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Kanpur Plastipack Limited (507779) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Kanpur Plastipack Limited ₹138, price ₹245, upside -43.9%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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KP
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Kanpur Plastipack Limited
507779 · BSEStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value ₹137.64 · Strongly overvalued (−43.9%)
✓Quality 62/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +14.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
✓0.2% dividend yield · Well covered
!Narrow moat 36/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹72.77 – ₹276.85 · fair‑value band ₹98.93 – ₹178.94 · the ₹245.45 price screens above the ₹137.64 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Kanpur Plastipack Limited manufactures and exports flexible intermediate bulk containers (FIBC) worldwide.
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Kanpur Plastipack Limited manufactures and exports flexible intermediate bulk containers (FIBC) worldwide. It also provides small polypropylene (PP)/HDPE woven sacks and bags, including laminated and unlaminated, printed and unprinted, box bags and bale wraps, pallet covers, food grain bags, fertilizer bags, and cement bags, as well as liner and gusseted bags, valve bags, and bale wraps. In addition, the company offers PP/HDPE woven fabrics, such as laminated, unlaminated, circular, and circular cut open fabrics; and various accessories for use in the manufacture of FIBCs and woven bags comprising webbings, PP filler cords, dust proof cords, tie strings, B-locks, and Velcro. Further, it provides ventilated interlocked, ventilated without interlocked, conductive, and food grade fabrics; and a range of PP multi filament yarns for use in various industries. The company was founded in 1971 and is based in Kanpur, India.
Stock analysis
Kanpur Plastipack Limited (507779) currently trades at ₹245.45, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹137.64, 43.9% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹303.32 per share, and 10 of the 24 models we run sit above the ₹245.45 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹96.23, and 14 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹98.93 (bear) to ₹178.94 (bull), the price of ₹245.45 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Goods sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Kanpur Plastipack Limited reported revenue of ₹6.3B in FY2025 versus ₹4.5B in FY2021, a compound +8.6%/yr. Reported net income was ₹111M in FY2025, compounding −22.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap ₹1.4B (≈ $14.7M) · P/E ratio 13.2 · P/S ratio 0.23 · EPS (TTM) ₹9.09 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 1.8% · Return on equity 9.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Goods peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −44%, 507779 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹98.93
Fair Value ₹137.64
Bull ₹178.94
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹8.49 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
₹267.35
₹491.93
₹875.94
77
Residual Income
₹109.62
₹111.04
₹118.16
76
Growth DCF
₹263.46
₹463.82
₹791.22
75
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
₹267.35
₹491.93
₹875.94
77
Owner Earnings
₹163.31
₹303.32
₹542.72
73
5Y Revenue Exit
₹163.37
₹270.41
₹412.42
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
₹190.88
₹328.02
₹498.61
73
5Y P/E Exit
₹143.38
₹228.56
₹323.48
70
10Y Revenue Exit
₹192.74
₹306.28
₹475.31
65
10Y EBITDA Exit
₹214.78
₹347.91
₹546.92
67
10Y P/E Exit
₹183.78
₹276.02
₹401.42
63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
₹52.76
₹258.40
₹356.15
64
Lynch FV
₹69.41
₹99.16
₹128.91
61
PEG = 1.0
₹69.41
₹99.16
₹128.91
57
EPV
₹101.11
₹118.48
₹133.47
74
Multiples
P/E Multiple
₹98.93
₹131.90
₹164.88
63
P/S Multiple
₹98.93
₹131.90
₹164.88
58
P/B Multiple
₹98.93
₹131.90
₹164.88
55
EV/EBIT
₹132.29
₹179.36
₹226.43
66
EV/EBITDA
₹166.51
₹225.00
₹283.48
67
EV/Revenue
₹113.46
₹165.91
₹218.36
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
₹71.81
₹96.23
₹143.62
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
₹263.46
₹463.82
₹791.22
75
Rev-Margin DCF
₹163.37
₹269.95
₹410.34
71
Economic Profit
Residual Income
₹109.62
₹111.04
₹118.16
76
ROIC Compounder
₹101.11
₹118.48
₹133.47
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
₹96.35
₹137.64
₹178.94
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
62/100
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Profitability
50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
83
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
84
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
28
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
60
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
50
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+26.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.8% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.3%
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’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−22.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−23.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.3% → 3%
2025 sits 192% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
507779 screens overvalued: fair value 44% below the price. Compare with Smurfit Westrock Plc, →
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaging & Containers · 261 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaging & Containers median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Indian Stocks
- Valuation of the India market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Packaging & Containers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smurfit Westrock Plc, SW | $46.41 | $29.85 | −36% |
| Packaging Corporation PKG | $234.52 | $130.10 | −45% |
| International Paper Company IP | $32.52 | $21.53 | −34% |
| Ball Corporation BALL | $56.83 | $47.81 | −16% |
| Avery Dennison Corporation AVY | $170.78 | $125.35 | −27% |
| Crown Holdings CCK | $108.06 | $121.85 | +13% |
| Stora Enso Oyj STEAV | €10.45 | €9.66 | −8% |
| SIG Group SIGN | CHF 13.37 | CHF 9.59 | −28% |
| ShenZhen YUTO Packaging Technology Co 002831 | ¥29.00 | ¥31.90 | +10% |
| Sonoco Products Company SON | $50.06 | $61.98 | +24% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Kanpur Plastipack Limited (507779) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹137.64 versus a price of ₹245.45, about −44% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 507779?
