Al Majed Oud Co. (4165) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Al Majed Oud Co. SAR 253, price SAR 113, upside +124.5%, quality 83 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
24‑month range 105.35 SAR – 166.33 SAR · fair‑value band 173.84 SAR – 328.57 SAR · the 112.60 SAR price screens below the 252.75 SAR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Al Majed for Oud Company manufactures, retails, and distributes perfumes and oud products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the Gulf countries. The company offers perfumes for men, women, unisex, kids, hair, and body; wood and oud oils; incense; gift items; homes essentials that include fresheners and saffron; and bundles.
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Al Majed for Oud Company manufactures, retails, and distributes perfumes and oud products in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and the Gulf countries. The company offers perfumes for men, women, unisex, kids, hair, and body; wood and oud oils; incense; gift items; homes essentials that include fresheners and saffron; and bundles. Al Majed for Oud Company was founded in 1956 and is headquartered in Riyadh, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia.
Stock analysis
Al Majed Oud Co. (4165) currently trades at 112.60 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 252.75 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 55.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 325.39 SAR per share, and 18 of the 26 models we run sit above the 112.60 SAR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 51.15 SAR, and 8 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 173.84 SAR (bear) to 328.57 SAR (bull), the price of 112.60 SAR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 83/100 (high quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Al Majed Oud Co. reported revenue of 1.1B SAR in FY2025 versus 442M SAR in FY2021, a compound +25.7%/yr. Reported net income was 218M SAR in FY2025, compounding +21.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 2.8B SAR (≈ $750M) · P/E ratio 13.5 · P/S ratio 2.65 · EPS (TTM) 8.37 SAR · Dividend yield 3.6% · Net margin 19.7% · Return on equity 37.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 23.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 58 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at 124%, 4165 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 173.84 SARFair Value 252.75 SARBull 328.57 SAR
Price 112.60 SAR · Upside +124.5%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (3.32 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+19.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.7%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+17.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.6%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.32% → 22%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−7.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Saudi Arabia: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −9.4% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Household & Personal Products · 234 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score83 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+124.5% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)37.1% · Top 25%
Return on assets15.2% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)18.4% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)13.2% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth4.0% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.6% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Household & Personal Products median · lower = cheaper
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Is Al Majed Oud Co. (4165) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 252.75 SAR versus a price of 112.60 SAR, about +124% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 4165?
Our model-based fair value for Al Majed Oud Co. is 252.75 SAR (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 112.60 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4165?
Al Majed Oud Co. has a Quality Score of 83/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Al Majed Oud Co. (4165)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 252.75 SAR (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 173.84 SAR, optimistic scenario 328.57 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Al Majed Oud Co. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 252.75 SAR, about +124% upside versus a price of 112.60 SAR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 173.84 SAR, optimistic scenario 328.57 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Al Majed Oud Co. (4165)?
Al Majed Oud Co. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.1B SAR (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Al Majed Oud Co. pay a dividend?
Al Majed Oud Co. currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.55% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Al Majed Oud Co. (4165)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Al Majed Oud Co. would have to grow free cash flow by -7.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +21.7 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 4165 use?
Our models discount Al Majed Oud Co. at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Al Majed Oud Co. that is -7.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Al Majed Oud Co. (4165) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Al Majed Oud Co. grew +21.7 % a year. The price currently implies -7.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Al Majed Oud Co. (4165) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Al Majed Oud Co. (-7.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Al Majed Oud Co. (4165)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 14.52 %: that much free cash flow Al Majed Oud Co. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Al Majed Oud Co. (4165)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Al Majed Oud Co. it is 252.75 SAR per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of 112.60 SAR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Al Majed Oud Co. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, 4165 trades below its calculated fair value: price 112.60 SAR, fair value 252.75 SAR, a gap of about +124% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4165?
No. The price is what the market pays today (112.60 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (252.75 SAR). For Al Majed Oud Co. the two are 140.15 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Al Majed Oud Co. worth?
The market values Al Majed Oud Co. at about 2.8B SAR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is 112.60 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 252.75 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4165?
Our models span a range for Al Majed Oud Co.: cautious scenario 173.84 SAR, base 252.75 SAR, optimistic 328.57 SAR per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price 112.60 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4165?
Al Majed Oud Co. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.5 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 252.75 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.8, P/S 2.5, EV/EBITDA 10.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Al Majed Oud Co. (4165)?
Balance-sheet figures for Al Majed Oud Co. (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 37.1%. They feed the Quality Score of 83/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4165 from its 52-week high?
Al Majed Oud Co. trades at 112.60 SAR, about 31% below its 52-week high of 163.21 SAR and 1% above the low of 111.50 SAR (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 252.75 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Al Majed Oud Co.?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Colgate-Palmolive Company, Hindustan Unilever Limited, Kenvue Inc, The Estée Lauder Companies Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Al Majed Oud Co. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price 112.60 SAR, calculated fair value 252.75 SAR (+124%), Quality Score 83/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4165 calculated?
We run Al Majed Oud Co. through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 252.75 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Al Majed Oud Co. currently trades 55 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Al Majed Oud Co. (4165)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 112.60 SAR. Our model-based fair value is 252.75 SAR, about +124% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Al Majed Oud Co. right now?
The rarer combination: high quality (83/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict. The price is below even our cautious bear case (173.84 SAR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. A fairly wide model range (173.84 SAR to 328.57 SAR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Al Majed Oud Co.
How large is the market capitalisation of Al Majed Oud Co. (4165)?
The market capitalisation of Al Majed Oud Co. is 2.8B SAR (≈ $750M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Al Majed Oud Co. (4165)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Al Majed Oud Co. is 2.65 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Al Majed Oud Co. (4165)?
Earnings per share at Al Majed Oud Co. are 8.37 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Al Majed Oud Co. (4165)?
The dividend yield of Al Majed Oud Co. is 3.6% (payout 47.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Al Majed Oud Co. (4165)?
The net margin of Al Majed Oud Co. is 19.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Al Majed Oud Co. (4165)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Al Majed Oud Co. is 37.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Al Majed Oud Co. (4165)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Al Majed Oud Co. is 23.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Al Majed Oud Co. (4165)?
The operating margin of Al Majed Oud Co. is 13.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Al Majed Oud Co. (4165)?
Revenue at Al Majed Oud Co. is growing +4.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Al Majed Oud Co. (4165)?
Earnings per share at Al Majed Oud Co. are growing +10.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Al Majed Oud Co. (4165) carry?
The net debt of Al Majed Oud Co. is 96.5M SAR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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