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Jmicron Technology (4925) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Jmicron Technology TWD 218, price TWD 136, upside +60.0%, quality 33 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Technology · TW · ISIN TW0004925003

JT Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Jmicron Technology

4925 · TWO

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

✓Fair value 217.60 TWD · Strongly undervalued (+60%)
!Quality 33/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −3.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -47.2% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
!Narrow moat 12/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

281.98 TWD 19.40 TWD Fair Value 217.60 TWD Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 19.40 TWD – 281.98 TWD · fair‑value band 143.61 TWD – 272.24 TWD · the 136.00 TWD price screens below the 217.60 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

JMicron Technology Corp. operates as a IC design company in Taiwan and internationally.

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JMicron Technology Corp. operates as a IC design company in Taiwan and internationally. It provides USB bridge controllers, PCIe bridge controller, SATA bridge controllers, storage devices, network communication technology products, silicon intellectual property and system platforms, millimeter wave radar IoT devices and intellectual property, and artificial intelligence human-machine interface products. The company also offers solutions with external storage, HDD duplicators, surveillance storage, and card readers. In addition, it is involved in general investments, designing of integrated circuit products, and computer software business. JMicron Technology Corp. was founded in 1990 and is based in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.

Stock analysis

Jmicron Technology (4925) currently trades at 136.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 217.60 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 37.5% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: 143.61 TWD (bear) to 272.24 TWD (bull), the price of 136.00 TWD sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 33/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Jmicron Technology reported revenue of 557M TWD in FY2025 versus 967M TWD in FY2021, a compound −12.9%/yr. Reported net income was −263M TWD in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap 9.6B TWD (≈ $302M) · P/S ratio 14.9 · EPS (TTM) −4.05 TWD · Net margin −47.2% · Return on equity −22.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −8.9% · Operating margin −38.4% · Revenue (TTM) 557M TWD.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 268% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −41% fair-value upside, at 60%, 4925 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 143.61 TWD Fair Value 217.60 TWD Bull 272.24 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 7.79 TWD 10.44 TWD 15.58 TWD 51
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 7.79 TWD 10.44 TWD 15.58 TWD 51

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 33/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 12
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 78
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 79
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 14
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 6 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.3%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−3.5% (2020) → −60.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Compare Jmicron Technology with another stock

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Semiconductors · 338 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/8 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +60% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −13% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −47% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −38% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 15% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Semiconductors median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.27× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.54× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)75 · sector 64
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 20

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Semiconductors stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
NVIDIA Corporation NVDA $225.51 $198.56 −12%
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company TSM $452.00 $497.20 +10%
Broadcom Inc AVGO $354.99 $303.10 −15%
Micron Technology, Inc MU $1,081 $151.51 −86%
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc AMD $629.26 $122.60 −81%
SK hynix Inc 000660 1,862,000 KRW 2,048,200 KRW +10%
Intel Corporation INTC $127.39 $33.67 −74%
Arm Holdings ARM $306.34 $44.44 −85%
MediaTek Inc 2454 5,285 TWD 3,142 TWD −41%
Texas Instruments Incorporated TXN $270.65 $81.75 −70%

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Jmicron Technology · Fair Value
217.60 TWD +38%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jmicron Technology Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/4925

Frequently asked questions

Is Jmicron Technology (4925) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 217.60 TWD versus a price of 136.00 TWD, about +60% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 4925?
Our model-based fair value for Jmicron Technology is 217.60 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 136.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 4925?
Jmicron Technology has a Quality Score of 33/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Jmicron Technology (4925)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 217.60 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario 143.61 TWD, optimistic scenario 272.24 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Jmicron Technology stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 217.60 TWD, about +60% upside versus a price of 136.00 TWD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 143.61 TWD, optimistic scenario 272.24 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Jmicron Technology (4925)?
Jmicron Technology reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 557M TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Jmicron Technology (4925)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jmicron Technology it is 217.60 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 136.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Jmicron Technology stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 4925 trades below its calculated fair value: price 136.00 TWD, fair value 217.60 TWD, a gap of about +60% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 4925?
No. The price is what the market pays today (136.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (217.60 TWD). For Jmicron Technology the two are 81.60 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Jmicron Technology worth?
The market values Jmicron Technology at about 9.6B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 136.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 217.60 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 4925?
Our models span a range for Jmicron Technology: cautious scenario 143.61 TWD, base 217.60 TWD, optimistic 272.24 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 136.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Jmicron Technology (4925)?
Balance-sheet figures for Jmicron Technology (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −22.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 33/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 4925 from its 52-week high?
Jmicron Technology trades at 136.00 TWD, about 35% below its 52-week high of 208.00 TWD and 268% above the low of 37.00 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 217.60 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Jmicron Technology?
From the same area (Technology) we also value NVIDIA Corporation, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company, Broadcom Inc, Micron Technology, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Jmicron Technology stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 136.00 TWD, calculated fair value 217.60 TWD (+60%), Quality Score 33/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 4925 calculated?
We run Jmicron Technology through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 217.60 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Jmicron Technology currently trades 60 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Jmicron Technology (4925)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 136.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 217.60 TWD, about +60% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Jmicron Technology right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (33/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (143.61 TWD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (143.61 TWD to 272.24 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Jmicron Technology

How large is the market capitalisation of Jmicron Technology (4925)?
The market capitalisation of Jmicron Technology is 9.6B TWD (≈ $302M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Jmicron Technology (4925)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Jmicron Technology is 14.9 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Jmicron Technology (4925)?
Earnings per share at Jmicron Technology are −4.05 TWD. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Jmicron Technology (4925)?
The net margin of Jmicron Technology is −47.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Jmicron Technology (4925)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Jmicron Technology is −22.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Jmicron Technology (4925)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jmicron Technology is −8.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Jmicron Technology (4925)?
The operating margin of Jmicron Technology is −38.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Jmicron Technology (4925)?
Revenue at Jmicron Technology is growing +15.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Jmicron Technology (4925)?
Earnings per share at Jmicron Technology are growing −14.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Jmicron Technology (4925) generate?
The free cash flow of Jmicron Technology is −334M TWD (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Jmicron Technology (4925) hold?
Jmicron Technology holds more cash than debt, 440M TWD net (fiscal year 2023). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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