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Chin Hin Group (5273) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · MY · Market cap 7.4B MYR

CH Chin Hin Group 5273 · KLSE
Price2.10 MYR
Fair Value0.5200 MYR
Upside-75.2%
Quality51/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 2.6% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (5/13)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: Medium Range 0.3900 MYR – 0.6500 MYR Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

A solid business, but screening 75% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.6500 MYR). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (51/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

3.58 MYR 0.2904 MYR Fair Value 0.5200 MYR Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.2904 MYR – 3.58 MYR · fair‑value band 0.3900 MYR – 0.6500 MYR · the 2.10 MYR price screens above the 0.5200 MYR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Chin Hin Group (5273) currently trades at 2.10 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.5200 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 75.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 51/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Chin Hin Group generated revenue of 4.1B MYR at a net margin of 2.6%. Revenue declined 2.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.0%. Net debt stands at 1.1B MYR. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.3900 MYR (bear case) to 0.6500 MYR (bull case); at 2.10 MYR, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at -75%, 5273 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 0.5900 MYR 1.06 MYR 1.97 MYR 80
Residual Income 0.2400 MYR 0.2800 MYR 0.5800 MYR 76
Rev-Margin DCF 0.7800 MYR 1.63 MYR 3.17 MYR 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 0.6300 MYR 0.9700 MYR 2.02 MYR 38
Owner Earnings 0.5000 MYR 1.11 MYR 2.33 MYR 31
5Y Revenue Exit 0.7800 MYR 1.43 MYR 2.79 MYR 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 0.7800 MYR 1.44 MYR 2.71 MYR 41
5Y P/E Exit 0.4700 MYR 0.9800 MYR 1.66 MYR 38
10Y Revenue Exit 0.7100 MYR 1.71 MYR 2.43 MYR 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 0.7500 MYR 1.72 MYR 3.49 MYR 37
10Y P/E Exit 0.5200 MYR 1.06 MYR 1.96 MYR 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.2100 MYR 1.45 MYR 2.04 MYR 54
Lynch FV 0.5300 MYR 0.7500 MYR 0.9800 MYR 50
PEG = 1.0 0.5300 MYR 0.7500 MYR 0.9800 MYR 46
EPV 0.5200 MYR 0.6000 MYR 0.6700 MYR 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 0.0100 MYR 0.0100 MYR 0.0200 MYR 70
DDM Multi-Stage 0.0100 MYR 0.0100 MYR 0.0200 MYR 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.3900 MYR 0.5200 MYR 0.6500 MYR 63
P/S Multiple 0.3900 MYR 0.5200 MYR 0.6500 MYR 58
P/B Multiple 0.3900 MYR 0.5200 MYR 0.6500 MYR 55
EV/EBIT 0.8800 MYR 1.17 MYR 1.46 MYR 53
EV/EBITDA 0.8200 MYR 1.10 MYR 1.37 MYR 54
EV/Revenue 0.7600 MYR 1.09 MYR 1.41 MYR 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.1300 MYR 0.1800 MYR 0.2700 MYR 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 0.5900 MYR 1.06 MYR 1.97 MYR 80
Rev-Margin DCF 0.7800 MYR 1.63 MYR 3.17 MYR 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.2400 MYR 0.2800 MYR 0.5800 MYR 76
ROIC Compounder 0.6600 MYR 0.9900 MYR 1.28 MYR 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.6300 MYR 0.9000 MYR 1.17 MYR 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (1.11 MYR) versus Dividend Discount (0.0100 MYR). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 4.1B MYR
Revenue growth (YoY) -2.1%
Net margin 2.6%
Return on equity 12.0%
Free cash flow 139M MYR FY2025
P/E ratio 70.0
More key figures
Operating margin 8.1%
EPS (TTM) 0.0300 MYR
EPS growth (YoY) +4.1%
Net debt 1.1B MYR FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 51/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 68
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 51
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 35
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 89
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 26
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Chin Hin Group Berhad provides building materials and services. It operates through Investment Holding and Management Services; Distribution of Building Materials and Provision of Logistics; Ready-Mixed Concrete; Manufacturing of AAC and Precast Concrete Products; Manufacturing of Wire Mesh; Modular Building Solutions; Sanitaryware and Bathroom Fittings …

