Advancecon Holdings Bhd (5281) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Advancecon Holdings Bhd MYR 0.25, price MYR 0.18, upside +38.9%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.1750 MYR – 0.4450 MYR · fair‑value band 0.1900 MYR – 0.3100 MYR · the 0.1800 MYR price screens below the 0.2500 MYR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Advancecon Holdings Berhad, together with its subsidiaries, provides earthworks and civil engineering services in Malaysia. The company operates through five segments: Construction and Support Services; Property Investments; Green Energy; Quarry Operations; and Property Development.
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Advancecon Holdings Berhad, together with its subsidiaries, provides earthworks and civil engineering services in Malaysia. The company operates through five segments: Construction and Support Services; Property Investments; Green Energy; Quarry Operations; and Property Development. The Construction and Support Services segment is involved in earthworks and civil engineering. The Property Investments segment engages in sales of investment properties for capital gain and rental of investment properties. The Green Energy segment develops and operates power generation from renewable energy, solar, and other renewable energy projects. The Quarry Operations segment operates contracted quarry. The Property Development is involved in involved in the development of industrial park and provides workers' dormitory/accommodation services. It is also involved in the sale of construction materials; sale of quarry and premix products; provides port services; hires earth-moving machineries and transportation agent; supply of labour; and contracting in all types of construction works and other related businesses. In addition, the company offers civil engineering services, construction of main drains, road works, sewerage systems and hiring services of heavy machinery and equipment. Advancecon Holdings Berhad was incorporated in 1997 and is headquartered in Petaling Jaya, Malaysia.
Stock analysis
Advancecon Holdings Bhd (5281) currently trades at 0.1800 MYR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.2500 MYR, implying the stock looks roughly 28.0% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 0.4200 MYR per share, and 22 of the 24 models we run sit above the 0.1800 MYR price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.0900 MYR, and 2 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.1900 MYR (bear) to 0.3100 MYR (bull), the price of 0.1800 MYR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Advancecon Holdings Bhd reported revenue of 423M MYR in FY2025 versus 271M MYR in FY2021, a compound +11.8%/yr. Reported net income was 6.7M MYR in FY2025, compounding +34.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 102M MYR (≈ $25.0M) · P/E ratio 18.0 · P/S ratio 0.28 · EPS (TTM) 0.0100 MYR · Net margin 1.6% · Return on equity 3.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.8% · Operating margin 5.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −31% fair-value upside, at 39%, 5281 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.1900 MYRFair Value 0.2500 MYRBull 0.3100 MYR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0073 MYR per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.78/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+10.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.8% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in MYR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in MYR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+17.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+17.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.17% vs −16%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → 6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+24.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Malaysia: IMF forecast 2.0% a year to 2030, 1.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +21.9% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 839 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside+39% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)3% · Below median
Return on assets2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM)2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.60× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Advancecon Holdings Bhd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5281
Frequently asked questions
Is Advancecon Holdings Bhd (5281) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.2500 MYR versus a price of 0.1800 MYR, about +39% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5281?
Our model-based fair value for Advancecon Holdings Bhd is 0.2500 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.1800 MYR.
What is the quality score of 5281?
Advancecon Holdings Bhd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Advancecon Holdings Bhd (5281)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.2500 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.1900 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.3100 MYR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Advancecon Holdings Bhd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.2500 MYR, about +39% upside versus a price of 0.1800 MYR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 0.1900 MYR, optimistic scenario 0.3100 MYR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Advancecon Holdings Bhd (5281)?
Advancecon Holdings Bhd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 420M MYR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Advancecon Holdings Bhd (5281)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Advancecon Holdings Bhd would have to grow free cash flow by +24.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +11.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5281 use?
Our models discount Advancecon Holdings Bhd at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.11, country premium for Malaysia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Advancecon Holdings Bhd that is +24.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Advancecon Holdings Bhd (5281) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Advancecon Holdings Bhd grew +11.1 % a year. The price currently implies +24.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Advancecon Holdings Bhd (5281) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Advancecon Holdings Bhd (+24.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Advancecon Holdings Bhd (5281)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.71 %: that much free cash flow Advancecon Holdings Bhd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Advancecon Holdings Bhd (5281)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Advancecon Holdings Bhd it is 0.2500 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 0.1800 MYR. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Advancecon Holdings Bhd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 5281 trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.1800 MYR, fair value 0.2500 MYR, a gap of about +39% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5281?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.1800 MYR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.2500 MYR). For Advancecon Holdings Bhd the two are 0.0700 MYR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Advancecon Holdings Bhd worth?
The market values Advancecon Holdings Bhd at about 102M MYR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 0.1800 MYR; our models calculate a fair value of 0.2500 MYR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5281?
Our models span a range for Advancecon Holdings Bhd: cautious scenario 0.1900 MYR, base 0.2500 MYR, optimistic 0.3100 MYR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 0.1800 MYR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 5281?
Advancecon Holdings Bhd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.2500 MYR is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.2, EV/EBITDA 3.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Advancecon Holdings Bhd (5281)?
Balance-sheet figures for Advancecon Holdings Bhd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.3%, debt of 0.60 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5281 from its 52-week high?
Advancecon Holdings Bhd trades at 0.1800 MYR, about 14% below its 52-week high of 0.2100 MYR and 3% above the low of 0.1750 MYR (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.2500 MYR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Advancecon Holdings Bhd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Advancecon Holdings Bhd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 0.1800 MYR, calculated fair value 0.2500 MYR (+39%), Quality Score 49/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5281 calculated?
We run Advancecon Holdings Bhd through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.2500 MYR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Advancecon Holdings Bhd currently trades 39 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Advancecon Holdings Bhd (5281)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 0.1800 MYR. Our model-based fair value is 0.2500 MYR, about +39% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Advancecon Holdings Bhd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (0.1900 MYR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Advancecon Holdings Bhd
How large is the market capitalisation of Advancecon Holdings Bhd (5281)?
The market capitalisation of Advancecon Holdings Bhd is 102M MYR (≈ $25.0M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Advancecon Holdings Bhd (5281)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Advancecon Holdings Bhd is 0.28 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Advancecon Holdings Bhd (5281)?
Earnings per share at Advancecon Holdings Bhd are 0.0100 MYR (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Advancecon Holdings Bhd (5281)?
The net margin of Advancecon Holdings Bhd is 1.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Advancecon Holdings Bhd (5281)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Advancecon Holdings Bhd is 3.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Advancecon Holdings Bhd (5281)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Advancecon Holdings Bhd is −0.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Advancecon Holdings Bhd (5281)?
The operating margin of Advancecon Holdings Bhd is 5.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Advancecon Holdings Bhd (5281)?
Revenue at Advancecon Holdings Bhd is growing −3.7% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Advancecon Holdings Bhd (5281)?
Earnings per share at Advancecon Holdings Bhd are growing +89.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Advancecon Holdings Bhd (5281) carry?
The net debt of Advancecon Holdings Bhd is 191M MYR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 32.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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