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Hap Seng Plantations Holdings (5138) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · MY · Market cap 1.9B MYR

HS Hap Seng Plantations Holdings 5138 · KLSE
Price2.45 MYR
Fair Value3.28 MYR
Upside+33.9%
Quality62/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 15.7% net margin
generates free cash flow
3.17% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/14)
Moderate moat 55/100
Evidence: High Range 2.41 MYR – 4.10 MYR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +4.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 34% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • Our model range runs from 2.41 MYR (bear) to 4.10 MYR (bull), base 3.28 MYR. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 62/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

2.77 MYR 1.38 MYR Fair Value 3.28 MYR Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 1.38 MYR – 2.77 MYR · fair‑value band 2.41 MYR – 4.10 MYR · the 2.45 MYR price screens below the 3.28 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Hap Seng Plantations Holdings (5138) currently trades at 2.45 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 3.28 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 33.9% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hap Seng Plantations Holdings generated revenue of 715M MYR at a net margin of 15.7%. Revenue grew 7.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 77.6M MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 2.41 MYR (bear case) to 4.10 MYR (bull case); at 2.45 MYR, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 102% fair-value upside, at 34%, 5138 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income 1.99 MYR 2.04 MYR 1.94 MYR 76
Growth DCF 2.48 MYR 3.36 MYR 4.46 MYR 72
Gordon GGM 0.9700 MYR 1.75 MYR 2.41 MYR 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 2.46 MYR 3.48 MYR 4.84 MYR 38
Owner Earnings 1.65 MYR 2.30 MYR 3.17 MYR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 1.63 MYR 2.19 MYR 2.87 MYR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 2.73 MYR 4.26 MYR 6.03 MYR 41
5Y P/E Exit 2.41 MYR 3.65 MYR 4.94 MYR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 1.92 MYR 2.49 MYR 3.20 MYR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 2.59 MYR 3.81 MYR 5.40 MYR 37
10Y P/E Exit 2.40 MYR 3.42 MYR 4.64 MYR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 1.06 MYR 3.32 MYR 4.42 MYR 54
Lynch FV 0.7200 MYR 1.04 MYR 1.35 MYR 50
PEG = 1.0 0.7200 MYR 1.04 MYR 1.35 MYR 46
EPV 1.47 MYR 1.65 MYR 1.79 MYR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.9700 MYR 1.75 MYR 2.41 MYR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.9700 MYR 1.51 MYR 1.87 MYR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 2.46 MYR 3.28 MYR 4.10 MYR 63
P/S Multiple 1.05 MYR 1.41 MYR 1.76 MYR 58
P/B Multiple 1.99 MYR 2.65 MYR 3.32 MYR 55
EV/EBIT 2.83 MYR 3.71 MYR 4.59 MYR 53
EV/EBITDA 3.27 MYR 4.29 MYR 5.32 MYR 54
EV/Revenue 1.11 MYR 1.51 MYR 1.91 MYR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 1.33 MYR 1.78 MYR 2.66 MYR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 2.48 MYR 3.36 MYR 4.46 MYR 72
Rev-Margin DCF 1.63 MYR 2.22 MYR 2.92 MYR 67
Economic Profit
Residual Income 1.99 MYR 2.04 MYR 1.94 MYR 76
ROIC Compounder 1.47 MYR 1.65 MYR 1.79 MYR 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 2.04 MYR 2.91 MYR 3.78 MYR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (3.42 MYR) versus Earnings-Based (1.04 MYR). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 715M MYR
Revenue growth (YoY) +7.3%
Net margin 15.7%
Return on equity 5.5%
Free cash flow 193M MYR FY2025
P/E ratio 17.1
More key figures
Operating margin 22.5%
EPS (TTM) 0.1400 MYR
Dividend yield 3.2%
EPS growth (YoY) -55.7%
Net cash 77.6M MYR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 11
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 89
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 70
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 83
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hap Seng Plantations Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, operates as an oil palm plantation company in Malaysia. The company engages in the cultivation of oil palm; harvests and processes fresh fruit bunches (FFB) into crude palm oil (CPO). The company was founded in 1946 and is based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

Full company description

Hap Seng Plantations Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, operates as an oil palm plantation company in Malaysia. The company engages in the cultivation of oil palm; harvests and processes fresh fruit bunches (FFB) into crude palm oil (CPO). The company was founded in 1946 and is based in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. Hap Seng Plantations Holdings Berhad is a subsidiary of Hap Seng Consolidated Berhad.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hap Seng Plantations Holdings reported revenue of 702M MYR in FY2025 versus 671M MYR in FY2021, a compound +1.2%/yr. Reported net income was 125M MYR in FY2025, compounding −13.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 68/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
702M MYR
Latest YoY
−6.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.5%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.7%
Revenue +1.2%/yr
FY21 671M MYR
FY22 815M MYR
FY23 668M MYR
FY24 752M MYR
FY25 702M MYR
Net income −13.6%/yr
FY21 224M MYR
FY22 210M MYR
FY23 91.4M MYR
FY24 205M MYR
FY25 125M MYR
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +2.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.5 pp

of which total revenue +4.5 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin −2.2 pp
Tax rate +0.2 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hap Seng Plantations Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5138

Peer Group

Farm Products · 288 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +34% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.2% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Farm Products median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 17.1× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.22× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.65× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 2.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 1.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 1.66× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 79 · sector 25
FUTURE 37 · sector 20
PAST 22 · sector 17
HEALTH 0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 63 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Farm Products stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Muyuan Foods Group 002714 ¥40.90 ¥48.19 +18%
Wens Foodstuff Group 300498 ¥14.51 ¥12.08 -17%
Mowi ASA MOWI kr 188.40 kr 262.59 +39%
PT Charoen Pokphand Indonesia Tbk, CPIN 3,120 IDR 7,076 IDR +127%
Charoen Pokphand Foods Public Company CPF 22.00 THB 55.71 THB +153%
PT Triputra Agro Persada Tbk TAPG 1,540 IDR 3,105 IDR +102%
PT FAP Agri Tbk FAPA 7,300 IDR 7,463 IDR +2%
PT Japfa Comfeed Indonesia Tbk JPFA 2,070 IDR 7,231 IDR +249%
Thaifoods Group TFGR 10.60 THB 23.53 THB +122%
PT Jhonlin Agro Raya Tbk JARR 1,845 IDR 610.80 IDR -67%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hap Seng Plantations Holdings (5138) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 3.28 MYR versus a price of 2.45 MYR, about +34% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5138?
Our model-based fair value for Hap Seng Plantations Holdings is 3.28 MYR (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 2.45 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5138?
Hap Seng Plantations Holdings has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hap Seng Plantations Holdings (5138)?
Hap Seng Plantations Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 715M MYR (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 5138?
The net profit margin of Hap Seng Plantations Holdings is about 15.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 15.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Hap Seng Plantations Holdings pay a dividend?
Hap Seng Plantations Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.57% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 16, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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