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Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited (500032) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited ₹2.61, price ₹19.22, upside -86.4%, quality 41 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited
500032 · BSEWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value ₹2.61 · Strongly overvalued (−86.4%)
!Quality 41/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −3.5 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -2.4% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range ₹2.61 to ₹10.44
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹8.92 – ₹45.09 · fair‑value band ₹2.61 – ₹10.44 · the ₹19.22 price screens above the ₹2.61 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells sugar and ethanol in India. The company operates through Sugar, Distillery, and Power segments. It offers sugar by-products, such as bagasse, molasses, fly ash, and press mud; and bio-compost/bio-manure.
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Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells sugar and ethanol in India. The company operates through Sugar, Distillery, and Power segments. It offers sugar by-products, such as bagasse, molasses, fly ash, and press mud; and bio-compost/bio-manure. The company also generates and sells bagasse-based power to the Uttar Pradesh state grid. It serves customers in alcohol-based chemical plants and oil companies. The company was formerly known as Bajaj Hindusthan Limited and changed its name to Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited in January 2015. Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited was incorporated in 1931 and is based in Noida, India.
Stock analysis
Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited (500032) currently trades at ₹19.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹2.61, 86.4% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 14 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.
Scenario range: ₹2.61 (bear) to ₹10.44 (bull), the price of ₹19.22 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited reported revenue of ₹55.7B in FY2025 versus ₹66.7B in FY2021, a compound −4.4%/yr. Reported net income was −₹236M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap ₹5.4B (≈ $56.4M) · P/E ratio 9.0 · P/S ratio 0.08 · EPS (TTM) ₹−0.4500 · Net margin −0.4% · Return on equity −6.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.0% · Operating margin 1.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −38% fair-value upside, at −86%, 500032 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹2.61
Fair Value ₹2.61
Bull ₹10.44
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
5Y EBITDA Exit
n/a
n/a
₹8.63
71
EV/EBITDA
n/a
₹2.61
>₹10.44
62
NCAV (Graham)
₹18.62
₹24.95
₹37.24
54
All 3 models by family
DCF Models
5Y EBITDA Exit
n/a
n/a
₹8.63
71
Multiples
EV/EBITDA
n/a
₹2.61
>₹10.44
62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
₹18.62
₹24.95
₹37.24
54
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
41/100
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 38
Profitability
15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
18
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
58
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
20
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
34
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
18/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.1% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.1%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.6% (2020) → 1.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Confectioners · 83 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Confectioners median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Staples sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Indian Stocks
- Valuation of the India market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Confectioners stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mondelez International, Inc MDLZ | $57.82 | $29.03 | −50% |
| The Hershey Company HSY | $161.41 | $90.80 | −44% |
| Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG LISP | CHF 7,540 | CHF 11,708 | +55% |
| Barry Callebaut AG BARN | CHF 1,062 | CHF 654.80 | −38% |
| Cofco Sugar Holding 600737 | ¥14.75 | ¥10.01 | −32% |
| ORION Corp 271560 | 106,900 KRW | 203,315 KRW | +90% |
| Tootsie Roll Industries, Inc TROLB | $39.00 | $21.64 | −45% |
| Guangxi Yuegui Guangye Holdings 000833 | ¥18.76 | ¥8.53 | −55% |
| Balrampur Chini Mills Limited BALRAMCHIN | ₹649.05 | ₹160.97 | −75% |
| ORION Holdings 001800 | 23,000 KRW | 51,062 KRW | +122% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited (500032) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹2.61 versus a price of ₹19.22, about −86% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 500032?
Our model-based fair value for Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited is ₹2.61 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹19.22.
What is the quality score of 500032?
Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited (500032)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹2.61 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹2.61, optimistic scenario ₹10.44. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹2.61, about −86% upside versus a price of ₹19.22 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹2.61, optimistic scenario ₹10.44. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited (500032)?
Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹64.9B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited (500032)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited it is ₹2.61 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹19.22. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 500032 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹19.22, fair value ₹2.61, a gap of about −86% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 500032?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹19.22); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹2.61). For Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited the two are ₹16.61 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited worth?
The market values Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited at about ₹5.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹19.22; our models calculate a fair value of ₹2.61 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 500032?
Our models span a range for Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited: cautious scenario ₹2.61, base ₹2.61, optimistic ₹10.44 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹19.22). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 500032?
Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹2.61 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: EV/EBITDA 10.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited (500032)?
Balance-sheet figures for Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −6.0%, debt of 0.84 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 41/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 500032 from its 52-week high?
Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited trades at ₹19.22, about 21% below its 52-week high of ₹24.25 and 29% above the low of ₹14.94 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹2.61 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Mondelez International, Inc, The Hershey Company, Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli AG, Barry Callebaut AG, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹19.22, calculated fair value ₹2.61 (−86%), Quality Score 41/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 500032 calculated?
We run Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹2.61, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited (500032)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹19.22. Our model-based fair value is ₹2.61, about −86% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹10.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The model range is unusually wide (₹2.61 to ₹10.44). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited (500032)?
The market capitalisation of Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited is ₹5.4B (≈ $56.4M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited (500032)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited is 0.08 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited (500032)?
Earnings per share at Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited are ₹−0.4500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited (500032)?
The net margin of Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited is −0.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited (500032)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited is −6.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited (500032)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited is 0.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited (500032)?
The operating margin of Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited is 1.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited (500032)?
Revenue at Bajaj Hindusthan Sugar Limited is growing +10.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg 0.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
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