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Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited (502450) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 13, 2026
Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited
502450 · BSEStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value ₹155.08 · Strongly overvalued (−38%)
!Quality 59/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +16.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.9% net margin (FY2025)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹126.31 – ₹384.22 · fair‑value band ₹104.48 – ₹219.72 · the ₹251.25 price screens above the ₹155.08 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Company profile
Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited operates an integrated pulp, paper, and paper board mill in India. The company produces writing, printing, kraft, and poster papers; newsprint, coated/uncoated wood free, and tissue papers; and papers and boards for packaging applications. It also exports its products.
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Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited operates an integrated pulp, paper, and paper board mill in India. The company produces writing, printing, kraft, and poster papers; newsprint, coated/uncoated wood free, and tissue papers; and papers and boards for packaging applications. It also exports its products. In addition, the company holds interests in properties. Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited was incorporated in 1960 and is based in Erode, India.
Stock analysis
Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited (502450) currently trades at ₹251.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹155.08, implying the stock looks roughly 62.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹360.35 per share, and 10 of the 25 models we run sit above the ₹251.25 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹51.96, and 15 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: ₹104.48 (bear) to ₹219.72 (bull), the price of ₹251.25 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited reported revenue of ₹16.9B in FY2025 versus ₹13.6B in FY2021, a compound +5.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹825M in FY2025, compounding −6.9%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap ₹15.8B (≈ $166M) · P/E ratio 5.2 · P/S ratio 0.25 · EPS (TTM) ₹28.98 · Net margin 4.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.7% · Free cash flow ₹364M · Net debt ₹687M.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 22% fair-value upside, at −38%, 502450 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹104.48
Fair Value ₹155.08
Bull ₹219.72
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹20.41 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
₹98.06
₹135.93
₹186.94
79
Growth DCF
₹100.74
₹136.07
₹181.78
77
Owner Earnings
₹191.81
₹266.68
₹367.50
75
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
₹98.06
₹135.93
₹186.94
79
Owner Earnings
₹191.81
₹266.68
₹367.50
75
5Y Revenue Exit
₹113.74
₹173.81
₹247.50
70
5Y EBITDA Exit
₹144.47
₹227.90
₹320.53
73
5Y P/E Exit
₹188.43
₹305.25
₹420.87
68
10Y Revenue Exit
₹103.20
₹154.63
₹217.53
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
₹125.43
₹190.18
₹269.06
66
10Y P/E Exit
₹152.18
₹241.01
₹339.85
62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
₹147.82
₹324.34
₹413.38
64
PEG = 1.0
₹51.43
₹73.47
₹95.52
55
EPV
₹104.51
₹120.69
₹134.65
71
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
₹36.48
₹56.35
₹77.35
66
DDM Multi-Stage
₹36.48
₹51.96
₹68.72
65
Multiples
P/E Multiple
₹277.15
₹369.54
₹461.92
63
P/S Multiple
₹277.15
₹369.54
₹461.92
58
P/B Multiple
₹277.15
₹369.54
₹461.92
55
EV/EBIT
₹151.85
₹201.78
₹251.70
66
EV/EBITDA
₹197.97
₹263.27
₹328.57
67
EV/Revenue
₹131.88
₹187.51
₹243.15
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
₹268.92
₹360.35
₹537.84
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
₹100.74
₹136.07
₹181.78
77
Rev-Margin DCF
₹113.74
₹174.77
₹238.97
70
Economic Profit
Residual Income
₹393.99
₹386.49
₹340.24
74
ROIC Compounder
₹104.51
₹120.69
₹134.65
70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
₹208.74
₹298.21
₹387.67
65
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
59/100
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Profitability
35
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
26
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
76
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
74
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.7%
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−5.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−5.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6% vs −5%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 3%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+31.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
502450 screens 62% overvalued. Compare with UPM-Kymmene Oyj →
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Context: sector, industry, market
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Indian Stocks
- Valuation of the India market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Paper & Paper Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| UPM-Kymmene Oyj UPM | €25.77 | €15.33 | −41% |
| Suzano S.A SUZ | $9.36 | $24.05 | +157% |
| Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ) SCAA | kr 117.00 | kr 45.12 | −61% |
| Shandong Sunpaper Co 002078 | ¥14.14 | ¥17.29 | +22% |
| Holmen AB HOLMB | kr 321.40 | kr 217.72 | −32% |
| Nine Dragons Paper (Holdings) Limited 2689 | HK$6.30 | HK$8.78 | +39% |
| PT Indah Kiat Pulp & Paper Tbk INKP | 8,850 IDR | 13,966 IDR | +58% |
| Empresas CMPC S.A CMPC | 1,011 CLP | 1,291 CLP | +28% |
| The Navigator Company NVG | €3.24 | €1.99 | −39% |
| Xianhe Co 603733 | ¥18.38 | ¥18.80 | +2% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited (502450) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹155.08 versus a price of ₹251.25, about −38% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 502450?
Our model-based fair value for Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited is ₹155.08 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹251.25.
What is the quality score of 502450?
Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited (502450)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹155.08 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹104.48, optimistic scenario ₹219.72. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹155.08, about −38% upside versus a price of ₹251.25 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹104.48, optimistic scenario ₹219.72. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited (502450)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited would have to grow free cash flow by +31.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 15.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +16.7 % per year. As of Sep 13, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 502450 use?
Our models discount Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited at 15.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited that is +31.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (15.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited (502450) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited grew +16.7 % a year. The price currently implies +31.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited (502450) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited (+31.6 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited (502450)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 2.30 %: that much free cash flow Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (15.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited (502450)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited it is ₹155.08 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ₹251.25. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 502450 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹251.25, fair value ₹155.08, a gap of about −38% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 502450?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹251.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹155.08). For Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited the two are ₹96.17 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited worth?
The market values Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited at about ₹15.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ₹251.25; our models calculate a fair value of ₹155.08 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 502450?
Our models span a range for Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited: cautious scenario ₹104.48, base ₹155.08, optimistic ₹219.72 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ₹251.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How far is 502450 from its 52-week high?
Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited trades at ₹251.25, about 20% below its 52-week high of ₹312.46 and 20% above the low of ₹210.15 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹155.08 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value UPM-Kymmene Oyj, Suzano S.A, Svenska Cellulosa Aktiebolaget SCA (publ), Shandong Sunpaper Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ₹251.25, calculated fair value ₹155.08 (−38%), Quality Score 59/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 502450 calculated?
We run Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹155.08, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹219.72). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹104.48 to ₹219.72) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited (502450)?
The market capitalisation of Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited is ₹15.8B (≈ $166M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/E ratio of Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited (502450)?
The price-to-earnings ratio of Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited is 5.2 (as of Jul 4, 2026). Price to earnings: how many years of current profit you pay for the stock. A P/E of 10 means ten years of profit.
What is the P/S ratio of Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited (502450)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited is 0.25 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited (502450)?
Earnings per share at Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited are ₹28.98 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 5.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited (502450)?
The net margin of Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited is 4.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited (502450)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited is 9.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
How much net debt does Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited (502450) carry?
The net debt of Seshasayee Paper and Boards Limited is ₹687M (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 1.9 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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