4349 Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · Market cap 821M SAR
Fair value as of: Jul 31, 2026
From 20 valuation models · updated today
Share price +1.1% over the past month.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (5.21 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (69/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 7.47 SAR – 8.14 SAR · fair‑value band 3.20 SAR – 5.21 SAR · the 8.05 SAR price screens above the 4.21 SAR fair value. As of Jul 31, 2026.
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4349 (4349) currently trades at 8.05 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.21 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 47.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 69/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 17.8M SAR. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 16.8. Fundamentals as of Jul 31, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 3.20 SAR (bear case) to 5.21 SAR (bull case); at 8.05 SAR, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -10% fair-value upside, at -48%, 4349 screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 31, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2023 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
4349 reported revenue of 70.0M SAR in FY2025 versus 89.5M SAR in FY2023, a compound −11.5%/yr. Reported net income was 49.0M SAR in FY2025, compounding −10.0%/yr from FY2023.
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Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Hotel & Motel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 31, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc HST | $25.13 | $19.58 | -22% |
| Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc RHP | $124.23 | $53.69 | -57% |
| COVH COVH | €23.20 | €31.11 | +34% |
| Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc APLE | $16.60 | $23.72 | +43% |
| Park Hotels & Resorts inc. PK | $14.57 | $20.58 | +41% |
| DiamondRock Hospitality Company DRH | $12.25 | $13.34 | +9% |
| Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc SHO | $11.74 | $4.62 | -61% |
| Pebblebrook Hotel Trust PEB | $19.06 | $17.06 | -10% |
| Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc XHR | $20.22 | $11.63 | -42% |
| RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) RLJ | $11.32 | $8.28 | -27% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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