Heran Co Ltd (5283) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Heran Co Ltd TWD 87.50, price TWD 53.00, upside +65.1%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 44.06 TWD – 152,605 TWD · fair‑value band 59.74 TWD – 118.51 TWD · the 53.00 TWD price screens below the 87.50 TWD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Heran Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells home appliances in Taiwan. It offers household, light commercial, commercial, and other air conditioners; liquid crystal products, LCD displays, and other electrical equipment.
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Heran Co., Ltd. manufactures and sells home appliances in Taiwan. It offers household, light commercial, commercial, and other air conditioners; liquid crystal products, LCD displays, and other electrical equipment. The company also engaged in the manufacturing of air conditioners and video boxes, refrigerator product manufacturing, as well as the wholesale and retail of electronic and electrical products; and TV shopping, and 3C channels. It offers its products under the HERAN brand. Heran Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2002 and is headquartered in Taoyuan City, Taiwan.
Stock analysis
Heran Co Ltd (5283) currently trades at 53.00 TWD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 87.50 TWD, implying the stock looks roughly 39.4% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 124.86 TWD per share, and 18 of the 25 models we run sit above the 53.00 TWD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 36.73 TWD, and 7 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 59.74 TWD (bear) to 118.51 TWD (bull), the price of 53.00 TWD sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Weak Growth: Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Heran Co Ltd reported revenue of 6.5B TWD in FY2025 versus 6.4B TWD in FY2021, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was 493M TWD in FY2025, compounding −10.8%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 4.6B TWD (≈ $146M) · P/E ratio 9.5 · P/S ratio 0.72 · EPS (TTM) 5.59 TWD · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 7.6% · Return on equity 11.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at −37% fair-value upside, at 65%, 5283 screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 59.74 TWDFair Value 87.50 TWDBull 118.51 TWD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (3.81 TWD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Growth has flattened: the last year, three and five years all grew more slowly than the long-term average.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +3.4% a year
Revenue growth 16 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+6.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in TWD ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in TWD: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−11.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−12.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−12% vs 0%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.20% → 8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+0.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Taiwan: IMF forecast 1.6% a year to 2030, 1.5% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −1.0% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Consumer Electronics · 128 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside+65% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)11% · Above median
Return on assets5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−1% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)0.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.07× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Consumer Electronics median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Heran Co Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/5283
Frequently asked questions
Is Heran Co Ltd (5283) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 87.50 TWD versus a price of 53.00 TWD, about +65% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5283?
Our model-based fair value for Heran Co Ltd is 87.50 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 53.00 TWD.
What is the quality score of 5283?
Heran Co Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Heran Co Ltd (5283)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 87.50 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario 59.74 TWD, optimistic scenario 118.51 TWD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Heran Co Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 87.50 TWD, about +65% upside versus a price of 53.00 TWD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 59.74 TWD, optimistic scenario 118.51 TWD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Heran Co Ltd (5283)?
Heran Co Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 6.4B TWD (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Heran Co Ltd pay a dividend?
Heran Co Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.75% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Heran Co Ltd (5283)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Heran Co Ltd would have to grow free cash flow by +0.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +1.4 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5283 use?
Our models discount Heran Co Ltd at 11.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.23, country premium for Taiwan. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Heran Co Ltd that is +0.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Heran Co Ltd (5283) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Heran Co Ltd grew +1.4 % a year. The price currently implies +0.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Heran Co Ltd (5283) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.1 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Heran Co Ltd (+0.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Heran Co Ltd (5283)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.02 %: that much free cash flow Heran Co Ltd produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Heran Co Ltd (5283)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Heran Co Ltd it is 87.50 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 53.00 TWD. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Heran Co Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, 5283 trades below its calculated fair value: price 53.00 TWD, fair value 87.50 TWD, a gap of about +65% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5283?
No. The price is what the market pays today (53.00 TWD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (87.50 TWD). For Heran Co Ltd the two are 34.50 TWD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Heran Co Ltd worth?
The market values Heran Co Ltd at about 4.6B TWD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 53.00 TWD; our models calculate a fair value of 87.50 TWD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5283?
Our models span a range for Heran Co Ltd: cautious scenario 59.74 TWD, base 87.50 TWD, optimistic 118.51 TWD per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 53.00 TWD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 5283?
Heran Co Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.5 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 87.50 TWD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.0, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 6.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Heran Co Ltd (5283)?
Balance-sheet figures for Heran Co Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 11.3%, debt of 0.07 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5283 from its 52-week high?
Heran Co Ltd trades at 53.00 TWD, about 6% below its 52-week high of 56.30 TWD and 20% above the low of 44.06 TWD (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 87.50 TWD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Heran Co Ltd?
From the same area (Technology) we also value Samsung Electronics Co, Sony Group, Xiaomi Corporation, LG Electronics Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Heran Co Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 53.00 TWD, calculated fair value 87.50 TWD (+65%), Quality Score 52/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5283 calculated?
We run Heran Co Ltd through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 87.50 TWD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Heran Co Ltd currently trades 65 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Heran Co Ltd (5283)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was 53.00 TWD. Our model-based fair value is 87.50 TWD, about +65% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Heran Co Ltd right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (59.74 TWD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (59.74 TWD to 118.51 TWD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Heran Co Ltd (5283) come from?
Earnings per share at Heran Co Ltd grew +0.1 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +1.4 %, EBIT margin −2.7 %, tax rate −0.3 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +1.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Heran Co Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Heran Co Ltd (5283)?
The market capitalisation of Heran Co Ltd is 4.6B TWD (≈ $146M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Heran Co Ltd (5283)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Heran Co Ltd is 0.72 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Heran Co Ltd (5283)?
Earnings per share at Heran Co Ltd are 5.59 TWD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Heran Co Ltd (5283)?
The dividend yield of Heran Co Ltd is 0.8% (payout 7.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Heran Co Ltd (5283)?
The net margin of Heran Co Ltd is 7.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Heran Co Ltd (5283)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Heran Co Ltd is 11.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Heran Co Ltd (5283)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Heran Co Ltd is 10.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Heran Co Ltd (5283)?
The operating margin of Heran Co Ltd is −0.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Heran Co Ltd (5283)?
Revenue at Heran Co Ltd is growing −3.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Heran Co Ltd (5283)?
Earnings per share at Heran Co Ltd are growing +73.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Heran Co Ltd (5283) carry?
The net debt of Heran Co Ltd is 187M TWD (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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