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Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited (503101) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited ₹279, price ₹389, upside -28.2%, quality 46 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited
503101 · BSEWeak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.
!Fair value ₹279.21 · Overvalued (−28.2%)
!Quality 46/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +19.2 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 12.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
!0.3% dividend yield · Token dividend
!Moderate moat 55/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!The models disagree: range ₹231.22 to ₹628.97
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹57.77 – ₹759.50 · fair‑value band ₹231.22 – ₹628.97 · the ₹389.05 price screens above the ₹279.21 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited constructs, develops, and sells commercial and residential real estate projects in India. The company was founded in 1969 and is based in Mumbai, India. Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited is a subsidiary of Marathon Realty Private Limited.
Stock analysis
Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited (503101) currently trades at ₹389.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹279.21, 28.2% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹565.01 per share, and 5 of the 9 models we run sit above the ₹389.05 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹172.89, and 4 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹231.22 (bear) to ₹628.97 (bull), the price of ₹389.05 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited reported revenue of ₹5.8B in FY2025 versus ₹2.1B in FY2021, a compound +29.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.9B in FY2025, compounding +87.2%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap ₹2.3B (≈ $24.0M) · P/E ratio 10.5 · P/S ratio 3.37 · EPS (TTM) ₹4.84 · Dividend yield 0.3% · Net margin 32.2% · Return on equity 3.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial peers we cover trades at 85% fair-value upside, at −28%, 503101 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹231.22
Fair Value ₹279.21
Bull ₹628.97
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹3.84 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
₹259.52
₹363.64
₹640.03
70
EV/EBITDA
₹404.19
₹565.01
₹725.83
67
EV/EBIT
₹533.02
₹736.78
₹940.54
66
All 9 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
₹9.92
₹19.76
₹29.93
64
DDM Multi-Stage
₹9.92
₹17.08
₹20.86
65
Multiples
P/S Multiple
₹517.07
₹689.42
₹861.78
58
P/B Multiple
₹387.06
₹516.08
₹645.10
55
EV/EBIT
₹533.02
₹736.78
₹940.54
66
EV/EBITDA
₹404.19
₹565.01
₹725.83
67
EV/Revenue
₹258.87
₹403.35
₹547.84
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
₹129.02
₹172.89
₹258.04
54
Economic Profit
Residual Income
₹259.52
₹363.64
₹640.03
70
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
46/100
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Profitability
50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
32
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
67
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
67
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
41
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
7
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
63
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
49/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−17.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+19.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +37.9% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.1%
’14
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’19
’20
’21
’22
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’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+21.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+21.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.3%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.24% → 29%
503101 screens overvalued: fair value 28% below the price. Compare with MODIS →
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Development · 27 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Development median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Real Estate sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Real Estate
- Undervalued stocks: Indian Stocks
- Valuation of the India market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| MODIS MODIS | ₹369.95 | ₹87.27 | −76% |
| BRNP BRNP | 98.50 PHP | 182.01 PHP | +85% |
| SAMOR SAMOR | ₹98.95 | ₹18.44 | −81% |
| HBESD HBESD | ₹70.50 | ₹176.25 | +150% |
| SHRIKRISH SHRIKRISH | ₹32.40 | ₹27.66 | −15% |
| THAKDEV THAKDEV | ₹133.95 | ₹18.28 | −86% |
| GARNET GARNET | ₹46.33 | ₹115.83 | +150% |
| Shristi Infrastructure Development Corporation 511411 | ₹28.99 | ₹72.48 | +150% |
| VICTMILL VICTMILL | ₹8,267 | ₹20,668 | +150% |
| TRESCON TRESCON | ₹6.73 | ₹10.04 | +49% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited (503101) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹279.21 versus a price of ₹389.05, about −28% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 503101?
Our model-based fair value for Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited is ₹279.21 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹389.05.
What is the quality score of 503101?
Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited (503101)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹279.21 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹231.22, optimistic scenario ₹628.97. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹279.21, about −28% upside versus a price of ₹389.05 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹231.22, optimistic scenario ₹628.97. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited pay a dividend?
Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.26% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited (503101)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited it is ₹279.21 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹389.05. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 503101 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹389.05, fair value ₹279.21, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 503101?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹389.05); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹279.21). For Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited the two are ₹109.84 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited worth?
The market values Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited at about ₹2.3B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹389.05; our models calculate a fair value of ₹279.21 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 503101?
Our models span a range for Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited: cautious scenario ₹231.22, base ₹279.21, optimistic ₹628.97 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹389.05). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 503101?
Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹279.21 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.2, P/S 1.3, EV/EBITDA 10.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited (503101)?
Balance-sheet figures for Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.1%, debt of 0.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 503101 from its 52-week high?
Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited trades at ₹389.05, about 41% below its 52-week high of ₹661.00 and 13% above the low of ₹344.85 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹279.21 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited?
From the same area (Financial) we also value MODIS, BRNP, SAMOR, HBESD, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹389.05, calculated fair value ₹279.21 (−28%), Quality Score 46/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 503101 calculated?
We run Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited through 9 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹279.21, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited (503101)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹389.05. Our model-based fair value is ₹279.21, about −28% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited right now?
The model range is unusually wide (₹231.22 to ₹628.97). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited (503101)?
The market capitalisation of Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited is ₹2.3B (≈ $24.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited (503101)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited is 3.37 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited (503101)?
Earnings per share at Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited are ₹4.84 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited (503101)?
The dividend yield of Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited is 0.3% (payout 20.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited (503101)?
The net margin of Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited is 32.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited (503101)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited is 3.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited (503101)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited is 7.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited (503101)?
The operating margin of Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited is 30.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited (503101)?
Revenue at Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited is growing −69.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +23.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited (503101)?
Earnings per share at Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited are growing −59.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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