Modis Navnirman Ltd (MODIS) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · IN · Market cap ₹7.6B (≈ $80.5M) · ISIN INE0L0L01012
What is Modis Navnirman Ltd really worth?
Below-average quality, and trading another 58% above our fair value of ₹241.58.
As of Aug 25, 2026, the fair value of Modis Navnirman Ltd is ₹241.58 per share against a price of ₹380.95, so the fair value sits 37% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 25, 2026
From 9 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Share price −7.4% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide (₹112.30 to ₹399.76). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (4 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.
How to read this chart
50‑month range ₹46.97 – ₹417.25 · fair‑value band ₹112.30 – ₹399.76 · the ₹380.95 price screens above the ₹241.58 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.
Analysis
Modis Navnirman Ltd (MODIS) currently trades at ₹380.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹241.58, implying the stock looks roughly 57.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹253.19 per share, and 1 of the 9 models we run sit above the ₹380.95 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹53.58, and 8 of the 9 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Modis Navnirman Ltd generated revenue of ₹1.9B at a net margin of 15.4%. Revenue grew 158.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.3%. Net debt stands at ₹41.5M. Fundamentals as of Aug 25, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹112.30 (bear case) to ₹399.76 (bull case); at ₹380.95, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 45% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at −37%, MODIS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
This estimate rests on fiscal year 2026 figures, and about 5 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹6.87 per share, which is 2.8 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 9 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (₹253.19) versus Dividend Discount (₹13.06). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (67).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 69
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Modis Navnirman Ltd reported revenue of ₹1.9B in FY2026 versus ₹85.1M in FY2022, a compound +117.2%/yr. Reported net income was ₹292M in FY2026, compounding +142.8%/yr from FY2022. FY2022 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
MODIS screens 58% overvalued. Compare with CPI FIM SA →
Peer Group
Real Estate Development · 29 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Development median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 25, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CPI FIM SA OPG | 3.50 PLN | 3.15 PLN | −10% |
| NIRLON NIRLON | ₹640.30 | ₹625.72 | −2% |
| Sunteck Realty Limited 512179 | ₹299.45 | ₹153.98 | −49% |
| BRRL BRRL | ₹940.00 | ₹650.57 | −31% |
| ARIHANT ARIHANT | ₹1,016 | ₹922.89 | −9% |
| BRNP BRNP | 98.00 PHP | 178.37 PHP | +82% |
| Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited 503101 | ₹365.10 | ₹38.14 | −90% |
| NAVKAR NAVKAR | ₹0.9600 | ₹1.91 | +99% |
| SAMOR SAMOR | ₹91.30 | ₹18.44 | −80% |
| HBESD HBESD | ₹77.26 | ₹86.66 | +12% |
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