HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. (HBESD) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. stock ₹190, price ₹76.66, upside +147.8%, quality 48 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 14 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹9.51 – ₹125.10 · fair‑value band ₹85.39 – ₹323.44 · the ₹76.66 price screens below the ₹190.00 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 5, 2026.
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HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. (HBESD) currently trades at ₹76.66, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹190.00, implying the stock looks roughly 60% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹325.21 per share, and 11 of the 14 models we run sit above the ₹76.66 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹56.47, and 3 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹85.39 (bear) to ₹323.44 (bull), the price of ₹76.66 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. reported revenue of ₹1.2B in FY2026 versus ₹499M in FY2022, a compound +23.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹117M in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap ₹1.8B (≈ $18.7M) Micro · P/E ratio 13.3 · P/S ratio 1.46 · EPS (TTM) ₹5.78 · Net margin 10.6% · Return on equity 6.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0% (5-year average) · Operating margin 19.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 45 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at 148%, HBESD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear₹85.39Fair Value ₹190.00Bull₹323.44
Price ₹76.66 · Upside +147.8%
Capped: our models arrive at a very high value here. We deliberately show a more cautious Fair Value.
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹3.53 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.89/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+37.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+3.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−81% → 28%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−1.2%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −5.1% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Development · 23 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside+147.8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.6% · Above median
Return on assets2.4% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)10.6% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)19.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)16.8% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.15× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Development median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)13.3× · Cheaper than median
P/B0.91× · Cheaper than median
P/S (12 months)1.46× · Cheaper than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)4.0× · Pricier than median
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Is HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. (HBESD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 5, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹190.00 versus a price of ₹76.66, about +148% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HBESD?
Our model-based fair value for HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. is ₹190.00 (as of Nov 5, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹76.66.
What is the quality score of HBESD?
HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. (HBESD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹190.00 (as of Nov 5, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹85.39, optimistic scenario ₹323.44. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹190.00, about +148% upside versus a price of ₹76.66 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹85.39, optimistic scenario ₹323.44. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. (HBESD)?
HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹1.2B (latest available figure, as of Nov 5, 2026).
What growth is priced into HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. (HBESD)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. would have to grow free cash flow by -1.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +37.3 % per year. As of Nov 5, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HBESD use?
Our models discount HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.53, country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. that is -1.2 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. (HBESD) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. grew +37.3 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -1.2 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
What is the free cash flow yield of HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. (HBESD)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 24.76 %: that much free cash flow HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. (HBESD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. it is ₹190.00 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026), against a price of ₹76.66. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models in 5 families (DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit).
Is HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 5, 2026, HBESD trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹76.66, fair value ₹190.00, a gap of about +148% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HBESD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹76.66); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹190.00). For HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. the two are ₹113.34 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. worth?
The market values HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. at about ₹1.8B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 5, 2026). Per share that is ₹76.66; our models calculate a fair value of ₹190.00 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HBESD?
Our models span a range for HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD.: cautious scenario ₹85.39, base ₹190.00, optimistic ₹323.44 per share (as of Nov 5, 2026, price ₹76.66). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HBESD?
HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.3 (as of Nov 5, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹190.00 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 9.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. (HBESD)?
Balance-sheet figures for HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. (as of Nov 5, 2026): return on equity 6.6%, debt of 1.15 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HBESD from its 52-week high?
HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. trades at ₹76.66, about 15% below its 52-week high of ₹90.10 and 34% above the low of ₹57.10 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹190.00 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD.?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value BRRL, MODIS, SHRADDHA, HAZOOR, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 5, 2026: price ₹76.66, calculated fair value ₹190.00 (+148%), Quality Score 48/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HBESD calculated?
We run HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. through 14 models from 5 families: DCF Models, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ₹190.00 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. currently trades 60% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. (HBESD)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ₹76.66. Our model-based fair value is ₹190.00, about +148% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (48/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹85.39). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The model range is unusually wide (₹85.39 to ₹323.44). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Key figures of HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. (HBESD)?
The market capitalisation of HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. is ₹1.8B (≈ $18.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. (HBESD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. is 1.46 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. (HBESD)?
Earnings per share at HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. are ₹5.78 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. (HBESD)?
The net margin of HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. is 10.6% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. (HBESD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. is 6.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. (HBESD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. is 5.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. (HBESD)?
The operating margin of HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. is 19.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. (HBESD)?
Revenue at HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. is growing +16.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +6.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. (HBESD)?
Earnings per share at HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. are growing +272% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. (HBESD) carry?
The net debt of HB ESTATE DEVELOPERS LTD. is ₹2.4B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 5.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 5, 2026