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Subros Limited (517168) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Subros Limited ₹355, price ₹686, upside -48.3%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Subros Limited
517168 · BSEStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value ₹354.69 · Strongly overvalued (−48.3%)
!Quality 56/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +11.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.6% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
✓0.1% dividend yield · Well covered
!Narrow moat 30/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹276.08 – ₹1,194 · fair‑value band ₹191.28 – ₹542.72 · the ₹686.10 price screens above the ₹354.69 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Subros Limited manufactures and sells thermal products for automotive applications in India.
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Subros Limited manufactures and sells thermal products for automotive applications in India. The company offers compressors; automotive condensers; heating, ventilating, and air conditioning (AC) systems, such as heaters, evaporators, and blower units; tubes and hoses; bus ACs; driver cabin ACs for railway engines; commercial and residential ACs; water dispensers; transport refrigeration systems; truck cabin AC systems; and off-roader AC systems. It also exports its products. Subros Limited was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in New Delhi, India.
Stock analysis
Subros Limited (517168) currently trades at ₹686.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹354.69, 48.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹417.47 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹686.10 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹112.37, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹191.28 (bear) to ₹542.72 (bull), the price of ₹686.10 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Subros Limited reported revenue of ₹33.7B in FY2025 versus ₹18.0B in FY2021, a compound +17.0%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.5B in FY2025, compounding +33.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap ₹15.9B (≈ $165M) · P/E ratio 77.3 · P/S ratio 3.46 · EPS (TTM) ₹3.62 · Dividend yield 0.1% · Net margin 4.5% · Return on equity 3.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −48%, 517168 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹191.28
Fair Value ₹354.69
Bull ₹542.72
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹2.82 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
₹84.18
₹125.90
₹183.57
80
Growth DCF
₹83.16
₹119.92
₹167.49
78
Owner Earnings
₹227.65
₹345.51
₹508.42
76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
₹84.18
₹125.90
₹183.57
80
Owner Earnings
₹227.65
₹345.51
₹508.42
76
5Y Revenue Exit
₹192.41
₹352.25
₹569.40
70
5Y EBITDA Exit
₹273.31
₹514.23
₹814.56
73
5Y P/E Exit
₹237.93
₹443.39
₹675.08
69
10Y Revenue Exit
₹136.97
₹258.06
₹442.16
64
10Y EBITDA Exit
₹189.01
₹357.85
₹612.62
65
10Y P/E Exit
₹169.16
₹314.21
₹515.63
61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
₹156.91
₹659.74
₹900.14
64
Lynch FV
₹167.51
₹239.29
₹311.08
61
PEG = 1.0
₹167.51
₹239.29
₹311.08
57
EPV
₹178.11
₹198.82
₹215.62
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
₹12.54
₹21.00
₹27.26
68
DDM Multi-Stage
₹12.54
₹19.92
₹22.59
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
₹380.75
₹507.66
₹634.58
63
P/S Multiple
₹294.21
₹392.29
₹490.36
58
P/B Multiple
₹294.21
₹392.29
₹490.36
55
EV/EBIT
₹412.62
₹548.31
₹683.99
66
EV/EBITDA
₹453.76
₹603.16
₹752.55
67
EV/Revenue
₹279.96
₹397.55
₹515.14
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
₹83.86
₹112.37
₹167.72
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
₹83.16
₹119.92
₹167.49
78
Rev-Margin DCF
₹192.41
₹346.50
₹538.45
71
Economic Profit
Residual Income
₹146.87
₹166.00
₹223.54
76
ROIC Compounder
₹181.34
₹217.33
₹260.73
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
₹292.23
₹417.47
₹542.72
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
56/100
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Profitability
63
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
53
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
24
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
5
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
69/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.9% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.0%
’14
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’17
’18
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’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+27.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+27.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.1%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.7% → 6%
2025 sits 214% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
517168 screens overvalued: fair value 48% below the price. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 654 stocks
Beats the industry median on 2/12 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Indian Stocks
- Valuation of the India market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY | $86.07 | $49.20 | −43% |
| AutoZone, Inc AZO | $2,819 | $2,468 | −12% |
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 383,500 KRW | 638,183 KRW | +66% |
| Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 | ¥52.47 | ¥78.11 | +49% |
| Knorr-Bremse AG KBX | €99.20 | €72.88 | −27% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹165.71 | ₹96.97 | −41% |
| Genuine Parts Company GPC | $126.95 | $57.98 | −54% |
| Magna International Inc MGA | $64.46 | $69.37 | +8% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹48,250 | ₹25,213 | −48% |
| Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 | ¥46.44 | ¥28.28 | −39% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Subros Limited (517168) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹354.69 versus a price of ₹686.10, about −48% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 517168?
Our model-based fair value for Subros Limited is ₹354.69 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹686.10.
What is the quality score of 517168?
Subros Limited has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Subros Limited (517168)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹354.69 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹191.28, optimistic scenario ₹542.72. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Subros Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹354.69, about −48% upside versus a price of ₹686.10 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹191.28, optimistic scenario ₹542.72. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Subros Limited (517168)?
Subros Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹14.6B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Subros Limited pay a dividend?
Subros Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.12% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Subros Limited (517168)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Subros Limited it is ₹354.69 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹686.10. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Subros Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 517168 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹686.10, fair value ₹354.69, a gap of about −48% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 517168?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹686.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹354.69). For Subros Limited the two are ₹331.41 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Subros Limited worth?
The market values Subros Limited at about ₹15.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹686.10; our models calculate a fair value of ₹354.69 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 517168?
Our models span a range for Subros Limited: cautious scenario ₹191.28, base ₹354.69, optimistic ₹542.72 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹686.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 517168?
Subros Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 77.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹354.69 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 16.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Subros Limited (517168)?
Balance-sheet figures for Subros Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.2%. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 517168 from its 52-week high?
Subros Limited trades at ₹686.10, about 41% below its 52-week high of ₹1,161 and 8% above the low of ₹634.70 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹354.69 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Subros Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Subros Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹686.10, calculated fair value ₹354.69 (−48%), Quality Score 56/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 517168 calculated?
We run Subros Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹354.69, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Subros Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Subros Limited (517168)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹686.10. Our model-based fair value is ₹354.69, about −48% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Subros Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹542.72). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide (₹191.28 to ₹542.72). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Subros Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Subros Limited (517168)?
The market capitalisation of Subros Limited is ₹15.9B (≈ $165M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Subros Limited (517168)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Subros Limited is 3.46 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Subros Limited (517168)?
Earnings per share at Subros Limited are ₹3.62 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 77.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Subros Limited (517168)?
The dividend yield of Subros Limited is 0.1% (payout 22.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Subros Limited (517168)?
The net margin of Subros Limited is 4.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Subros Limited (517168)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Subros Limited is 3.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Subros Limited (517168)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Subros Limited is 6.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Subros Limited (517168)?
The operating margin of Subros Limited is 2.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Subros Limited (517168)?
Revenue at Subros Limited is growing −7.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +14.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Subros Limited (517168)?
Earnings per share at Subros Limited are growing +32.7% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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