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Lumax Industries Limited (517206) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Lumax Industries Limited ₹3,174, price ₹5,551, upside -42.8%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Lumax Industries Limited
517206 · BSEWeakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.
!Fair value ₹3,174 · Strongly overvalued (−42.8%)
!Quality 48/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +16.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 0.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt
!1.8% dividend yield · Pays more than it earns
!Narrow moat 31/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range ₹823.41 – ₹6,635 · fair‑value band ₹2,222 – ₹4,116 · the ₹5,551 price screens above the ₹3,174 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Lumax Industries Limited manufactures, trades in, and supplies auto components for two and three wheelers, four wheelers, commercial vehicles, and tractors/farm equipment in India and internationally. The company offers automotive lamps, including head and tail lamps, LED lamps, and sundry and other auxiliary lamps.
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Lumax Industries Limited manufactures, trades in, and supplies auto components for two and three wheelers, four wheelers, commercial vehicles, and tractors/farm equipment in India and internationally. The company offers automotive lamps, including head and tail lamps, LED lamps, and sundry and other auxiliary lamps. It serves automotive original equipment manufacturers. The company was founded in 1945 and is based in Gurugram, India.
Stock analysis
Lumax Industries Limited (517206) currently trades at ₹5,551, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹3,174, 42.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹3,174 per share, and 0 of the 16 models we run sit above the ₹5,551 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at ₹387.29, and 16 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹2,222 (bear) to ₹4,116 (bull), the price of ₹5,551 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Goods sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Lumax Industries Limited reported revenue of ₹34.0B in FY2025 versus ₹14.3B in FY2021, a compound +24.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹1.4B in FY2025, compounding +66.6%/yr from FY2021. FY2021 was a trough year, so the rate overstates the trend.
Key figures
Market cap ₹11.7B (≈ $122M) · P/E ratio 107.0 · P/S ratio 4.40 · EPS (TTM) ₹11.64 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 4.1% · Return on equity 2.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.9%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 23% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Goods peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −43%, 517206 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹2,222
Fair Value ₹3,174
Bull ₹4,116
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
₹803.77
₹1,035
₹1,555
75
EPV
₹1,170
₹1,309
₹1,423
74
ROIC Compounder
₹1,276
₹1,597
₹1,985
72
All 16 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
₹1,018
₹5,298
₹7,328
64
Lynch FV
₹1,451
₹2,073
₹2,695
61
PEG = 1.0
₹1,451
₹2,073
₹2,695
57
EPV
₹1,170
₹1,309
₹1,423
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
₹243.79
₹408.33
₹530.00
68
DDM Multi-Stage
₹243.79
₹387.29
₹439.30
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
₹2,470
₹3,293
₹4,116
63
P/S Multiple
₹1,908
₹2,544
₹3,181
58
P/B Multiple
₹1,908
₹2,544
₹3,181
55
EV/EBIT
₹2,492
₹3,320
₹4,148
66
EV/EBITDA
₹2,754
₹3,670
₹4,586
67
EV/Revenue
₹1,682
₹2,400
₹3,117
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
₹414.16
₹554.97
₹828.31
54
Economic Profit
Residual Income
₹803.77
₹1,035
₹1,555
75
ROIC Compounder
₹1,276
₹1,597
₹1,985
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
₹2,222
₹3,174
₹4,127
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
48/100
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56
Profitability
56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
72
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
26
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
37
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
82
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+29.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.5% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+10.7%
’14
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’21
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’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+16.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 5%
517206 screens overvalued: fair value 43% below the price. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 654 stocks
Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Consumer Discretionary sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Indian Stocks
- Valuation of the India market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY | $86.07 | $49.20 | −43% |
| AutoZone, Inc AZO | $2,819 | $2,468 | −12% |
| Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 | 383,500 KRW | 638,183 KRW | +66% |
| Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 | ¥52.47 | ¥78.11 | +49% |
| Knorr-Bremse AG KBX | €99.20 | €72.88 | −27% |
| Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON | ₹165.71 | ₹96.97 | −41% |
| Genuine Parts Company GPC | $126.95 | $57.98 | −54% |
| Magna International Inc MGA | $64.46 | $69.37 | +8% |
| Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD | ₹48,250 | ₹25,213 | −48% |
| Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 | ¥46.44 | ¥28.28 | −39% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Lumax Industries Limited (517206) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹3,174 versus a price of ₹5,551, about −43% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 517206?
Our model-based fair value for Lumax Industries Limited is ₹3,174 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹5,551.
What is the quality score of 517206?
Lumax Industries Limited has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Lumax Industries Limited (517206)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹3,174 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹2,222, optimistic scenario ₹4,116. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Lumax Industries Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹3,174, about −43% upside versus a price of ₹5,551 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹2,222, optimistic scenario ₹4,116. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Lumax Industries Limited (517206)?
Lumax Industries Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹12.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Lumax Industries Limited pay a dividend?
Lumax Industries Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.82% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Lumax Industries Limited (517206)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Lumax Industries Limited it is ₹3,174 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹5,551. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Lumax Industries Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 517206 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹5,551, fair value ₹3,174, a gap of about −43% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 517206?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹5,551); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹3,174). For Lumax Industries Limited the two are ₹2,377 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Lumax Industries Limited worth?
The market values Lumax Industries Limited at about ₹11.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹5,551; our models calculate a fair value of ₹3,174 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 517206?
Our models span a range for Lumax Industries Limited: cautious scenario ₹2,222, base ₹3,174, optimistic ₹4,116 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹5,551). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 517206?
Lumax Industries Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 107.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹3,174 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.5, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 14.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Lumax Industries Limited (517206)?
Balance-sheet figures for Lumax Industries Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.6%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 517206 from its 52-week high?
Lumax Industries Limited trades at ₹5,551, about 16% below its 52-week high of ₹6,635 and 23% above the low of ₹4,529 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹3,174 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Lumax Industries Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Goods) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Lumax Industries Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹5,551, calculated fair value ₹3,174 (−43%), Quality Score 48/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 517206 calculated?
We run Lumax Industries Limited through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹3,174, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Lumax Industries Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Lumax Industries Limited (517206)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹5,551. Our model-based fair value is ₹3,174, about −43% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Lumax Industries Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹4,116). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range (₹2,222 to ₹4,116) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Lumax Industries Limited
How large is the market capitalisation of Lumax Industries Limited (517206)?
The market capitalisation of Lumax Industries Limited is ₹11.7B (≈ $122M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Lumax Industries Limited (517206)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Lumax Industries Limited is 4.40 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Lumax Industries Limited (517206)?
Earnings per share at Lumax Industries Limited are ₹11.64 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 107.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Lumax Industries Limited (517206)?
The dividend yield of Lumax Industries Limited is 1.8%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Lumax Industries Limited (517206)?
The net margin of Lumax Industries Limited is 4.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Lumax Industries Limited (517206)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Lumax Industries Limited is 2.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Lumax Industries Limited (517206)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Lumax Industries Limited is 4.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Lumax Industries Limited (517206)?
The operating margin of Lumax Industries Limited is 1.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Lumax Industries Limited (517206)?
Revenue at Lumax Industries Limited is growing −7.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +24.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Lumax Industries Limited (517206)?
Earnings per share at Lumax Industries Limited are growing −64.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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