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HSIL Limited (500187) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of HSIL Limited ₹472, price ₹790, upside -40.3%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Cyclical · IN · ISIN INE415A01038

HL Thin data Sep 24, 2026

HSIL Limited

500187 · BSE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value ₹471.74 · Strongly overvalued (−40.3%)
✓Quality 62/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +7.5 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 13.2% net margin (FY2025)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓Wide moat 67/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

₹1,273 ₹164.35 Fair Value ₹471.74 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹164.35 – ₹1,273 · fair‑value band ₹296.70 – ₹685.18 · the ₹790.40 price screens above the ₹471.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

HSIL Limited manufactures and trades in sanitary ware, faucets, and other consumer products in India. It operates in four segments: Building Products, Consumer Products, Packaging Products, and Retail Business.

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HSIL Limited manufactures and trades in sanitary ware, faucets, and other consumer products in India. It operates in four segments: Building Products, Consumer Products, Packaging Products, and Retail Business. The company's products include sanitary ware products, such as wash basins, water closets, cisterns, urinals, bidets, pedestals, squatting pans; faucets, including showers, and bathroom and kitchen faucets; allied products, including seat covers, PVC cisterns, and concealed cisterns; and wellness products, such as bath tubs, shower enclosures, shower panels, steam generators, and whirlpools. It also offers kitchen appliances comprising cooktops, chimneys, vents, hobs, kitchen sinks, water heaters/geysers, water purifiers, air coolers, and air purifiers; and operates e-commerce business and 14 home interior specialty retail stores, which provides bedroom, living room, dining room, and home d??cor furnishings, as well as modular kitchens and wardrobes. In addition, the company offers packaging products, such as glass containers and PET bottles for use in various sectors, such as liquors, beers, food and beverages, pharmaceuticals, cosmetics, and perfumes. It markets and sells its products primarily through dealers and retailers under the Hindware, Hindware Art, Hindware Italian Collection, QUEO, Amore, Benelave, Raasi, Hindware-Atlantic, Moonbow, Evok, AGI, and Garden Polymer brand names. The company also exports its products. HSIL Limited was incorporated in 1960 and is based in Gurugram, India.

Stock analysis

HSIL Limited (500187) currently trades at ₹790.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹471.74, 40.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹4,240 per share, and 24 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹790.40 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹3,242, and 0 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹296.70 (bear) to ₹685.18 (bull), the price of ₹790.40 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

HSIL Limited reported revenue of ₹26.7B in FY2025 versus ₹14.1B in FY2021, a compound +17.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹3.5B in FY2025, compounding +16.1%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap ₹3.9B (≈ $40.8M) · P/E ratio 10.5 · P/S ratio 1.39 · EPS (TTM) ₹5.17 · Dividend yield 11.5% · Net margin 13.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.7% · Free cash flow ₹1.7B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −40%, 500187 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹296.70 Fair Value ₹471.74 Bull ₹685.18
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹3.91 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ₹4,438 ₹6,714 ₹9,998 80
Growth DCF ₹4,513 ₹6,535 ₹9,283 79
Owner Earnings ₹3,395 ₹5,150 ₹7,683 76
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹4,438 ₹6,714 ₹9,998 80
Owner Earnings ₹3,395 ₹5,150 ₹7,683 76
5Y Revenue Exit ₹4,935 ₹8,001 ₹11,890 72
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹6,587 ₹11,058 ₹16,240 74
5Y P/E Exit ₹6,613 ₹11,106 ₹15,780 70
10Y Revenue Exit ₹4,539 ₹7,241 ₹10,813 66
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹5,726 ₹9,303 ₹14,026 67
10Y P/E Exit ₹5,742 ₹9,336 ₹13,686 63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹4,806 ₹14,166 ₹18,735 65
Lynch FV ₹2,968 ₹4,240 ₹5,513 61
PEG = 1.0 ₹2,968 ₹4,240 ₹5,513 57
EPV ₹5,999 ₹6,965 ₹7,798 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹9,011 ₹12,014 ₹15,018 63
P/S Multiple ₹6,026 ₹8,035 ₹10,043 58
P/B Multiple ₹9,011 ₹12,014 ₹15,018 55
EV/EBIT ₹8,824 ₹11,804 ₹14,785 66
EV/EBITDA ₹8,849 ₹11,837 ₹14,825 67
EV/Revenue ₹5,508 ₹7,919 ₹10,329 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹2,419 ₹3,242 ₹4,838 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹4,513 ₹6,535 ₹9,283 79
Rev-Margin DCF ₹4,935 ₹8,002 ₹11,470 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹4,725 ₹5,824 ₹8,229 75
ROIC Compounder ₹6,232 ₹7,794 ₹9,650 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹7,484 ₹10,691 ₹13,899 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 66
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 63
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 45
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 72
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 49
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.3% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.3%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+43.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+31.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)11.5%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.31.9% vs 14.6%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 16%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+24.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +19.3% a year for the price.

