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Aegis Logistics Limited (500003) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Aegis Logistics Limited ₹235, price ₹1,401, upside -83.2%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Energy · IN · ISIN INE208C01025

AL Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Aegis Logistics Limited

500003 · BSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ₹235.04 · Strongly overvalued (−83.2%)
!Quality 37/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY −4.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.6% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt
!0.8% dividend yield · Pays more than it earns
!Narrow moat 44/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹1,487 ₹160.25 Fair Value ₹235.04 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹160.25 – ₹1,487 · fair‑value band ₹176.28 – ₹297.92 · the ₹1,401 price screens above the ₹235.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Aegis Logistics Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an oil, gas, and chemical logistics company in the downstream oil and gas sector primarily in India. It operates through Liquid Terminal Division and Gas Terminal Division segments.

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Aegis Logistics Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as an oil, gas, and chemical logistics company in the downstream oil and gas sector primarily in India. It operates through Liquid Terminal Division and Gas Terminal Division segments. The company operates a network of bulk liquid handling terminals, liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) terminals, filling plants, pipelines, and gas stations to deliver products and services. It also owns and operates a network of shore based tank farm installations for the receipt and handling of bulk liquids, including hazardous chemicals, petroleum products, and petrochemicals. In addition, the company engages in sourcing, shipping, and distribution of LPG and propane; offers supply chain management services from product planning, sourcing, and shipping to receipt, storage, and dispatch by pipeline and tankers to the point of consumption; delivers pressurized and refrigerated cargoes to various ports on the coastline of India; markets LPG and propane in bulk to industrial clients; provides clean energy solutions to companies for their various processes and applications; and offers conversion services to switch from other energy sources to LPG. Further, it provides engineering, procurement, and construction services in the oil and gas sector; and refueling services to ship owners and charterers. The company serves industrial companies, as well as individual retail customers at its Aegis Autogas stations. Aegis Logistics Limited was incorporated in 1956 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Stock analysis

Aegis Logistics Limited (500003) currently trades at ₹1,401, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹235.04, 83.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹298.25 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ₹1,401 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹49.90, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹176.28 (bear) to ₹297.92 (bull), the price of ₹1,401 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.

Aegis Logistics Limited reported revenue of ₹67.6B in FY2025 versus ₹38.4B in FY2021, a compound +15.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹6.6B in FY2025, compounding +31.3%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap ₹71.5B (≈ $743M) · P/E ratio 44.8 · P/S ratio 4.40 · EPS (TTM) ₹4.83 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 9.8% · Return on equity 12.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 140% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −66% fair-value upside, at −83%, 500003 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (₹49.90 to ₹607.82). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ₹176.28 Fair Value ₹235.04 Bull ₹297.92
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹3.13 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹124.25 ₹149.60 ₹213.63 75
EPV ₹132.51 ₹159.71 ₹182.37 74
ROIC Compounder ₹132.51 ₹181.73 ₹244.44 71
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹130.63 ₹607.82 ₹835.05 64
Lynch FV ₹160.42 ₹229.17 ₹297.92 61
PEG = 1.0 ₹160.42 ₹229.17 ₹297.92 57
EPV ₹132.51 ₹159.71 ₹182.37 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹30.32 ₹54.63 ₹75.20 68
DDM Multi-Stage ₹30.32 ₹49.90 ₹58.36 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹201.70 ₹268.94 ₹336.17 63
P/S Multiple ₹176.28 ₹235.04 ₹293.79 58
P/B Multiple ₹181.03 ₹241.38 ₹301.72 55
EV/EBIT ₹140.82 ₹210.07 ₹279.32 65
EV/EBITDA ₹77.56 ₹125.73 ₹173.89 66
EV/Revenue ₹97.61 ₹168.12 ₹238.63 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹67.05 ₹89.85 ₹134.10 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹124.25 ₹149.60 ₹213.63 75
ROIC Compounder ₹132.51 ₹181.73 ₹244.44 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹208.77 ₹298.25 ₹387.72 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 20
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 11
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 86
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100
Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+25.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+24.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 14%

