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Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited (509715) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited ₹47.25, price ₹84.14, upside -43.8%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? Yes
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Consumer Defensive · IN · ISIN INE364A01020

JS Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited

509715 · BSE

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value ₹47.25 · Strongly overvalued (−43.8%)

!Quality 52/100

!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +3.6 %/yr)

!Loss over the last twelve months · -3.2% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 14.7%

✓Low debt

·17.5% dividend yield · Safety not assessed

!Narrow moat 26/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

26 models, one by oneBear ₹47.25 to bull ₹75.84 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 52/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹72.23 – ₹156.89 · fair‑value band ₹47.25 – ₹75.84 · the ₹84.14 price screens above the ₹47.25 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited manufactures and sells tea in India and internationally. It operates through Tea, Chemical & Fertilizer, and Sugar segments. It has 21 tea estates in India. The company also manufactures and markets sugar; and chemicals and fertilizers comprising single super phosphate, sulphuric acid, and oleum. In addition, it offers warehousing services, as well as engages in the investment and non-banking financial activities. The company was founded in 1945 and is headquartered in Kolkata, India.

Stock analysis

Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited (509715) currently trades at ₹84.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹47.25, 43.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of ₹156.41 per share, and 12 of the 23 models we run sit above the ₹84.14 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹10.05, and 11 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹47.25 (bear) to ₹75.84 (bull), the price of ₹84.14 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited reported revenue of ₹8.6B in FY2025 versus ₹8.0B in FY2021, a compound +1.7%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.3B in FY2025, compounding +60.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap ₹2.4B (≈ $25.2M) · P/S ratio 0.20 · EPS (TTM) ₹−24.23 · Net margin 14.7% · Return on equity −8.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.5% · Operating margin 5.6% · Revenue (TTM) ₹8.2B.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 16% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −44%, 509715 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹47.25 Fair Value ₹47.25 Bull ₹75.84

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

Owner Earnings ₹326.24 ₹440.15 ₹655.56 76

Residual Income ₹235.34 ₹275.62 ₹404.36 75

FCF DCF ₹7.20 ₹16.46 ₹33.96 74

All 23 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF ₹7.20 ₹16.46 ₹33.96 74

Owner Earnings ₹326.24 ₹440.15 ₹655.56 76

5Y Revenue Exit ₹20.30 ₹42.16 ₹74.38 69

5Y EBITDA Exit ₹60.09 ₹109.82 ₹176.24 73

5Y P/E Exit ₹353.50 ₹608.68 ₹913.61 69

10Y Revenue Exit ₹13.43 ₹31.45 ₹52.39 64

10Y EBITDA Exit ₹38.74 ₹75.14 ₹117.50 66

10Y P/E Exit ₹214.97 ₹397.17 ₹588.76 62

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd ₹297.89 ₹502.01 ₹611.31 67

EPV ₹5.81 ₹10.05 ₹13.70 71

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM ₹0.0800 ₹0.1000 ₹0.1200 69

DDM Multi-Stage ₹0.0800 ₹0.1000 ₹0.1300 67

Multiples

P/E Multiple ₹689.96 ₹919.95 ₹1,150 63

P/S Multiple ₹356.60 ₹475.46 ₹594.33 58

P/B Multiple ₹558.54 ₹744.72 ₹930.90 55

EV/EBIT ₹54.22 ₹79.30 ₹104.38 65

EV/EBITDA ₹112.06 ₹156.41 ₹200.77 67

EV/Revenue ₹32.69 ₹55.70 ₹78.71 52

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) ₹72.57 ₹97.24 ₹145.13 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF ₹8.20 ₹17.18 ₹32.77 73

Economic Profit

Residual Income ₹235.34 ₹275.62 ₹404.36 75

ROIC Compounder ₹5.81 ₹10.05 ₹13.70 70

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E ₹487.20 ₹696.01 ₹904.81 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 77

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 90

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 11

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 47

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 66

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 60

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 46

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 26

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 40

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 45/100

The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Revenue growth 1 year

+15.6%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+5.7%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+3.6%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.8% a year

Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+1.1%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.

≈ −6.7%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year−6.7%

Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−12% → 2%

⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.9%/yr over ~6Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.

⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 487% above its own trend.

509715 screens overvalued: fair value 44% below the price. Compare with Archer-Daniels-Midland Company →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Farm Products · 284 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/8 measures

Overall it ranks above its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 52 · Below median

Profitability

Return on assets 2.4% · Above median

Net margin (TTM) −3.2% · Below median

Operating margin (TTM) 5.6% · Above median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 40.3% · Top 25%

Dividend yield (TTM) 17.5% · Top 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.16× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

EV/EBITDA 0.9× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Archer-Daniels-Midland Company ADM	$80.38	$38.02	−53%
Muyuan Foods Group 002714	¥40.48	¥115.35	+185%
Bunge Global SA BG	$108.14	$56.75	−48%
Tyson Foods, Inc TSN	$50.98	$37.06	−27%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498	¥14.51	¥12.08	−17%
Mowi ASA MOWI	kr 205.60	kr 280.90	+37%
SalMar ASA SALM	kr 580.50	kr 171.05	−71%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF	21.80 THB	55.71 THB	+156%
United Plantations Berhad 2089	32.58 MYR	35.84 MYR	+10%
Fujian Wanchen Food Group 300972	¥155.26	¥254.63	+64%

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Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited · Fair Value
₹47.25 −44%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/509715" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Jay Shree Tea &amp; Industries Limited · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">₹47.25</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−44%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/509715

Frequently asked questions

Is Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited (509715) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹47.25 versus a price of ₹84.14, about −44% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of 509715?

Our model-based fair value for Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited is ₹47.25 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹84.14.

What is the quality score of 509715?

Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited (509715)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹47.25 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹47.25, optimistic scenario ₹75.84. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at ₹47.25, about −44% upside versus a price of ₹84.14 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹47.25, optimistic scenario ₹75.84. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited (509715)?

Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹8.2B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited (509715)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited it is ₹47.25 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹84.14. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 24, 2026, 509715 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹84.14, fair value ₹47.25, a gap of about −44% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 509715?

No. The price is what the market pays today (₹84.14); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹47.25). For Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited the two are ₹36.89 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited worth?

The market values Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited at about ₹2.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹84.14; our models calculate a fair value of ₹47.25 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 509715?

Our models span a range for Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited: cautious scenario ₹47.25, base ₹47.25, optimistic ₹75.84 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹84.14). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

How solid is the balance sheet of Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited (509715)?

Balance-sheet figures for Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −8.7%, debt of 0.16 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 509715 from its 52-week high?

Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited trades at ₹84.14, about 21% below its 52-week high of ₹106.69 and 16% above the low of ₹72.23 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹47.25 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited?

From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Muyuan Foods Group, Bunge Global SA, Tyson Foods, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹84.14, calculated fair value ₹47.25 (−44%), Quality Score 52/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 509715 calculated?

We run Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹47.25, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited (509715)?

The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹84.14. Our model-based fair value is ₹47.25, about −44% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹75.84). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited (509715)?

The market capitalisation of Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited is ₹2.4B (≈ $25.2M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited (509715)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited is 0.20 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited (509715)?

Earnings per share at Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited are ₹−24.23. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the net margin of Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited (509715)?

The net margin of Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited is 14.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited (509715)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited is −8.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited (509715)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited is −0.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited (509715)?

The operating margin of Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited (509715)?

Revenue at Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited is growing +40.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +5.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited (509715)?

Earnings per share at Jay Shree Tea & Industries Limited are growing +18.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

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