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Oriental Hotels Limited (500314) Fair Value & Analysis

Services · IN · Market cap ₹3.6B

OH Oriental Hotels Limited 500314 · BSE
Price₹122.60
Fair Value₹33.58
Upside-72.6%
Quality49/100
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Healthy Growth
Loss-making · -26.3% net margin
Low debt
0.95% dividend yield
Narrow moat 14/100
Evidence: High Range ₹26.96 – ₹54.33 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 4 days ago

Share price −2.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 73% overvalued on our models.

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹54.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹26.96 to ₹54.33) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹195.66 ₹21.82 Fair Value ₹33.58 Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹21.82 – ₹195.66 · fair‑value band ₹26.96 – ₹54.33 · the ₹122.60 price screens above the ₹33.58 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Oriental Hotels Limited (500314) currently trades at ₹122.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹33.58, implying the stock looks roughly 72.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Oriental Hotels Limited generated revenue of ₹1.8B at a net margin of -26.3%. Revenue declined 77.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.4%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 65.4 (as of Aug 2, 2026). Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹26.96 (bear case) to ₹54.33 (bull case); at ₹122.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 53% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Services peers we cover trades at -56% fair-value upside, at -73%, 500314 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely (₹7.56 to ₹74.55). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF ₹15.79 ₹27.63 ₹45.94 80
Residual Income ₹29.37 ₹29.90 ₹29.26 76
Rev-Margin DCF ₹16.57 ₹30.30 ₹47.26 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹15.80 ₹28.40 ₹48.41 38
5Y Revenue Exit ₹16.57 ₹30.55 ₹49.12 39
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹36.40 ₹69.89 ₹111.20 41
5Y P/E Exit ₹24.92 ₹47.13 ₹71.81 38
10Y Revenue Exit ₹15.45 ₹28.27 ₹46.98 36
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹28.75 ₹55.84 ₹95.92 37
10Y P/E Exit ₹21.43 ₹39.88 ₹64.87 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹14.93 ₹60.14 ₹81.80 54
Lynch FV ₹15.00 ₹21.43 ₹27.85 50
PEG = 1.0 ₹15.00 ₹21.43 ₹27.85 46
EPV ₹32.19 ₹37.76 ₹42.57 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹4.39 ₹8.75 ₹13.25 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹4.39 ₹7.56 ₹9.24 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹36.22 ₹48.29 ₹60.37 63
P/S Multiple ₹22.16 ₹29.54 ₹36.93 58
P/B Multiple ₹27.99 ₹37.32 ₹46.65 55
EV/EBIT ₹55.13 ₹74.55 ₹93.97 53
EV/EBITDA ₹52.41 ₹70.92 ₹89.43 54
EV/Revenue ₹17.56 ₹26.42 ₹35.29 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹19.09 ₹25.58 ₹38.18 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹15.79 ₹27.63 ₹45.94 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹16.57 ₹30.30 ₹47.26 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹29.37 ₹29.90 ₹29.26 76
ROIC Compounder ₹32.19 ₹37.76 ₹48.68 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹26.96 ₹38.51 ₹50.07 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹39.88) versus Dividend Discount (₹7.56). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹1.8B
Revenue growth (YoY) -77.1%
Net margin -26.3%
Return on equity -9.4%
P/E ratio 65.4 as of Aug 2, 2026
Operating margin -21.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ₹0.2790
Dividend yield 1.0%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 49
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 37
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 59
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 40
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Oriental Hotels Limited owns, operates, and manages hotels, palaces, and resorts primarily in India. The company's hotel portfolio includes the Taj Coromandel, Chennai; Taj Fisherman's Cove Resort & Spa, Chennai; Taj Malabar Resort & Spa, Cochin; Vivanta, Coimbatore; The Gateway Hotel, Pasumalai, Madurai; Gateway, Coonoor; and The Gateway Hotel, Old Port …

Full company description

Oriental Hotels Limited owns, operates, and manages hotels, palaces, and resorts primarily in India. The company's hotel portfolio includes the Taj Coromandel, Chennai; Taj Fisherman's Cove Resort & Spa, Chennai; Taj Malabar Resort & Spa, Cochin; Vivanta, Coimbatore; The Gateway Hotel, Pasumalai, Madurai; Gateway, Coonoor; and The Gateway Hotel, Old Port Road, Mangalore. It also provides accommodation, restaurant, and catering services. The company was founded in 1970 and is based in Chennai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Oriental Hotels Limited reported revenue of ₹4.4B in FY2025 versus ₹1.2B in FY2021, a compound +39.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹392M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 72/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
₹4.4B
Latest YoY
+11.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+26.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.6%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.0%
Revenue +39.6%/yr
FY21 ₹1.2B
FY22 ₹2.2B
FY23 ₹3.9B
FY24 ₹3.9B
FY25 ₹4.4B
Net income
FY21 −₹713M
FY22 −₹203M
FY23 ₹543M
FY24 ₹497M
FY25 ₹392M

500314 screens 73% overvalued. Compare with Marriott International, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Oriental Hotels Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/500314

Peer Group

Lodging · 165 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside −75% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -26% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -21% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -77% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.09× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Lodging median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 65.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 6.8× · Cheaper than median

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Lodging stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Marriott International, Inc MAR $354.58 $132.35 -63%
Hilton Worldwide Holdings HLT $322.53 $122.02 -62%
InterContinental Hotels Group IHG $161.82 $85.18 -47%
Hyatt Hotels Corporation H $178.37 $46.78 -74%
H World Group HTHT $41.25 $47.78 +16%
The Indian Hotels Company INDHOTEL ₹724.00 ₹253.67 -65%
Hanjin Kal, 180640 118,200 KRW 36,890 KRW -69%
Jabal Omar Development Company 4250 16.00 SAR 11.64 SAR -27%
Makkah Construction and Development Company 4100 81.95 SAR 36.25 SAR -56%
Minor International Public Company MINT 22.90 THB 32.82 THB +43%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Oriental Hotels Limited (500314) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹33.58 versus a price of ₹122.60, about −73% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 500314?
Our model-based fair value for Oriental Hotels Limited is ₹33.58 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹122.60.
What is the quality score of 500314?
Oriental Hotels Limited has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Oriental Hotels Limited (500314)?
Oriental Hotels Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹1.8B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 500314?
The net profit margin of Oriental Hotels Limited is about -26.3%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Oriental Hotels Limited pay a dividend?
Oriental Hotels Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.95% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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