500003 screens overvalued: fair value 83% below the price. Compare with Reliance Industries Limited →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing · 106 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −75.6% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 12.0% · Below median
Return on assets 6.6% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3.6% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 6.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −64.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.51× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Refining & Marketing median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 44.8× · Priciest 25%
P/B 1.54× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.52× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 26.2× · Priciest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

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Indian Oil Corporation IOC ₹135.70 ₹417.35 +208%
HF Sinclair Corporation DINO $106.19 $52.92 −50%
SK Innovation Co 096770 149,200 KRW 50,661 KRW −66%
Sunoco LP, SUN $74.76 $53.89 −28%

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Aegis Logistics Limited · Fair Value
₹235.04 −83%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Aegis Logistics Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/500003

Frequently asked questions

Is Aegis Logistics Limited (500003) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹235.04 versus a price of ₹1,401, about −83% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 500003?
Our model-based fair value for Aegis Logistics Limited is ₹235.04 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹1,401.
What is the quality score of 500003?
Aegis Logistics Limited has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Aegis Logistics Limited (500003)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹235.04 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹176.28, optimistic scenario ₹297.92. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Aegis Logistics Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹235.04, about −83% upside versus a price of ₹1,401 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹176.28, optimistic scenario ₹297.92. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Aegis Logistics Limited (500003)?
Aegis Logistics Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹47.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Aegis Logistics Limited pay a dividend?
Aegis Logistics Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.78% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Aegis Logistics Limited (500003)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Aegis Logistics Limited it is ₹235.04 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹1,401. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Aegis Logistics Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 500003 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹1,401, fair value ₹235.04, a gap of about −83% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 500003?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹1,401); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹235.04). For Aegis Logistics Limited the two are ₹1,166 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Aegis Logistics Limited worth?
The market values Aegis Logistics Limited at about ₹71.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹1,401; our models calculate a fair value of ₹235.04 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 500003?
Our models span a range for Aegis Logistics Limited: cautious scenario ₹176.28, base ₹235.04, optimistic ₹297.92 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹1,401). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 500003?
Aegis Logistics Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 44.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹235.04 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 26.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Aegis Logistics Limited (500003)?
Balance-sheet figures for Aegis Logistics Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 12.0%, debt of 0.51 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 500003 from its 52-week high?
Aegis Logistics Limited trades at ₹1,401, about 6% below its 52-week high of ₹1,487 and 140% above the low of ₹584.54 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹235.04 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Aegis Logistics Limited?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Reliance Industries Limited, Valero Energy Corporation, Marathon Petroleum Corporation, Phillips 66, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Aegis Logistics Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹1,401, calculated fair value ₹235.04 (−83%), Quality Score 37/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 500003 calculated?
We run Aegis Logistics Limited through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹235.04, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Aegis Logistics Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Aegis Logistics Limited (500003)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹1,401. Our model-based fair value is ₹235.04, about −83% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Aegis Logistics Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹297.92). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.

Key figures of Aegis Logistics Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Aegis Logistics Limited (500003)?
The market capitalisation of Aegis Logistics Limited is ₹71.5B (≈ $743M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Aegis Logistics Limited (500003)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Aegis Logistics Limited is 4.40 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Aegis Logistics Limited (500003)?
Earnings per share at Aegis Logistics Limited are ₹4.83 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 44.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Aegis Logistics Limited (500003)?
The dividend yield of Aegis Logistics Limited is 0.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Aegis Logistics Limited (500003)?
The net margin of Aegis Logistics Limited is 9.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Aegis Logistics Limited (500003)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Aegis Logistics Limited is 12.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Aegis Logistics Limited (500003)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Aegis Logistics Limited is 9.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Aegis Logistics Limited (500003)?
The operating margin of Aegis Logistics Limited is 6.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Aegis Logistics Limited (500003)?
Revenue at Aegis Logistics Limited is growing −64.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Aegis Logistics Limited (500003)?
Earnings per share at Aegis Logistics Limited are growing −50.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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