Hibiscus Petroleum Berhad (5199) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · MY · Market cap 1.5B MYR
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Share price +1.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 35% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (2.63 MYR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (46/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 1.26 MYR – 3.15 MYR · fair‑value band 2.63 MYR – 3.39 MYR · the 2.01 MYR price screens below the 2.71 MYR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.
Analysis
Hibiscus Petroleum Berhad (5199) currently trades at 2.01 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 2.71 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 34.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hibiscus Petroleum Berhad generated revenue of 2.1B MYR at a net margin of 11.5%. Revenue declined 9.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.9%. Net debt stands at 780M MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 2.63 MYR (bear case) to 3.39 MYR (bull case); at 2.01 MYR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 47% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -26% fair-value upside, at 35%, 5199 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (6.54 MYR) versus Dividend Discount (1.52 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hibiscus Petroleum Berhad engages in the exploration, development, and sale of oil and gas in Peninsular Malaysia, Sabah, Malaysia, the United Kingdom, Brunei, Australia, and Vietnam. The company invests and provides project management, technical, and other services related to the oil and gas exploration and production industry.
Full company description
Hibiscus Petroleum Berhad engages in the exploration, development, and sale of oil and gas in Peninsular Malaysia, Sabah, Malaysia, the United Kingdom, Brunei, Australia, and Vietnam. The company invests and provides project management, technical, and other services related to the oil and gas exploration and production industry. It is also involved in the provision of electric power generated from renewable sources, including the installation, operation, maintenance, shutdown, and sale of electricity to the grid, as well as other services related to the renewable energy industry. In addition, the company provides turnaround and associated services related to oil and gas production, storage facilities, and installations or platforms. Hibiscus Petroleum Berhad was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hibiscus Petroleum Berhad reported revenue of 2.3B MYR in FY2025 versus 805M MYR in FY2021, a compound +30.5%/yr. Reported net income was 117M MYR in FY2025, compounding +3.2%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Oil & Gas E&P · 315 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas E&P median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas E&P stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CNOOC Limited 600938 | ¥28.97 | ¥32.55 | +12% |
| ConocoPhillips explores for, COP | $109.04 | $91.79 | -16% |
| Canadian Natural Resources Limited CNQ | $42.86 | $31.54 | -26% |
| EOG Resources, Inc EOG | $139.89 | $130.19 | -7% |
| Occidental Petroleum Corporation OXY | $54.86 | $30.68 | -44% |
| Diamondback Energy, Inc FANG | $183.39 | $106.12 | -42% |
| Devon Energy Corporation DVN | $43.83 | $27.06 | -38% |
| Woodside Energy Group WDS | A$30.46 | A$20.71 | -32% |
| EQT Corporation EQT | $48.85 | $42.85 | -12% |
| Texas Pacific Land Corporation TPL | $415.70 | $79.20 | -81% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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