Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Econpile Holdings Bhd stock MYR 0.12, price MYR 0.13, that is 4.0% below the price, quality 64 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 22 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.1150 MYR – 0.5450 MYR · fair‑value band 0.0900 MYR – 0.1500 MYR · the 0.1250 MYR price screens above the 0.1200 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 3, 2026.
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Econpile Holdings Berhad, an investment holding company, provides piling and foundation services in Malaysia and Cambodia.
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The company offers a range of foundation and geotechnical works, such as cast-in-situ bored piles; driven and jack-in piles; micropile; earth retaining systems, including contiguous bored pile, secant pile, soldier pile, diaphragm, and steel/concrete sheet pile walls; lateral support systems, comprising ground anchors and steel strutting products; and slope protection and stabilization, and ground improvement works.
It also provides civil engineering works consisting of earthwork and basement excavation, and infrastructure; structure works for pile cap and basement slabs, top-down construction, temporary steel platform and staging, and bridges; and design and build packages, such as piling, retaining system, and structural works.
In addition, the company is involved in the rental of investment properties and machinery; trading of machinery and related accessories; and development of properties. Econpile Holdings Berhad was founded in 1987 and is headquartered in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253) currently trades at 0.1250 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.1200 MYR, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 4.2%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 0.2950 MYR per share, and 13 of the 22 models we run sit above the 0.1250 MYR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.0750 MYR, and 9 of the 22 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.0900 MYR (bear) to 0.1500 MYR (bull), the price of 0.1250 MYR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Econpile Holdings Bhd reported revenue of 392M MYR in FY2026 versus 367M MYR in FY2022, a compound +1.7%/yr. Reported net income was 8.0M MYR in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap 177M MYR (≈ $43.7M) Micro · P/E ratio 22.3 · P/S ratio 0.81 · EPS (TTM) 0.0056 MYR · Net margin 2.0% · Return on equity 2.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.9% (5-year average) · Operating margin 1.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 27 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 58% below its 52-week high and 9% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −42% fair-value upside, at −4%, 5253 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear0.0900 MYRFair Value 0.1200 MYRBull0.1500 MYR
Price 0.1250 MYR · Downside -4.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 4 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0036 MYR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+37.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.4%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −1.6% a year
Revenue growth 14 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
≈ +3.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year≈ +3.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.base effect: 3.3% / −19.7%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 3%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.4%/yr over ~9Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
⚠ Base effect: the rate starts in the earnings trough around 2021 (starting value 0.005 per share, median 0.055 in 2016 to 2019). It measures the recovery from the trough, not lasting growth.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−10.0%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+5.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −11.8% a year for the price and +3.0% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 790 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−4.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)2.2% · Below median
Return on assets1.3% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)2.0% · Below median
Operating margin (12 months)1.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)53.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.00× · Lowest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Econpile Holdings Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5253
Frequently asked questions
Is Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.1200 MYR versus a price of 0.1250 MYR, about 4% lower (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 5253?
Our model-based fair value for Econpile Holdings Bhd is 0.1200 MYR (as of Nov 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.1250 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5253?
Econpile Holdings Bhd has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.1200 MYR (as of Nov 3, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.0900 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.1500 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Econpile Holdings Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.1200 MYR, about 4% lower versus a price of 0.1250 MYR (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 0.0900 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.1500 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
Econpile Holdings Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 392M MYR (latest available figure, as of Nov 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Econpile Holdings Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by -10.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -1.4 % per year. As of Nov 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5253 use?
Our models discount Econpile Holdings Bhd at 11.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 1.08, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Econpile Holdings Bhd that is -10.0 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (11.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Econpile Holdings Bhd grew -1.4 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of -10.0 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Econpile Holdings Bhd (-10.0 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 21.54 %: that much free cash flow Econpile Holdings Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Econpile Holdings Bhd it is 0.1200 MYR per share (as of Nov 3, 2026), against a price of 0.1250 MYR. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models in 7 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Econpile Holdings Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 3, 2026, 5253 trades above its calculated fair value: price 0.1250 MYR, fair value 0.1200 MYR, a gap of about −4% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5253?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.1250 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.1200 MYR). For Econpile Holdings Bhd the two are 0.0050 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Econpile Holdings Bhd worth?
The market values Econpile Holdings Bhd at about 177M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 3, 2026). Per share that is 0.1250 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.1200 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5253?
Our models span a range for Econpile Holdings Bhd: cautious scenario 0.0900 MYR, base 0.1200 MYR, optimistic 0.1500 MYR per share (as of Nov 3, 2026, price 0.1250 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 5253?
Econpile Holdings Bhd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 22.3 (as of Nov 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.1200 MYR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 7.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
Balance-sheet figures for Econpile Holdings Bhd (as of Nov 3, 2026): return on equity 2.2%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5253 from its 52-week high?
Econpile Holdings Bhd trades at 0.1250 MYR, about 58% below its 52-week high of 0.2950 MYR and 9% above the low of 0.1150 MYR (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.1200 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Econpile Holdings Bhd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Larsen & Toubro Limited, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Econpile Holdings Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 3, 2026: price 0.1250 MYR, calculated fair value 0.1200 MYR (−4%), Quality Score 64/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5253 calculated?
We run Econpile Holdings Bhd through 22 models from 7 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of 0.1200 MYR builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Econpile Holdings Bhd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was 0.1250 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.1200 MYR, about 4% lower (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Econpile Holdings Bhd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of Econpile Holdings Bhd
How large is the market capitalisation of Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
The market capitalisation of Econpile Holdings Bhd is 177M MYR (≈ $43.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Econpile Holdings Bhd is 0.81 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
Earnings per share at Econpile Holdings Bhd are 0.0056 MYR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 22.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
The net margin of Econpile Holdings Bhd is 2.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Econpile Holdings Bhd is 2.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Econpile Holdings Bhd is −0.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
The operating margin of Econpile Holdings Bhd is 1.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
Revenue at Econpile Holdings Bhd is growing +53.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253)?
Earnings per share at Econpile Holdings Bhd are growing +285% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Econpile Holdings Bhd (5253) carry?
The net debt of Econpile Holdings Bhd is 25.1M MYR (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 0.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Thin data
Nov 3, 2026