500187 screens overvalued: fair value 40% below the price. Compare with Smurfit Westrock Plc, →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 259 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/10 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −13.8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 0.0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 11.5% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.06× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.5× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF 0.0× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW $46.41 $29.85 −36%
Packaging Corporation PKG $234.52 $130.10 −45%
International Paper Company IP $32.52 $21.53 −34%
Ball Corporation BALL $56.83 $47.81 −16%
Avery Dennison Corporation AVY $170.78 $125.35 −27%
Crown Holdings CCK $108.06 $121.85 +13%
Stora Enso Oyj STEAV €10.45 €9.66 −8%
SIG Group SIGN CHF 13.37 CHF 9.59 −28%
ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 ¥29.00 ¥31.90 +10%
Sonoco Products Company SON $50.06 $61.98 +24%

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HSIL Limited · Fair Value
₹471.74 −40%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HSIL Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/500187

Frequently asked questions

Is HSIL Limited (500187) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹471.74 versus a price of ₹790.40, about −40% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 500187?
Our model-based fair value for HSIL Limited is ₹471.74 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹790.40.
What is the quality score of 500187?
HSIL Limited has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for HSIL Limited (500187)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹471.74 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹296.70, optimistic scenario ₹685.18. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the HSIL Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹471.74, about −40% upside versus a price of ₹790.40 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹296.70, optimistic scenario ₹685.18. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does HSIL Limited pay a dividend?
HSIL Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 11.48% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into HSIL Limited (500187)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, HSIL Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +24.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 500187 use?
Our models discount HSIL Limited at 12.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For HSIL Limited that is +24.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has HSIL Limited (500187) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at HSIL Limited grew +7.6 % a year. The price currently implies +24.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of HSIL Limited (500187) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into HSIL Limited (+24.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of HSIL Limited (500187)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.42 %: that much free cash flow HSIL Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of HSIL Limited (500187)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For HSIL Limited it is ₹471.74 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹790.40. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is HSIL Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 500187 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹790.40, fair value ₹471.74, a gap of about −40% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 500187?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹790.40); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹471.74). For HSIL Limited the two are ₹318.66 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is HSIL Limited worth?
The market values HSIL Limited at about ₹3.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹790.40; our models calculate a fair value of ₹471.74 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 500187?
Our models span a range for HSIL Limited: cautious scenario ₹296.70, base ₹471.74, optimistic ₹685.18 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹790.40). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 500187?
HSIL Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹471.74 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of HSIL Limited (500187)?
Balance-sheet figures for HSIL Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 500187 from its 52-week high?
HSIL Limited trades at ₹790.40, about 11% below its 52-week high of ₹886.00 and 69% above the low of ₹468.55 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹471.74 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to HSIL Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is HSIL Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹790.40, calculated fair value ₹471.74 (−40%), Quality Score 62/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 500187 calculated?
We run HSIL Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹471.74, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. HSIL Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of HSIL Limited (500187)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹790.40. Our model-based fair value is ₹471.74, about −40% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with HSIL Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹685.18). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹296.70 to ₹685.18) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of HSIL Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of HSIL Limited (500187)?
The market capitalisation of HSIL Limited is ₹3.9B (≈ $40.8M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of HSIL Limited (500187)?
The price-to-sales ratio of HSIL Limited is 1.39 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of HSIL Limited (500187)?
Earnings per share at HSIL Limited are ₹5.17 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of HSIL Limited (500187)?
The dividend yield of HSIL Limited is 11.5%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of HSIL Limited (500187)?
The net margin of HSIL Limited is 13.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of HSIL Limited (500187)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of HSIL Limited is 10.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much net debt does HSIL Limited (500187) carry?
The net debt of HSIL Limited is ₹1.6B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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