Jian Sin Industrial Co Ltd (4502) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · TW · Market cap 874M TWD (≈ $27.6M) · ISIN TW0004502000

What is Jian Sin Industrial Co Ltd really worth?

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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What matters now

• The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (3.52 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
• Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 15.65 TWD – 53.50 TWD · fair‑value band 2.90 TWD – 3.52 TWD · the 15.70 TWD price screens above the 3.14 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 5, 2026.

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Analysis

Jian Sin Industrial Co Ltd (4502) currently trades at 15.70 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.14 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 400.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 6.54 TWD per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the 15.70 TWD price. Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 1.48 TWD, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Jian Sin Industrial Co Ltd generated revenue of 988M TWD at a net margin of −8.5%. Revenue grew 25.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −13.9%. Net debt stands at 1.4B TWD. Fundamentals as of Sep 5, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 2.90 TWD (bear case) to 3.52 TWD (bull case); at 15.70 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −58% fair-value upside, at −80%, 4502 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Widest divergence: Asset-Based (6.54 TWD) versus Dividend Discount (1.48 TWD). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (69).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Jian Sin Industrial Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacturing and trading of wheel rims and related parts in Taiwan, China, the United States, Japan, Europe, and internationally.

Full company description

Jian Sin Industrial Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacturing and trading of wheel rims and related parts in Taiwan, China, the United States, Japan, Europe, and internationally. The company offers tilt-cast aluminum, forged aluminum, magnesium, and forged magnesium wheels; and design engineering and finite element analysis services. It is also involved in general investment; alloy wheel sale; and aluminum ring manufacturing. The company was formerly known as Yuan Feng Industrial Co. Ltd. and changed its name to Jian Sin Industrial Co., Ltd. in July 2015. Jian Sin Industrial Co., Ltd. was founded in 1978 and is based in Changhua, Taiwan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Jian Sin Industrial Co Ltd reported revenue of 937M TWD in FY2025 versus 1.4B TWD in FY2021, a compound −10.0%/yr. Reported net income was −86.1M TWD in FY2025.

4502 screens 400% overvalued. Compare with Carpenter Technology Corporation →

Peer Group

Metal Fabrication · 249 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

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