Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Econpile Holdings Bhd MYR 0.06, price MYR 0.12, upside -50.0%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Econpile Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, provides piling and foundation services in Malaysia and Cambodia.
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Econpile Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, provides piling and foundation services in Malaysia and Cambodia. The company offers a range of foundation and geotechnical works, such as cast-in-situ bored piles; driven and jack-in piles; micropile; earth retaining systems, including contiguous bored pile, secant pile, soldier pile, diaphragm, and steel/concrete sheet pile walls; lateral support systems, comprising ground anchors and steel strutting products; and slope protection and stabilization, and ground improvement works. It also provides civil engineering works consisting of earthwork and basement excavation, and infrastructure; structure works for pile cap and basement slabs, top-down construction, temporary steel platform and staging, and bridges; and design and build packages, such as piling, retaining system, and structural works. In addition, the company is involved in the rental of investment properties and machinery; trading of machinery and related accessories; and development of properties. Econpile Holdings Berhad was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253) currently trades at 0.1200 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.0600 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 100.0% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of 0.1700 MYR per share, and 11 of the 22 models we run sit above the 0.1200 MYR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.0100 MYR, and 11 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Econpile Holdings Bhd reported revenue of 286M MYR in FY2025 versus 420M MYR in FY2021, a compound −9.2%/yr. Reported net income was 1.2M MYR in FY2025, compounding −42.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 170M MYR (≈ $41.7M) · P/S ratio 0.46 · Net margin 0.4% · Return on equity 1.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.8% · Operating margin 1.8% · Revenue (TTM) 351M MYR · Revenue growth (YoY) +48.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 71% below its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at −50%, 5253 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.0600 MYRFair Value 0.0600 MYRBull 0.0600 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−31.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−6.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.0% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−35.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−35.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−36% vs −33%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 6.8%/yr over ~7Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+10.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+18.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.8% a year for the price and +16.2% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score57 · Above median
Fair Value upside−50% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)1% · Below median
Return on assets1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth49% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
P/B0.12× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.12× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF3.3× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 29
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 11
PAST (return on equity)5· sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)99· sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0· sector 41
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Econpile Holdings Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5253
Frequently asked questions
Is Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.0600 MYR versus a price of 0.1200 MYR, about −50% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5253?
Our model-based fair value for Econpile Holdings Bhd is 0.0600 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.1200 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5253?
Econpile Holdings Bhd has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.0600 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Econpile Holdings Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.0600 MYR, about −50% upside versus a price of 0.1200 MYR (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
Econpile Holdings Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 351M MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Econpile Holdings Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by +10.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -6.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5253 use?
Our models discount Econpile Holdings Bhd at 11.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.13, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Econpile Holdings Bhd that is +10.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Econpile Holdings Bhd grew -6.6 % a year. The price currently implies +10.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Econpile Holdings Bhd (+10.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.35 %: that much free cash flow Econpile Holdings Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Econpile Holdings Bhd it is 0.0600 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.1200 MYR. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Econpile Holdings Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 5253 trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.1200 MYR, fair value 0.0600 MYR, a gap of about −50% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5253?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.1200 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.0600 MYR). For Econpile Holdings Bhd the two are 0.0600 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Econpile Holdings Bhd worth?
The market values Econpile Holdings Bhd at about 170M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.1200 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.0600 MYR per share.
How solid is the balance sheet of Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
Balance-sheet figures for Econpile Holdings Bhd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 1.3%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5253 from its 52-week high?
Econpile Holdings Bhd trades at 0.1200 MYR, about 71% below its 52-week high of 0.4200 MYR and 4% above the low of 0.1150 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.0600 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Econpile Holdings Bhd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Econpile Holdings Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.1200 MYR, calculated fair value 0.0600 MYR (−50%), Quality Score 57/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5253 calculated?
We run Econpile Holdings Bhd through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.0600 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Econpile Holdings Bhd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 0.1200 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.0600 MYR, about −50% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Econpile Holdings Bhd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.0600 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Econpile Holdings Bhd
How large is the market capitalisation of Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
The market capitalisation of Econpile Holdings Bhd is 170M MYR (≈ $41.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Econpile Holdings Bhd is 0.46 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the net margin of Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
The net margin of Econpile Holdings Bhd is 0.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Econpile Holdings Bhd is 1.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Econpile Holdings Bhd is −0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
The operating margin of Econpile Holdings Bhd is 1.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
Revenue at Econpile Holdings Bhd is growing +48.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
Earnings per share at Econpile Holdings Bhd are growing +14.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253) carry?
The net debt of Econpile Holdings Bhd is 47.8M MYR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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