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Motherson Sumi Systems Limited (517334) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Motherson Sumi Systems Limited ₹72.40, price ₹158, upside -54.0%, quality 45 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · IN · ISIN INE775A01035

MS Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Motherson Sumi Systems Limited

517334 · BSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ₹72.40 · Strongly overvalued (−54.0%)
!Quality 45/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +8.7 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · 0.0% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2021 1.8%
!Moderate debt
✓1.9% dividend yield · Sustainable
!Narrow moat 24/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹170.35 ₹40.45 Fair Value ₹72.40 May 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹40.45 – ₹170.35 · fair‑value band ₹54.30 – ₹90.50 · the ₹157.50 price screens above the ₹72.40 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Motherson Sumi Systems Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of components to automotive original equipment manufacturers in India and internationally. It operates in MSSL Standalone, SMR, SMP, PKC, and Others segments.

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Motherson Sumi Systems Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of components to automotive original equipment manufacturers in India and internationally. It operates in MSSL Standalone, SMR, SMP, PKC, and Others segments. The company provides cutting edge electrical and electronics distribution systems, related components, and associated design services; cockpits, instrument-panel and door-trim modules, decorative interior and exterior parts, bumper fascias, front-end modules, door handles, roof rails, lighting products, and plastic body parts; and basic full plastic types and high value exterior and interior mirrors with various integrated electronic features and aesthetic surfaces, as well as high-performance rearview camera monitoring systems. It also offers a range of products in precision metal-machined parts, metal turning, and plastic metal combined parts for the automotive industry and other industries, including scientific and engineering applications. In addition, the company designs, manufactures, and integrates electrical distribution systems, electronics, and related components for commercial vehicle industries, rolling stock manufacturers, and other related segments. The company was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in Noida, India.

Stock analysis

Motherson Sumi Systems Limited (517334) currently trades at ₹157.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹72.40, 54.0% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹106.39 per share, and 4 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹157.50 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at ₹19.31, and 22 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹54.30 (bear) to ₹90.50 (bull), the price of ₹157.50 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Motherson Sumi Systems Limited reported revenue of ₹574B in FY2021 versus ₹432B in FY2017, a compound +7.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹10.4B in FY2021, compounding −9.6%/yr from FY2017.

Key figures

Market cap ₹345B (≈ $3.6B) · P/E ratio 283.1 · P/S ratio 5.13 · EPS (TTM) ₹0.0890 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin 1.8% · Return on equity −0.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 56% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −27% fair-value upside, at −54%, 517334 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹54.30 Fair Value ₹72.40 Bull ₹90.50
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF ₹102.50 ₹162.76 ₹252.97 79
Growth DCF ₹103.58 ₹155.84 ₹228.80 77
Residual Income ₹33.00 ₹35.05 ₹39.61 76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF ₹102.50 ₹162.76 ₹252.97 79
Owner Earnings ₹66.38 ₹106.39 ₹166.28 75
5Y Revenue Exit ₹59.23 ₹87.44 ₹122.25 72
5Y EBITDA Exit ₹105.96 ₹176.24 ₹258.79 74
5Y P/E Exit ₹64.60 ₹97.64 ₹131.98 71
10Y Revenue Exit ₹73.02 ₹102.59 ₹140.74 67
10Y EBITDA Exit ₹103.57 ₹163.38 ₹244.12 67
10Y P/E Exit ₹77.63 ₹109.58 ₹148.11 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹22.38 ₹75.16 ₹100.70 64
Lynch FV ₹17.12 ₹24.45 ₹31.79 61
PEG = 1.0 ₹17.12 ₹24.45 ₹31.79 57
EPV ₹16.01 ₹19.31 ₹22.17 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹0.0100 ₹0.0300 ₹0.0400 67
DDM Multi-Stage ₹0.0100 ₹0.0200 ₹0.0300 65
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹54.30 ₹72.40 ₹90.50 63
P/S Multiple ₹41.96 ₹55.94 ₹69.93 58
P/B Multiple ₹41.96 ₹55.94 ₹69.93 55
EV/EBIT ₹57.28 ₹78.03 ₹98.77 66
EV/EBITDA ₹121.37 ₹163.47 ₹205.57 67
EV/Revenue ₹37.00 ₹54.98 ₹72.96 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹19.89 ₹26.65 ₹39.77 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF ₹103.58 ₹155.84 ₹228.80 77
Rev-Margin DCF ₹59.23 ₹88.63 ₹123.61 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹33.00 ₹35.05 ₹39.61 76
ROIC Compounder ₹16.01 ₹19.31 ₹22.17 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹45.88 ₹65.54 ₹85.21 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 45/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 61
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 37
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 69
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 40
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 82
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 82
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−5.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.7%
Revenue growth 7 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.5%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
6.5% (2016) → 2.5% (2021)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: no share-count history
not computed

