Transcom, Inc (5222) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · TW · Market cap 10.5B TWD
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price −4.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 60% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (58.91 TWD). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (31.35 TWD to 58.91 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 57.03 TWD – 159.00 TWD · fair‑value band 31.35 TWD – 58.91 TWD · the 117.00 TWD price screens above the 47.26 TWD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Transcom, Inc (5222) currently trades at 117.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 47.26 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 59.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Transcom, Inc generated revenue of 866M TWD at a net margin of 19.7%. Revenue declined 33.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 61.3M TWD. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 31.35 TWD (bear case) to 58.91 TWD (bull case); at 117.00 TWD, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -75% fair-value upside, at -60%, 5222 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (57.66 TWD) versus Asset-Based (18.34 TWD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Transcom, Inc. operates as a microwave device and subsystem company in Taiwan. The company offers amplifiers(GaN), including amplifiers(GaN); drone/UAV, high-power SSPA modules; C-UAS/Jammer/EW; high-power SSPA modules; GaN solid-state power amplifiers(CW), and GaN solid-state power; amplifier; MIC module; subsystem; FET chip, such as super lower noise GaAs …
Full company description
Transcom, Inc. operates as a microwave device and subsystem company in Taiwan. The company offers amplifiers(GaN), including amplifiers(GaN); drone/UAV, high-power SSPA modules; C-UAS/Jammer/EW; high-power SSPA modules; GaN solid-state power amplifiers(CW), and GaN solid-state power; amplifier; MIC module; subsystem; FET chip, such as super lower noise GaAs FETs (Gallium Arsenide Field Effect Transistor), and high linearity and high efficiency GaAs Power FETs; packaged FET; monolithic microwave integrated circuits (MMIC); hybrid ICs; directional couplers; power dividers; fixed attenuators and termination products; and MIC chip capacitors; as well as technical support. It offers MMIC foundry services. It serves customers in Israel, China, the United States, Germany, and other international markets. The company was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Tainan City, Taiwan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Transcom, Inc reported revenue of 954M TWD in FY2025 versus 917M TWD in FY2021, a compound +1.0%/yr. Reported net income was 225M TWD in FY2025, compounding −2.3%/yr from FY2021.
of which total revenue +20.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −6.1 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
5222 screens 60% overvalued. Compare with ASML Holding →
Peer Group
Semiconductor Equipment & Materials · 212 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Semiconductor Equipment & Materials median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Semiconductor Equipment & Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASML Holding ASML | C$50.50 | C$15.57 | -69% |
| Applied Materials, Inc AMAT | $579.43 | $143.08 | -75% |
| Lam Research Corporation LRCX | $346.10 | $67.57 | -80% |
| KLA Corporation KLAC | $212.75 | $53.01 | -75% |
| NAURA Technology Group 002371 | ¥774.20 | ¥151.43 | -80% |
| Advanced Micro-Fabrication Equipment Inc 688012 | ¥350.69 | ¥41.79 | -88% |
| Piotech Inc 688072 | ¥832.00 | ¥431.44 | -48% |
| Hon. Precision, Inc 7769 | 6,005 TWD | 1,804 TWD | -70% |
| Hangzhou Changchuan Technology Co 300604 | ¥325.24 | ¥33.33 | -90% |
| MPI Corporation 6223 | 5,600 TWD | 609.44 TWD | -89% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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