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Ansal Housing Limited (507828) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Ansal Housing Limited is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Real Estate · IN · ISIN INE880B01015

AH Thin data Sep 13, 2026

Ansal Housing Limited

507828 · BSE

Cheap, value-trap riskThe stock looks deeply undervalued, but low quality raises value-trap risk.

Fair value ₹12.50 · Strongly undervalued (+150%)
!Quality 46/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +14.9 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -54.5% net margin (TTM)
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (3/9)
!Narrow moat 1/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 7 out of 100
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Price vs Fair Value

₹26.82 ₹2.88 Fair Value ₹12.50 Apr 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹2.88 – ₹26.82 · fair‑value band ₹9.60 – ₹15.65 · the ₹5.00 price screens below the ₹12.50 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.

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Company profile

Ansal Housing Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and construction of real estate properties in India. Its project portfolio includes townships, residential and commercial complexes, multistoried buildings, flats, houses, apartments, shopping malls, hotels, and movie halls.

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Ansal Housing Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and construction of real estate properties in India. Its project portfolio includes townships, residential and commercial complexes, multistoried buildings, flats, houses, apartments, shopping malls, hotels, and movie halls. The company also operates restaurants under The Great Kabab Factory brand name. The company was formerly known as Ansal Housing & Construction Limited and changed its name to Ansal Housing Limited in December 2018. Ansal Housing Limited was founded in 1983 and is headquartered in Ghaziabad, India.

Stock analysis

Ansal Housing Limited (507828) currently trades at ₹5.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹12.50, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 7 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: ₹9.60 (bear) to ₹15.65 (bull), the price of ₹5.00 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Ansal Housing Limited reported revenue of ₹3.4B in FY2026 versus ₹2.4B in FY2022, a compound +9.3%/yr. Reported net income was −₹374M in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap ₹348M (≈ $3.7M) · P/S ratio 0.23 · EPS (TTM) ₹−3.95 · Net margin −10.9% · Return on equity −22.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.7% · Operating margin −64.9% · Revenue growth (YoY) +1.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 61% below its 52-week high.

For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −14% fair-value upside, at 150%, 507828 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹9.60 Fair Value ₹12.50 Bull ₹15.65
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ₹104.24 ₹130.63 ₹176.36 82
Growth DCF ₹106.71 ₹131.66 ₹171.38 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹112.52 ₹166.19 ₹233.65 73
All 7 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹104.24 ₹130.63 ₹176.36 82
5Y Revenue Exit ₹112.52 ₹163.10 ₹238.36 72
10Y Revenue Exit ₹105.13 ₹141.52 ₹181.46 68
Multiples
EV/Revenue ₹130.64 ₹189.73 ₹248.82 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹8.39 ₹11.25 ₹16.79 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹106.71 ₹131.66 ₹171.38 80
Rev-Margin DCF ₹112.52 ₹166.19 ₹233.65 73

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 7

Profitability 6
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 25
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 97
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 1
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 21
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 2
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 61/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest YoY
−23.2%
Revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.9%
Revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.9%
Revenue growth/yr (12Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.0%
Share of sales kept as operating profit (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
0.4% (2021) → −1.2% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Development · 27 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/8 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 46 · Below median
Fair Value upside +172% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −55% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −65% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.52× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Development median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 85
FUTURE (revenue growth)7 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 1
HEALTH (low debt)74 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 10

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CPI FIM SA OPG 3.66 PLN 3.16 PLN −14%
NIRLON NIRLON ₹608.40 ₹672.33 +11%
Sunteck Realty Limited 512179 ₹299.45 ₹153.98 −49%
BRRL BRRL ₹920.00 ₹260.89 −72%
ARIHANT ARIHANT ₹938.00 ₹965.12 +3%
MODIS MODIS ₹367.80 ₹121.16 −67%
BRNP BRNP 100.00 PHP 182.01 PHP +82%
Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited 503101 ₹365.10 ₹38.14 −90%
NAVKAR NAVKAR ₹0.9600 ₹1.91 +99%
SAMOR SAMOR ₹91.50 ₹18.44 −80%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ansal Housing Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/507828

Frequently asked questions

Is Ansal Housing Limited (507828) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹12.50 versus a price of ₹5.00, about +150% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 507828?
Our model-based fair value for Ansal Housing Limited is ₹12.50 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹5.00.
What is the quality score of 507828?
Ansal Housing Limited has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Ansal Housing Limited (507828)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹12.50 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 7 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹9.60, optimistic scenario ₹15.65. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Ansal Housing Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹12.50, about +150% upside versus a price of ₹5.00 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹9.60, optimistic scenario ₹15.65. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of Ansal Housing Limited (507828)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ansal Housing Limited it is ₹12.50 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of ₹5.00. It is the blended result of 7 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Ansal Housing Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, 507828 trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹5.00, fair value ₹12.50, a gap of about +150% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 507828?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹5.00); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹12.50). For Ansal Housing Limited the two are ₹7.50 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Ansal Housing Limited worth?
The market values Ansal Housing Limited at about ₹348M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is ₹5.00; our models calculate a fair value of ₹12.50 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 507828?
Our models span a range for Ansal Housing Limited: cautious scenario ₹9.60, base ₹12.50, optimistic ₹15.65 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price ₹5.00). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Ansal Housing Limited (507828)?
Balance-sheet figures for Ansal Housing Limited (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity −22.9%, debt of 0.52 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 46/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 507828 from its 52-week high?
Ansal Housing Limited trades at ₹5.00, about 61% below its 52-week high of ₹12.70 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹12.50 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Ansal Housing Limited?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value CPI FIM SA, NIRLON, Sunteck Realty Limited, BRRL, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Ansal Housing Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price ₹5.00, calculated fair value ₹12.50 (+150%), Quality Score 46/100, from 7 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 507828 calculated?
We run Ansal Housing Limited through 7 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹12.50, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 32.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Ansal Housing Limited currently trades 150 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Ansal Housing Limited right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹9.60). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Key figures of Ansal Housing Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Ansal Housing Limited (507828)?
The market capitalisation of Ansal Housing Limited is ₹348M (≈ $3.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Ansal Housing Limited (507828)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Ansal Housing Limited is 0.23 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Ansal Housing Limited (507828)?
Earnings per share at Ansal Housing Limited are ₹−3.95. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Ansal Housing Limited (507828)?
The net margin of Ansal Housing Limited is −10.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Ansal Housing Limited (507828)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Ansal Housing Limited is −22.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Ansal Housing Limited (507828)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ansal Housing Limited is 1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Ansal Housing Limited (507828)?
The operating margin of Ansal Housing Limited is −64.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Ansal Housing Limited (507828)?
Revenue at Ansal Housing Limited is growing +1.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +10.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Ansal Housing Limited (507828) generate?
The free cash flow of Ansal Housing Limited is ₹900M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Ansal Housing Limited (507828) carry?
The net debt of Ansal Housing Limited is ₹2.8B (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 3.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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