Check 35,000+ stocks against 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors
Data-driven stock valuation
Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free
Discover now →
Alinma Hospitality REIT (4349) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Alinma Hospitality REIT is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
- Add to watchlist
AH
Thin data
Sep 13, 2026
Alinma Hospitality REIT
4349 · SROvervalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.
!Fair value 4.95 SAR · Overvalued (−33%)
✓Quality 67/100
!Weak Growth (revenue YoY −8.3 %/yr)
✓Highly profitable · 69.9% net margin (FY2025)
✓generates free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
!Moderate moat 49/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Watch Alinma Hospitality REIT for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.
Watch for free
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
43‑month range 6.53 SAR – 8.14 SAR · fair‑value band 3.79 SAR – 5.77 SAR · the 7.40 SAR price screens above the 4.95 SAR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Company profile
Alinma Hospitality REIT is a real estate investment fund. The fund invest in structurally developed and income-generating real estate.
Stock analysis
Alinma Hospitality REIT (4349) currently trades at 7.40 SAR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 4.95 SAR, implying the stock looks roughly 49.5% overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of 7.01 SAR per share, and 1 of the 13 models we run sit above the 7.40 SAR price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at 4.29 SAR, and 12 of the 13 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 3.79 SAR (bear) to 5.77 SAR (bull), the price of 7.40 SAR sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 67/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Alinma Hospitality REIT reported revenue of 70.0M SAR in FY2025 versus 89.5M SAR in FY2023, a compound −11.5%/yr. Reported net income was 49.0M SAR in FY2025, compounding −10.0%/yr from FY2023.
Key figures
Market cap 755M SAR (≈ $201M) · P/E ratio 15.4 · P/S ratio 10.8 · EPS (TTM) 0.4800 SAR · Net margin 69.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.2% · Free cash flow 62.0M SAR · Net cash 17.8M SAR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −33%, 4349 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 3.79 SAR
Fair Value 4.95 SAR
Bull 5.77 SAR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.3380 SAR per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
5.19 SAR
6.69 SAR
9.20 SAR
72
Growth DCF
5.35 SAR
6.77 SAR
8.97 SAR
70
Residual Income
7.13 SAR
7.01 SAR
6.14 SAR
69
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
5.19 SAR
6.69 SAR
9.20 SAR
72
5Y Revenue Exit
2.72 SAR
3.08 SAR
3.59 SAR
65
5Y EBITDA Exit
3.88 SAR
5.08 SAR
6.68 SAR
67
10Y Revenue Exit
3.77 SAR
4.13 SAR
4.44 SAR
60
10Y EBITDA Exit
4.43 SAR
5.26 SAR
6.09 SAR
61
Multiples
P/S Multiple
0.6200 SAR
0.8200 SAR
1.03 SAR
58
P/B Multiple
6.12 SAR
8.16 SAR
10.20 SAR
55
EV/EBIT
3.85 SAR
5.05 SAR
6.25 SAR
63
EV/EBITDA
3.28 SAR
4.29 SAR
5.30 SAR
64
EV/Revenue
0.8400 SAR
1.08 SAR
1.33 SAR
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
4.98 SAR
6.67 SAR
9.95 SAR
51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
5.35 SAR
6.77 SAR
8.97 SAR
70
Economic Profit
Residual Income
7.13 SAR
7.01 SAR
6.14 SAR
69
Notify me when 4349 reaches fair value
Put 4349 on your watchlist. We get in touch as soon as price and fair value meet or the trend turns.
Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
67/100
Of which business quality 66 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Profitability
36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
88
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
77
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
17
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: only 3 usable fiscal years, at least 4 required
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+6.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
4349 screens 49% overvalued. Compare with Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc →
Compare Alinma Hospitality REIT with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.REIT - Hotel & Motel · 36 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs REIT - Hotel & Motel median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Energy sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Energy
- Valuation of the Saudi Arabia market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Hotel & Motel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc HST | $22.24 | $15.81 | −29% |
| Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc RHP | $121.99 | $47.68 | −61% |
| COVH COVH | €21.60 | €30.82 | +43% |
| Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc APLE | $15.55 | $17.87 | +15% |
| Park Hotels & Resorts inc. PK | $15.28 | $19.87 | +30% |
| DiamondRock Hospitality Company DRH | $12.20 | $8.84 | −28% |
| Sunstone Hotel Investors, Inc SHO | $10.98 | $2.31 | −79% |
| Pebblebrook Hotel Trust PEB | $17.84 | $23.44 | +31% |
| Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc XHR | $17.64 | $11.54 | −35% |
| RLJ Lodging Trust (RLJ) RLJ | $10.88 | $8.20 | −25% |
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Real Estate stocks →
All undervalued stocks
TechnologyFinancial ServicesHealthcareConsumer CyclicalConsumer DefensiveCommunication ServicesIndustrialsEnergyBasic MaterialsReal EstateUtilities Deeply Undervalued StocksUndervalued High-Quality StocksUndervalued Blue-Chip StocksUndervalued Small-Cap StocksUndervalued Dividend Stocks
Try a ready-made strategy
Pick a strategy and jump into the live analysis with that exact screen applied.