Full company description

Chin Hin Group Berhad provides building materials and services. It operates through Investment Holding and Management Services; Distribution of Building Materials and Provision of Logistics; Ready-Mixed Concrete; Manufacturing of AAC and Precast Concrete Products; Manufacturing of Wire Mesh; Modular Building Solutions; Sanitaryware and Bathroom Fittings Solutions; Manufacturing of Safety Glass Door, Frame and Metal Roofing; Commercial Vehicles and Bodyworks; Interior Fit-Out Works; Property Development; Construction; and Others segments. The company provides management, transportation, and fleet management services; precast concrete, plaster, and mortar products; wire mesh products; prefabricated metal buildings; vehicle body works; electronic components; pipes; building and general construction services; solar renewable energy generation; and industrialized building system components, such as wall panels, beams, columns, and slabs. It trades in construction building materials, hardware, plumbing, heating equipment, and NEC products; ready-mixed and polymer concrete; sanitaryware and fittings; and water heater, bathroom accessories, and other related equipment. In addition, the company manufactures and distributes safety glass doors, frames, and metal roofings; rebuilt and new commercial vehicles; paints; and metal roll forming and glass products, as well as provides fleet management, and interior design and build services. Further, it is involved in e-commerce digital marketing, online advertising, and software programming; property holding and development; rental of commercial vehicles and investment properties; and rental and repair of plants, forklifts, heavy equipment, machineries, component parts, attachments, and accessories. Additionally, the company designs, markets, and distributes kitchen and wardrobe systems, built-in kitchen appliances, and bedroom cabinets. The company was founded in 1974 and is headquartered in Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Chin Hin Group reported revenue of 4.1B MYR in FY2025 versus 1.2B MYR in FY2021, a compound +37.2%/yr. Reported net income was 108M MYR in FY2025, compounding +37.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
4.1B MYR
Latest YoY
+97.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+35.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+33.3%
Avg. growth/yr (10Y)
+13.0%
Revenue +37.2%/yr
FY21 1.2B MYR
FY22 1.6B MYR
FY23 3.2B MYR
FY24 2.1B MYR
FY25 4.1B MYR
Net income +37.1%/yr
FY21 30.7M MYR
FY22 96.8M MYR
FY23 117M MYR
FY24 146M MYR
FY25 108M MYR

5273 screens 75% overvalued. Compare with CRH plc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Chin Hin Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5273

Peer Group

Building Materials · 254 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −75% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Revenue growth -2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.58× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Building Materials median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 70.0× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 1.91× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.45× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 13.1× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.4× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 28
FUTURE 0 · sector 2
PAST 48 · sector 15
HEALTH 71 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 42

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Building Materials stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
CRH plc CRH $102.92 $70.57 -31%
UltraTech Cement Limited ULTRACEMCO ₹11,711 ₹4,719 -60%
China Jushi Co 600176 ¥54.52 ¥13.95 -74%
Grasim Industries Limited GRASIM ₹3,073 ₹1,245 -59%
CEMEX, S.A. CEMEXCPO 21.71 MXN 15.42 MXN -29%
Anhui Conch Cement Company 600585 ¥16.99 ¥26.14 +54%
Ambuja Cements Limited AMBUJACEM ₹435.25 ₹227.96 -48%
Shree Cement Limited SHREECEM ₹26,930 ₹8,215 -69%
TCC Group 1101B 43.70 TWD 10.48 TWD -76%
Taiwan Glass Ind. Corp 1802 53.30 TWD 13.98 TWD -74%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Chin Hin Group (5273) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.5200 MYR versus a price of 2.10 MYR, about −75% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of 5273?
Our model-based fair value for Chin Hin Group is 0.5200 MYR (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 2.10 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5273?
Chin Hin Group has a Quality Score of 51/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Chin Hin Group (5273)?
Chin Hin Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 4.1B MYR (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of 5273?
The net profit margin of Chin Hin Group is about 2.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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