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NIRLON LTD. (NIRLON) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · IN · Market cap ₹55.8B (≈ $591M) · ISIN INE910A01012

What is NIRLON LTD. really worth?

NL NIRLON LTD. NIRLON · BSE
Price₹619.80
Fair Value₹625.72
Upside+1.0%
Quality76/100

A strong business, currently priced close to our fair value of ₹625.72.

As of Aug 25, 2026, the fair value of NIRLON LTD. is ₹625.72 per share against a price of ₹619.80, so the fair value sits 1% above the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +16.1 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 51.7% net margin
Ranks above peers (9/14)
Wide moat 84/100

Risks

!High debt · generates free cash flow

For context

·4.84% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range ₹385.54 – ₹824.87

Fair value as of: Aug 25, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹385.54 to ₹824.87) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹650.00 ₹197.32 Fair Value ₹625.72 Mar 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹197.32 – ₹650.00 · fair‑value band ₹385.54 – ₹824.87 · the ₹619.80 price screens below the ₹625.72 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 25, 2026.

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Analysis

NIRLON LTD. (NIRLON) currently trades at ₹619.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹625.72, implying the stock looks roughly 1.0% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 76/100 (high quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹876.01 per share, and 6 of the 14 models we run sit above the ₹619.80 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at ₹482.66, and 8 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, NIRLON LTD. generated revenue of ₹6.7B at a net margin of 51.7%. Revenue grew 8.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 83.8%. Net debt stands at ₹11.4B. Fundamentals as of Aug 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹385.54 (bear case) to ₹824.87 (bull case); at ₹619.80, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 43% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −10% fair-value upside, at 1%, NIRLON screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly ₹5.72 per share, which is 0.9 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF best evidence ₹462.92 ₹876.01 ₹1,557 77
Growth DCF ₹464.62 ₹859.04 ₹1,502 75
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹517.01 ₹987.56 ₹1,561 73
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF best evidence ₹462.92 ₹876.01 ₹1,557 77
5Y Revenue Exit ₹305.99 ₹569.36 ₹912.62 71
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹517.01 ₹987.56 ₹1,561 73
10Y Revenue Exit ₹343.34 ₹605.70 ₹978.16 65
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹492.89 ₹905.39 ₹1,500 66
Multiples
P/S Multiple ₹361.99 ₹482.66 ₹603.32 58
P/B Multiple ₹78.00 ₹104.00 ₹130.00 55
EV/EBIT ₹726.42 ₹1,011 ₹1,295 66
EV/EBITDA ₹611.29 ₹857.10 ₹1,103 67
EV/Revenue ₹237.71 ₹393.65 ₹549.58 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹26.00 ₹34.84 ₹52.00 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹464.62 ₹859.04 ₹1,502 75
Rev-Margin DCF ₹297.64 ₹545.94 ₹845.01 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹306.63 ₹538.18 ₹13,819 64

Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹876.01) versus Asset-Based (₹34.84). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (77).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 16.1
P/S ratio 8.35 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) ₹38.38 price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.1
Dividend yield 4.8% payout 78.2%
Net margin 51.7% FY2025
Return on equity 83.8% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 13.8% avg 5y
Operating margin 69.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) ₹6.7B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.2% 3y avg +5.3%
EPS growth (YoY) +31.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow ₹4.3B FY2025
Net debt ₹11.4B FY2025 · ≈ 2.6 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 76/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 70
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 78
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 88
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 19
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 94
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 64
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 74
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

NIRLON LTD. reported revenue of ₹6.7B in FY2025 versus ₹3.8B in FY2021, a compound +14.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹3.5B in FY2025, compounding +32.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
₹6.7B
Latest YoY
+5.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.3%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (9Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+9.8%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in INR) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +30.4% (approximate, leans on 2025) · in INR
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share+25.6%
Dividend yield4.8%
Trend Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y 25.6% vs 10Y 21.1%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.55.0% (2020) → 69.6% (2025) · rising
⚠ Rate leans on 2025: that final year sits 68% above its own trend (e.g. a one-off disposal gain) and could not be adjusted
Revenue +14.9%/yr
FY21 ₹3.8B
FY22 ₹5.7B
FY23 ₹6.0B
FY24 ₹6.4B
FY25 ₹6.7B
Net income +32.9%/yr
FY21 ₹1.1B
FY22 ₹1.6B
FY23 ₹2.1B
FY24 ₹2.2B
FY25 ₹3.5B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NIRLON LTD. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/NIRLON

Peer Group

Real Estate Development · 29 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +1% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 84% · Top 25%
Return on assets 13% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 52% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 69% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.8% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 2.45× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Development median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 11.90× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 8.34× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.1× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 12.9× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE35 · sector 35
FUTURE41 · sector 0
PAST100 · sector 8
HEALTH0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND97 · sector 9

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 25, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CPI FIM SA OPG 3.50 PLN 3.15 PLN −10%
Sunteck Realty Limited 512179 ₹299.45 ₹153.98 −49%
BRRL BRRL ₹940.00 ₹650.57 −31%
ARIHANT ARIHANT ₹1,016 ₹922.89 −9%
MODIS MODIS ₹377.85 ₹241.58 −36%
BRNP BRNP 98.00 PHP 178.37 PHP +82%
Marathon Nextgen Realty Limited 503101 ₹365.10 ₹38.14 −90%
NAVKAR NAVKAR ₹0.9600 ₹1.91 +99%
SAMOR SAMOR ₹91.30 ₹18.44 −80%
HBESD HBESD ₹77.26 ₹86.66 +12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is NIRLON LTD. (NIRLON) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹625.72 versus a price of ₹619.80, about +1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of NIRLON?
Our model-based fair value for NIRLON LTD. is ₹625.72 (as of Aug 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹619.80.
What is the quality score of NIRLON?
NIRLON LTD. has a Quality Score of 76/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NIRLON LTD. (NIRLON)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹625.72 (as of Aug 25, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹385.54, optimistic scenario ₹824.87. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NIRLON LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹625.72, about +1% upside versus a price of ₹619.80 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ₹385.54, optimistic scenario ₹824.87. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NIRLON LTD. (NIRLON)?
NIRLON LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹6.7B (latest available figure, as of Aug 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of NIRLON?
The net profit margin of NIRLON LTD. is about 51.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 51.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does NIRLON LTD. pay a dividend?
NIRLON LTD. currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.84% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 25, 2026).
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