🥇 Backtested Best
🏆 Big Names
⭐ Top Rated
💎 Quality on Sale
🚀 Profitable Growth
🧊 Quality Compounders
💵 Dividend Stars
📈 Strong Momentum
📉 Fallen Angels
⚖️ Deeply Undervalued
🔍 Small-Cap Gems
🏰 Moat at a Fair Price
💼 Insider Buying
🎩 Buffett-Style Quality
📚 Peter Lynch GARP
🧮 Greenblatt Magic Formula
🛡️ Graham Defensive
Discover tools
Stock screenerFilter by region, size and sector
Compare toolTwo stocks side by side
Extrinsic Value Calculator…Calculator with industry benchmark
Peter Lynch Fair Value Formula &…Calculator with industry benchmark
Run the numbers yourself: free valuation calculators
Frequently asked questions
Is Alinma Hospitality REIT (4349) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 4.95 SAR versus a price of 7.40 SAR, about −33% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 4349?
Our model-based fair value for Alinma Hospitality REIT is 4.95 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 7.40 SAR.
What is the quality score of 4349?
Alinma Hospitality REIT has a Quality Score of 67/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Alinma Hospitality REIT (4349)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 4.95 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario 3.79 SAR, optimistic scenario 5.77 SAR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Alinma Hospitality REIT stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 4.95 SAR, about −33% upside versus a price of 7.40 SAR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 3.79 SAR, optimistic scenario 5.77 SAR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into Alinma Hospitality REIT (4349)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Alinma Hospitality REIT would have to grow free cash flow by +6.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 2 years revenue grew -11.5 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 4349 use?
Our models discount Alinma Hospitality REIT at 13.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for Saudi Arabia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Alinma Hospitality REIT that is +6.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Alinma Hospitality REIT (4349) delivered so far?
Over the past 2 years revenue at Alinma Hospitality REIT grew -11.5 % a year. The price currently implies +6.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Alinma Hospitality REIT (4349) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.9 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Alinma Hospitality REIT (+6.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Alinma Hospitality REIT (4349)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.25 %: that much free cash flow Alinma Hospitality REIT produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Alinma Hospitality REIT (4349)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Alinma Hospitality REIT it is 4.95 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of 7.40 SAR. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Alinma Hospitality REIT stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 4349 trades above its calculated fair value: price 7.40 SAR, fair value 4.95 SAR, a gap of about −33% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4349?
No. The price is what the market pays today (7.40 SAR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (4.95 SAR). For Alinma Hospitality REIT the two are 2.45 SAR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Alinma Hospitality REIT worth?
The market values Alinma Hospitality REIT at about 755M SAR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is 7.40 SAR; our models calculate a fair value of 4.95 SAR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4349?
Our models span a range for Alinma Hospitality REIT: cautious scenario 3.79 SAR, base 4.95 SAR, optimistic 5.77 SAR per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price 7.40 SAR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4349?
Alinma Hospitality REIT trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.4 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 4.95 SAR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, EV/EBITDA 2.7.
How far is 4349 from its 52-week high?
Alinma Hospitality REIT trades at 7.40 SAR, about 9% below its 52-week high of 8.15 SAR (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 4.95 SAR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Alinma Hospitality REIT?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Host Hotels & Resorts, Inc, Ryman Hospitality Properties, Inc, COVH, Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Alinma Hospitality REIT stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price 7.40 SAR, calculated fair value 4.95 SAR (−33%), Quality Score 67/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4349 calculated?
We run Alinma Hospitality REIT through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 4.95 SAR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Alinma Hospitality REIT itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Alinma Hospitality REIT right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (5.77 SAR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (67/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Alinma Hospitality REIT
How large is the market capitalisation of Alinma Hospitality REIT (4349)?
The market capitalisation of Alinma Hospitality REIT is 755M SAR (≈ $201M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Alinma Hospitality REIT (4349)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Alinma Hospitality REIT is 10.8 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Alinma Hospitality REIT (4349)?
Earnings per share at Alinma Hospitality REIT are 0.4800 SAR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Alinma Hospitality REIT (4349)?
The net margin of Alinma Hospitality REIT is 69.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Alinma Hospitality REIT (4349)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Alinma Hospitality REIT is 5.2% (avg 2y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much net cash does Alinma Hospitality REIT (4349) hold?
Alinma Hospitality REIT holds more cash than debt, 17.8M SAR net (fiscal year 2024). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
Free · no account needed
Watch Alinma Hospitality REIT in the live analysis
One click puts Alinma Hospitality REIT on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Watch for free →Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. Your watchlist is yours, with or without an account.