Modis Navnirman Ltd (MODIS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Modis Navnirman Ltd stock ₹94.56, price ₹425, that is 77.8% below the price, quality 44 out of 100. Rating: strongly overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 7 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.
How to read this chart
52‑month range ₹46.97 – ₹429.75 · fair‑value band ₹75.48 – ₹136.92 · the ₹425.25 price screens above the ₹94.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.
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Modis Navnirman Ltd (MODIS) currently trades at ₹425.25, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹94.56, 78% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹253.19 per share, and 0 of the 7 models we run sit above the ₹425.25 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹77.78, and 7 of the 7 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: ₹75.48 (bear) to ₹136.92 (bull), the price of ₹425.25 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Modis Navnirman Ltd reported revenue of ₹1.9B in FY2026 versus ₹85.1M in FY2022, a compound +117.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹292M in FY2026, compounding +142.8%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap ₹8.3B (≈ $88.7M) Micro · P/E ratio 27.0 · P/S ratio 4.12 · EPS (TTM) ₹15.74 · Net margin 15.3% · Return on equity 20.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.8% (5-year average) · Operating margin 19.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 66 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −78%, MODIS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear₹75.48Fair Value ₹94.56Bull₹136.92
Price ₹425.25 · Downside -77.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹9.62 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+84.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+69.7%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+72.3%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 3 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 3 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+74.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+74.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 18%
2026 sits 336% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 3 years, not that single year.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Development · 23 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Below median
Fair Value upside−77.8% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)20.5% · Top 25%
Return on assets9.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)15.3% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)19.8% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)27.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Development median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)27.0× · Pricier than median
P/B5.32× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)4.12× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA21.5× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 100
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 22
PAST (return on equity)82· sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 0
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Modis Navnirman Ltd (MODIS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹94.56 versus a price of ₹425.25, about 78% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MODIS?
Our model-based fair value for Modis Navnirman Ltd is ₹94.56 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹425.25.
What is the quality score of MODIS?
Modis Navnirman Ltd has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Modis Navnirman Ltd (MODIS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹94.56 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹75.48, optimistic scenario ₹136.92. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Modis Navnirman Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹94.56, about 78% lower versus a price of ₹425.25 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹75.48, optimistic scenario ₹136.92. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Modis Navnirman Ltd (MODIS)?
Modis Navnirman Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹2.0B (latest available figure, as of Nov 9, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Modis Navnirman Ltd (MODIS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Modis Navnirman Ltd it is ₹94.56 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of ₹425.25. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models in 3 families (Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Modis Navnirman Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, MODIS trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹425.25, fair value ₹94.56, a gap of about −78% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of MODIS?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹425.25); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹94.56). For Modis Navnirman Ltd the two are ₹330.69 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Modis Navnirman Ltd worth?
The market values Modis Navnirman Ltd at about ₹8.3B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is ₹425.25; our models calculate a fair value of ₹94.56 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about MODIS?
Our models span a range for Modis Navnirman Ltd: cautious scenario ₹75.48, base ₹94.56, optimistic ₹136.92 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price ₹425.25). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of MODIS?
Modis Navnirman Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.0 (as of Nov 9, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹94.56 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 5.3, P/S 4.1, EV/EBITDA 21.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Modis Navnirman Ltd (MODIS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Modis Navnirman Ltd (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity 20.5%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is MODIS from its 52-week high?
Modis Navnirman Ltd trades at ₹425.25, about 1% below its 52-week high of ₹429.75 and 47% above the low of ₹290.00 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹94.56 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Modis Navnirman Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value BRRL, SHRADDHA, HAZOOR, SAMOR, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Modis Navnirman Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price ₹425.25, calculated fair value ₹94.56 (−78%), Quality Score 44/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of MODIS calculated?
We run Modis Navnirman Ltd through 7 models from 3 families: Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of ₹94.56 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Modis Navnirman Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Modis Navnirman Ltd (MODIS)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was ₹425.25. Our model-based fair value is ₹94.56, about 78% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Modis Navnirman Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹136.92). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (₹75.48 to ₹136.92) leaves room in how you read the outcome. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Modis Navnirman Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Modis Navnirman Ltd (MODIS)?
The market capitalisation of Modis Navnirman Ltd is ₹8.3B (≈ $88.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Modis Navnirman Ltd (MODIS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Modis Navnirman Ltd is 4.12 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Modis Navnirman Ltd (MODIS)?
Earnings per share at Modis Navnirman Ltd are ₹15.74 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Modis Navnirman Ltd (MODIS)?
The net margin of Modis Navnirman Ltd is 15.3% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Modis Navnirman Ltd (MODIS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Modis Navnirman Ltd is 20.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Modis Navnirman Ltd (MODIS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Modis Navnirman Ltd is 10.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Modis Navnirman Ltd (MODIS)?
The operating margin of Modis Navnirman Ltd is 19.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Modis Navnirman Ltd (MODIS)?
Revenue at Modis Navnirman Ltd is growing +27.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +69.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Modis Navnirman Ltd (MODIS)?
Earnings per share at Modis Navnirman Ltd are growing +25.6% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Modis Navnirman Ltd (MODIS) generate?
The free cash flow of Modis Navnirman Ltd is −₹23.6M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Modis Navnirman Ltd (MODIS) carry?
The net debt of Modis Navnirman Ltd is ₹41.5M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 9, 2026