517334 screens overvalued: fair value 54% below the price. Compare with O'Reilly Automotive, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Auto Parts · 665 stocks

Beats the industry median on 2/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 45 · Below median
Fair Value upside −65.1% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 1.3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 1.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −6.1% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.60× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Auto Parts median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 283.1× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 0.6× · Cheapest 25%

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Auto Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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O'Reilly Automotive, Inc ORLY $86.07 $49.20 −43%
AutoZone, Inc AZO $2,819 $2,468 −12%
Hyundai Mobis Co 012330 383,500 KRW 638,183 KRW +66%
Fuyao Glass Industry Group 600660 ¥52.47 ¥78.11 +49%
Knorr-Bremse AG KBX €99.20 €72.88 −27%
Samvardhana Motherson International Limited MOTHERSON ₹165.71 ₹96.97 −41%
Genuine Parts Company GPC $126.95 $57.98 −54%
Magna International Inc MGA $64.46 $69.37 +8%
Bosch Limited BOSCHLTD ₹48,250 ₹25,213 −48%
Ningbo Tuopu Group 601689 ¥46.44 ¥28.28 −39%

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Motherson Sumi Systems Limited · Fair Value
₹72.40 −54%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Motherson Sumi Systems Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/517334

Frequently asked questions

Is Motherson Sumi Systems Limited (517334) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹72.40 versus a price of ₹157.50, about −54% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 517334?
Our model-based fair value for Motherson Sumi Systems Limited is ₹72.40 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹157.50.
What is the quality score of 517334?
Motherson Sumi Systems Limited has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Motherson Sumi Systems Limited (517334)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹72.40 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹54.30, optimistic scenario ₹90.50. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Motherson Sumi Systems Limited stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹72.40, about −54% upside versus a price of ₹157.50 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹54.30, optimistic scenario ₹90.50. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Motherson Sumi Systems Limited (517334)?
Motherson Sumi Systems Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹553B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Motherson Sumi Systems Limited pay a dividend?
Motherson Sumi Systems Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.90% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Motherson Sumi Systems Limited (517334)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Motherson Sumi Systems Limited it is ₹72.40 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹157.50. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Motherson Sumi Systems Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 517334 trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹157.50, fair value ₹72.40, a gap of about −54% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 517334?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹157.50); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹72.40). For Motherson Sumi Systems Limited the two are ₹85.10 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Motherson Sumi Systems Limited worth?
The market values Motherson Sumi Systems Limited at about ₹345B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹157.50; our models calculate a fair value of ₹72.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 517334?
Our models span a range for Motherson Sumi Systems Limited: cautious scenario ₹54.30, base ₹72.40, optimistic ₹90.50 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹157.50). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 517334?
Motherson Sumi Systems Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 283.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹72.40 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: EV/EBITDA 0.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of Motherson Sumi Systems Limited (517334)?
Balance-sheet figures for Motherson Sumi Systems Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −0.5%, debt of 0.60 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 517334 from its 52-week high?
Motherson Sumi Systems Limited trades at ₹157.50, about 8% below its 52-week high of ₹170.35 and 56% above the low of ₹101.10 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹72.40 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Motherson Sumi Systems Limited?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value O'Reilly Automotive, Inc, AutoZone, Inc, Hyundai Mobis Co, Fuyao Glass Industry Group, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Motherson Sumi Systems Limited stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹157.50, calculated fair value ₹72.40 (−54%), Quality Score 45/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 517334 calculated?
We run Motherson Sumi Systems Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹72.40, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Motherson Sumi Systems Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Motherson Sumi Systems Limited (517334)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹157.50. Our model-based fair value is ₹72.40, about −54% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Motherson Sumi Systems Limited right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹90.50). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Motherson Sumi Systems Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Motherson Sumi Systems Limited (517334)?
The market capitalisation of Motherson Sumi Systems Limited is ₹345B (≈ $3.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Motherson Sumi Systems Limited (517334)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Motherson Sumi Systems Limited is 5.13 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Motherson Sumi Systems Limited (517334)?
Earnings per share at Motherson Sumi Systems Limited are ₹0.0890 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 283.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Motherson Sumi Systems Limited (517334)?
The dividend yield of Motherson Sumi Systems Limited is 1.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Motherson Sumi Systems Limited (517334)?
The net margin of Motherson Sumi Systems Limited is 1.8% (fiscal year 2021). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Motherson Sumi Systems Limited (517334)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Motherson Sumi Systems Limited is −0.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Motherson Sumi Systems Limited (517334)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Motherson Sumi Systems Limited is 6.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Motherson Sumi Systems Limited (517334)?
The operating margin of Motherson Sumi Systems Limited is 1.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Motherson Sumi Systems Limited (517334)?
Revenue at Motherson Sumi Systems Limited is growing −6.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Motherson Sumi Systems Limited (517334)?
Earnings per share at Motherson Sumi Systems Limited are growing −12.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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