Minda Global Bhd (5166) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Minda Global Bhd MYR 2.37, price MYR 1.49, upside +59.1%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.4966 MYR – 1.89 MYR · fair‑value band 1.66 MYR – 3.08 MYR · the 1.49 MYR price screens below the 2.37 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Cyberjaya Education Group Berhad, an investment holding company, provides educational and training services in Malaysia.
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Cyberjaya Education Group Berhad, an investment holding company, provides educational and training services in Malaysia. The company owns and operates a portfolio of learning institutions, such as the University of Cyberjaya, Cyberjaya College Kota Kinabalu, Cyberjaya College Kuching, Asia Metropolitan University Cyberjaya College Central, and Oxbridge Language Centre. It also provides human resource development solutions, including training, consulting, outsourcing, events,management, learning resources, and advisory support services. The company is headquartered in Cyberjaya, Malaysia. Cyberjaya Education Group Berhad is a subsidiary of Special Flagship Holdings Sdn Bhd.
Stock analysis
Minda Global Bhd (5166) currently trades at 1.49 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.37 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 37.1% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 3.16 MYR per share, and 17 of the 24 models we run sit above the 1.49 MYR price.
Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at 0.5000 MYR, and 7 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 1.66 MYR (bear) to 3.08 MYR (bull), the price of 1.49 MYR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Minda Global Bhd reported revenue of 174M MYR in FY2024 versus 89.7M MYR in FY2020, a compound +18.0%/yr. Reported net income was 15.0M MYR in FY2024.
Key figures
Market cap 254M MYR (≈ $62.3M) · P/E ratio 8.3 · P/S ratio 0.71 · EPS (TTM) 0.1800 MYR · Net margin 8.6% · Return on equity 10.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.8% · Operating margin 17.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 114% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 17% fair-value upside, at 59%, 5166 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 1.66 MYRFair Value 2.37 MYRBull 3.08 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2024 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.1800 MYR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.78/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+17.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.3%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.2%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−22.5% (2019) → 16.3% (2024)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: rate outside our plausibility band
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+2.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +0.8% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Education & Training Services · 142 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside+58% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11% · Above median
Return on assets5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)18% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth9% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.0% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.49× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Education & Training Services median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Minda Global Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5166
Frequently asked questions
Is Minda Global Bhd (5166) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 2.37 MYR versus a price of 1.49 MYR, about +59% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5166?
Our model-based fair value for Minda Global Bhd is 2.37 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.49 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5166?
Minda Global Bhd has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Minda Global Bhd (5166)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 2.37 MYR (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.66 MYR, optimistic scenario 3.08 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Minda Global Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 2.37 MYR, about +59% upside versus a price of 1.49 MYR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 1.66 MYR, optimistic scenario 3.08 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What growth is priced into Minda Global Bhd (5166)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Minda Global Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by +2.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.3 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5166 use?
Our models discount Minda Global Bhd at 12.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.55, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Minda Global Bhd that is +2.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Minda Global Bhd (5166) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Minda Global Bhd grew +12.3 % a year. The price currently implies +2.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Minda Global Bhd (5166) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Minda Global Bhd (+2.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Minda Global Bhd (5166)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 15.48 %: that much free cash flow Minda Global Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Minda Global Bhd (5166)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Minda Global Bhd it is 2.37 MYR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of 1.49 MYR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Minda Global Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, 5166 trades below its calculated fair value: price 1.49 MYR, fair value 2.37 MYR, a gap of about +59% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5166?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.49 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (2.37 MYR). For Minda Global Bhd the two are 0.8800 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Minda Global Bhd worth?
The market values Minda Global Bhd at about 254M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is 1.49 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 2.37 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5166?
Our models span a range for Minda Global Bhd: cautious scenario 1.66 MYR, base 2.37 MYR, optimistic 3.08 MYR per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price 1.49 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 5166?
Minda Global Bhd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 2.37 MYR is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Minda Global Bhd (5166)?
Balance-sheet figures for Minda Global Bhd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 10.8%, debt of 0.49 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5166 from its 52-week high?
Minda Global Bhd trades at 1.49 MYR, about 4% below its 52-week high of 1.55 MYR and 114% above the low of 0.6953 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 2.37 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Minda Global Bhd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value New Oriental Education & Technology Group, TAL Education Group, Laureate Education, Inc, Grand Canyon Education, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Minda Global Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price 1.49 MYR, calculated fair value 2.37 MYR (+59%), Quality Score 59/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5166 calculated?
We run Minda Global Bhd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 2.37 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Minda Global Bhd currently trades 59 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Minda Global Bhd (5166)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 1.49 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 2.37 MYR, about +59% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Minda Global Bhd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (1.66 MYR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (1.66 MYR to 3.08 MYR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Minda Global Bhd
How large is the market capitalisation of Minda Global Bhd (5166)?
The market capitalisation of Minda Global Bhd is 254M MYR (≈ $62.3M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Minda Global Bhd (5166)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Minda Global Bhd is 0.71 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Minda Global Bhd (5166)?
Earnings per share at Minda Global Bhd are 0.1800 MYR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Minda Global Bhd (5166)?
The net margin of Minda Global Bhd is 8.6% (fiscal year 2024). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Minda Global Bhd (5166)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Minda Global Bhd is 10.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Minda Global Bhd (5166)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Minda Global Bhd is 3.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Minda Global Bhd (5166)?
The operating margin of Minda Global Bhd is 17.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Minda Global Bhd (5166)?
Revenue at Minda Global Bhd is growing +9.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +17.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Minda Global Bhd (5166)?
Earnings per share at Minda Global Bhd are growing −5.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Minda Global Bhd (5166) carry?
The net debt of Minda Global Bhd is 130M MYR (fiscal year 2024, ≈ 3.3 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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