Golden Friends (4506) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Golden Friends TWD 114, price TWD 118, upside -3.4%, quality 77 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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GFC. LTD., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells elevators, escalators, and generators in Taiwan. It offers escalators/moving walks and pneumatic vacuum elevators.
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GFC. LTD., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells elevators, escalators, and generators in Taiwan. It offers escalators/moving walks and pneumatic vacuum elevators. The company is also involved in the manufacture and sale of elevators and parts; sale of vacuum pneumatic shuttle elevators; construction and maintenance and power generation products. The company was formerly known as Golden Friends Corporation and changed its name to GFC. LTD. in August 2021. The company was founded in 1974 and is headquartered in Taipei, Taiwan. GFC. LTD. operates as a subsidiary of Changjiang Property Co., Ltd.
Stock analysis
Golden Friends (4506) currently trades at 118.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 114.00 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 3.5% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 117.61 TWD per share, and 8 of the 25 models we run sit above the 118.00 TWD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 22.12 TWD, and 17 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 88.81 TWD (bear) to 139.20 TWD (bull), the price of 118.00 TWD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 77/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Golden Friends reported revenue of 6.0B TWD in FY2025 versus 4.6B TWD in FY2021, a compound +6.9%/yr. Reported net income was 1.2B TWD in FY2025, compounding +10.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 20.9B TWD (≈ $656M) · P/E ratio 18.1 · P/S ratio 3.47 · EPS (TTM) 6.52 TWD · Dividend yield 4.5% · Net margin 19.2% · Return on equity 20.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 54 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −50% fair-value upside, at −3%, 4506 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 88.81 TWDFair Value 114.00 TWDBull 139.20 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.8924 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.82/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.0% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+14.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+9.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.10% vs 10%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.19% → 22%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+1.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −0.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 826 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score77 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)20% · Top 25%
Return on assets8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)20% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)24% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth14% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.5% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Golden Friends Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4506
Frequently asked questions
Is Golden Friends (4506) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 114.00 TWD versus a price of 118.00 TWD, about −3% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 4506?
Our model-based fair value for Golden Friends is 114.00 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 118.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4506?
Golden Friends has a Quality Score of 77/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Golden Friends (4506)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 114.00 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario 88.81 TWD, optimistic scenario 139.20 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Golden Friends stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 114.00 TWD, about −3% upside versus a price of 118.00 TWD (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 88.81 TWD, optimistic scenario 139.20 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Golden Friends (4506)?
Golden Friends reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.2B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Golden Friends pay a dividend?
Golden Friends currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.49% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Golden Friends (4506)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Golden Friends would have to grow free cash flow by +1.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.5 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 4506 use?
Our models discount Golden Friends at 10.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.01, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Golden Friends that is +1.0 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Golden Friends (4506) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Golden Friends grew +6.5 % a year. The price currently implies +1.0 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Golden Friends (4506) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Golden Friends (+1.0 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Golden Friends (4506)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.19 %: that much free cash flow Golden Friends produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Golden Friends (4506)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Golden Friends it is 114.00 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 118.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Golden Friends stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 4506 trades above its calculated fair value: price 118.00 TWD, fair value 114.00 TWD, a gap of about −3% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4506?
No. The price is what the market pays today (118.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (114.00 TWD). For Golden Friends the two are 4.00 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Golden Friends worth?
The market values Golden Friends at about 20.9B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 118.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 114.00 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4506?
Our models span a range for Golden Friends: cautious scenario 88.81 TWD, base 114.00 TWD, optimistic 139.20 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 118.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 4506?
Golden Friends trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 114.00 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 3.6, P/S 3.3, EV/EBITDA 12.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Golden Friends (4506)?
Balance-sheet figures for Golden Friends (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 20.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 77/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4506 from its 52-week high?
Golden Friends trades at 118.00 TWD, about 7% below its 52-week high of 126.88 TWD and 11% above the low of 106.29 TWD (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 114.00 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Golden Friends?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Golden Friends stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 118.00 TWD, calculated fair value 114.00 TWD (−3%), Quality Score 77/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4506 calculated?
We run Golden Friends through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 114.00 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Golden Friends itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Golden Friends (4506)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 118.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 114.00 TWD, about −3% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Golden Friends right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Golden Friends (4506) come from?
Earnings per share at Golden Friends grew +12.6 % a year from 2012 to 2023. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +4.5 %, EBIT margin +9.5 %, tax rate −0.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −1.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Golden Friends
How large is the market capitalisation of Golden Friends (4506)?
The market capitalisation of Golden Friends is 20.9B TWD (≈ $656M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Golden Friends (4506)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Golden Friends is 3.47 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Golden Friends (4506)?
Earnings per share at Golden Friends are 6.52 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Golden Friends (4506)?
The dividend yield of Golden Friends is 4.5% (payout 81.3%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Golden Friends (4506)?
The net margin of Golden Friends is 19.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Golden Friends (4506)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Golden Friends is 20.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Golden Friends (4506)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Golden Friends is 11.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Golden Friends (4506)?
The operating margin of Golden Friends is 23.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Golden Friends (4506)?
Revenue at Golden Friends is growing +14.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Golden Friends (4506)?
Earnings per share at Golden Friends are growing +25.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Golden Friends (4506) hold?
Golden Friends holds more cash than debt, 2.3B TWD net (fiscal year 2023). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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