THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. (THAKDEV) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. ₹13.82, price ₹128, upside -89.2%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Structural break:
The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value ₹13.82 · Strongly overvalued (−89%)
!Quality 52/100
!Weak Growth(revenue 5y +5.3 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 14.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers(4/13)
!Narrow moat25/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹57.75 – ₹247.80 · fair‑value band ₹5.60 – ₹25.79 · the ₹127.65 price screens above the ₹13.82 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. (THAKDEV) currently trades at ₹127.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹13.82, implying the stock looks roughly 823.4% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of ₹116.35 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the ₹127.65 price.
Bear case: the Growth DCF group reads lowest at ₹16.75, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹5.60 (bear) to ₹25.79 (bull), the price of ₹127.65 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. reported revenue of ₹347M in FY2026 versus ₹299M in FY2022, a compound +3.8%/yr. Reported net income was ₹51.1M in FY2026, compounding −37.7%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹1.1B (≈ $11.9M) · P/E ratio 22.5 · P/S ratio 3.31 · EPS (TTM) ₹5.68 · Net margin 14.7% · Return on equity 3.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.1% · Operating margin −34.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 54% fair-value upside, at −89%, THAKDEV screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
The price assumes far more growth than our models allow for, so the models scatter widely (₹10.81 to ₹116.35). Read the Fair Value as a cautious anchor, not a price target; the Growth Forecast section shows what the price assumes.
Bear ₹5.60Fair Value ₹13.82Bull ₹25.79
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹2.75 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−14.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−14.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.36% → 5%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+44.6%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (India: IMF forecast 4.1% a year to 2030, 4.7% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +38.9% a year for the price.
Compare THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Development · 27 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score50 · Below median
Fair Value upside−89% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)15% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)−34% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−23% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.10× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Development median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)22.5× · Pricier than median
P/B0.74× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)3.31× · Pricier than median
P/FCF0.6× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA35.0× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 93
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 0
PAST (return on equity)13· sector 16
HEALTH (low debt)95· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 0
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. (THAKDEV) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹13.82 versus a price of ₹127.65, about −89% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of THAKDEV?
Our model-based fair value for THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. is ₹13.82 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹127.65.
What is the quality score of THAKDEV?
THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. (THAKDEV)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹13.82 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹5.60, optimistic scenario ₹25.79. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹13.82, about −89% upside versus a price of ₹127.65 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹5.60, optimistic scenario ₹25.79. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. (THAKDEV)?
THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹347M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. (THAKDEV)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. would have to grow free cash flow by +44.6 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +5.3 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of THAKDEV use?
Our models discount THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. at 13.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), country premium for India. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. that is +44.6 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. (THAKDEV) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. grew +5.3 % a year. The price currently implies +44.6 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
What is the free cash flow yield of THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. (THAKDEV)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.69 %: that much free cash flow THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. (THAKDEV)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. it is ₹13.82 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of ₹127.65. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, THAKDEV trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹127.65, fair value ₹13.82, a gap of about −89% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of THAKDEV?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹127.65); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹13.82). For THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. the two are ₹113.83 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. worth?
The market values THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. at about ₹1.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is ₹127.65; our models calculate a fair value of ₹13.82 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about THAKDEV?
Our models span a range for THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD.: cautious scenario ₹5.60, base ₹13.82, optimistic ₹25.79 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price ₹127.65). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of THAKDEV?
THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.5 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹13.82 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 3.3, EV/EBITDA 35.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. (THAKDEV)?
Balance-sheet figures for THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 3.3%, debt of 0.10 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is THAKDEV from its 52-week high?
THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. trades at ₹127.65, about 25% below its 52-week high of ₹170.50 and 47% above the low of ₹86.63 (as of Sep 22, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹13.82 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD.?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value CPI FIM SA, NIRLON, BRRL, ARIHANT, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price ₹127.65, calculated fair value ₹13.82 (−89%), Quality Score 52/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of THAKDEV calculated?
We run THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹13.82, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. (THAKDEV)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was ₹127.65. Our model-based fair value is ₹13.82, about −89% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹25.79). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (₹5.60 to ₹25.79). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD.
How large is the market capitalisation of THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. (THAKDEV)?
The market capitalisation of THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. is ₹1.1B (≈ $11.9M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. (THAKDEV)?
The price-to-sales ratio of THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. is 3.31 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. (THAKDEV)?
Earnings per share at THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. are ₹5.68 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. (THAKDEV)?
The net margin of THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. is 14.7% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. (THAKDEV)?
The return on equity (ROE) of THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. is 3.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. (THAKDEV)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. is 5.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. (THAKDEV)?
The operating margin of THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. is −34.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. (THAKDEV)?
Revenue at THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. is growing −22.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. (THAKDEV)?
Earnings per share at THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. are growing +39.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. (THAKDEV) carry?
The net debt of THAKKERS DEVELOPERS LTD. is ₹151M (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 7.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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