboard products. Al-Omran Industrial Trading Company was incorporated in 2003 and is based in Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co (4141) currently trades at 18.29 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.55 SAR, 86.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 94/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: 1.25 SAR (bear) to 3.85 SAR (bull), the price of 18.29 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co reported revenue of 117M SAR in FY2025 versus 135M SAR in FY2021, a compound −3.6%/yr. Reported net income was −8.3M SAR in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap 243M SAR (≈ $64.8M) · P/S ratio 2.21 · EPS (TTM) −0.8800 SAR · Net margin −7.1% · Return on equity −7.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.6% · Operating margin −12.2% · Revenue (TTM) 110M SAR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at −86%, 4141 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1.25 SARFair Value 2.55 SARBull 3.85 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−17.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +0.0% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.5%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.5% (2020) → −0.7% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
Compare Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Furnishings, Fixtures & Appliances · 303 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4141
Frequently asked questions
Is Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co (4141) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.55 SAR versus a price of 18.29 SAR, about −86% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4141?
Our model-based fair value for Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co is 2.55 SAR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 18.29 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4141?
Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co (4141)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.55 SAR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.25 SAR, optimistic scenario 3.85 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.55 SAR, about −86% upside versus a price of 18.29 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 1.25 SAR, optimistic scenario 3.85 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co (4141)?
Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 110M SAR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co (4141)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co it is 2.55 SAR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 18.29 SAR. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 4141 trades above its calculated fair value: price 18.29 SAR, fair value 2.55 SAR, a gap of about −86% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4141?
No. The price is what the market pays today (18.29 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.55 SAR). For Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co the two are 15.74 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co worth?
The market values Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co at about 243M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 18.29 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 2.55 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4141?
Our models span a range for Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co: cautious scenario 1.25 SAR, base 2.55 SAR, optimistic 3.85 SAR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 18.29 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co (4141)?
Balance-sheet figures for Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −7.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4141 from its 52-week high?
Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co trades at 18.29 SAR, about 44% below its 52-week high of 32.50 SAR and at the low of 18.28 SAR (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.55 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Midea Group, King Slide Works Co, Gree Electric Appliances, Inc, Haier Smart Home Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 18.29 SAR, calculated fair value 2.55 SAR (−86%), Quality Score 36/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4141 calculated?
We run Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.55 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co (4141)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 18.29 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 2.55 SAR, about −86% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.85 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (1.25 SAR to 3.85 SAR). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co
How large is the market capitalisation of Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co (4141)?
The market capitalisation of Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co is 243M SAR (≈ $64.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co (4141)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co is 2.21 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co (4141)?
Earnings per share at Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co are −0.8800 SAR. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co (4141)?
The net margin of Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co is −7.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co (4141)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co is −7.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co (4141)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co is 2.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co (4141)?
The operating margin of Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co is −12.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co (4141)?
Revenue at Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co is growing −23.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −2.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co (4141)?
Earnings per share at Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co are growing −70.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co (4141) generate?
The free cash flow of Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co is −22.0M SAR (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co (4141) carry?
The net debt of Al Omran Industrial & Trading Co is 31.7M SAR (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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