Our model-based fair value for Kanpur Plastipack Limited is ₹137.64 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹245.45.
What is the quality score of 507779?
Kanpur Plastipack Limited has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kanpur Plastipack Limited (507779)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹137.64 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹98.93, optimistic scenario ₹178.94. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kanpur Plastipack Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹137.64, about −44% upside versus a price of ₹245.45 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹98.93, optimistic scenario ₹178.94. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kanpur Plastipack Limited (507779)?
Kanpur Plastipack Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹3.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Kanpur Plastipack Limited pay a dividend?
Kanpur Plastipack Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.24% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Kanpur Plastipack Limited (507779)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kanpur Plastipack Limited it is ₹137.64 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹245.45. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kanpur Plastipack Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 507779 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹245.45, fair value ₹137.64, a gap of about −44% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 507779?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹245.45); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹137.64). For Kanpur Plastipack Limited the two are ₹107.81 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kanpur Plastipack Limited worth?
The market values Kanpur Plastipack Limited at about ₹1.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹245.45; our models calculate a fair value of ₹137.64 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 507779?
Our models span a range for Kanpur Plastipack Limited: cautious scenario ₹98.93, base ₹137.64, optimistic ₹178.94 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹245.45). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 507779?
Kanpur Plastipack Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹137.64 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 4.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kanpur Plastipack Limited (507779)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kanpur Plastipack Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.8%, debt of 0.08 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 507779 from its 52-week high?
Kanpur Plastipack Limited trades at ₹245.45, about 11% below its 52-week high of ₹276.85 and 57% above the low of ₹156.80 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹137.64 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kanpur Plastipack Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Goods) we also value Smurfit Westrock Plc,, Packaging Corporation, International Paper Company, Ball Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kanpur Plastipack Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹245.45, calculated fair value ₹137.64 (−44%), Quality Score 62/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 507779 calculated?
We run Kanpur Plastipack Limited through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹137.64, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Kanpur Plastipack Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kanpur Plastipack Limited (507779)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹245.45. Our model-based fair value is ₹137.64, about −44% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kanpur Plastipack Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹178.94). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (62/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹98.93 to ₹178.94) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Kanpur Plastipack Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Kanpur Plastipack Limited (507779)?
The market capitalisation of Kanpur Plastipack Limited is ₹1.4B (≈ $14.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kanpur Plastipack Limited (507779)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kanpur Plastipack Limited is 0.23 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kanpur Plastipack Limited (507779)?
Earnings per share at Kanpur Plastipack Limited are ₹9.09 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 13.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kanpur Plastipack Limited (507779)?
The dividend yield of Kanpur Plastipack Limited is 0.2% (payout 6.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kanpur Plastipack Limited (507779)?
The net margin of Kanpur Plastipack Limited is 1.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kanpur Plastipack Limited (507779)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kanpur Plastipack Limited is 9.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kanpur Plastipack Limited (507779)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kanpur Plastipack Limited is 5.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kanpur Plastipack Limited (507779)?
The operating margin of Kanpur Plastipack Limited is 7.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kanpur Plastipack Limited (507779)?
Revenue at Kanpur Plastipack Limited is growing +27.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kanpur Plastipack Limited (507779)?
Earnings per share at Kanpur Plastipack Limited are growing +355% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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