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Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited (532811) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited ₹591, price ₹557, upside +6.2%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? Yes
Good quality? No
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Industrials · IN · ISIN INE758C01029

AC Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited

532811 · BSE

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value ₹591.47 · Fairly valued (+6.2%)

!Quality 49/100

✓Healthy Growth (revenue 5y +16.8 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 2.8% net margin (TTM)

✓Low debt

·9.6% dividend yield · Safety not assessed

!Narrow moat 34/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

26 models, one by oneBear ₹362.82 to bull ₹768.91 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 49/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹298.27 – ₹1,494 · fair‑value band ₹362.82 – ₹768.91 · the ₹556.90 price screens below the ₹591.47 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a construction company in India. The company operates through Construction Contract, Lease Rental, and Others segments. Its project portfolio includes residential and commercial properties, institutional properties, corporate offices, power plants, hospitals, hotels, IT parks, metro stations and depots, automated car parking lots, and other properties caters to government and private clients. The company also leases a commercial complex in bus terminal and depot at Kota, Rajasthan; and trades in real estate properties. Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited was founded in 1965 and is based in New Delhi, India.

Stock analysis

Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited (532811) currently trades at ₹556.90, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹591.47, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 5.8%).

Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹591.47 per share, and 12 of the 26 models we run sit above the ₹556.90 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹179.88, and 14 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: ₹362.82 (bear) to ₹768.91 (bull), the price of ₹556.90 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited reported revenue of ₹41.0B in FY2025 versus ₹19.8B in FY2021, a compound +19.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹2.0B in FY2025, compounding +27.2%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap ₹15.0B (≈ $156M) · P/E ratio 30.2 · P/S ratio 1.49 · EPS (TTM) ₹7.14 · Dividend yield 9.6% · Net margin 4.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.2% · Operating margin 5.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 47% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 6%, 532811 screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹362.82 Fair Value ₹591.47 Bull ₹768.91

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹7.14 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

FCF DCF ₹283.42 ₹436.33 ₹660.14 79

Growth DCF ₹278.05 ₹408.26 ₹584.33 78

Owner Earnings ₹155.29 ₹228.51 ₹335.68 76

All 26 models by family

DCF Models

FCF DCF ₹283.42 ₹436.33 ₹660.14 79

Owner Earnings ₹155.29 ₹228.51 ₹335.68 76

5Y Revenue Exit ₹353.74 ₹608.20 ₹958.04 71

5Y EBITDA Exit ₹406.31 ₹717.77 ₹1,113 73

5Y P/E Exit ₹394.01 ₹692.13 ₹1,037 69

10Y Revenue Exit ₹309.63 ₹518.93 ₹845.86 65

10Y EBITDA Exit ₹349.15 ₹588.01 ₹958.23 66

10Y P/E Exit ₹342.13 ₹571.84 ₹903.11 62

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd ₹205.14 ₹995.22 ₹1,371 64

Lynch FV ₹266.50 ₹380.71 ₹494.92 61

PEG = 1.0 ₹266.50 ₹380.71 ₹494.92 57

EPV ₹296.95 ₹328.08 ₹353.34 74

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM ₹3.20 ₹5.37 ₹6.97 68

DDM Multi-Stage ₹3.20 ₹5.09 ₹5.78 67

Multiples

P/E Multiple ₹475.13 ₹633.51 ₹791.88 63

P/S Multiple ₹384.63 ₹512.84 ₹641.05 58

P/B Multiple ₹384.63 ₹512.84 ₹641.05 55

EV/EBIT ₹561.76 ₹736.48 ₹911.21 66

EV/EBITDA ₹535.41 ₹701.35 ₹867.29 67

EV/Revenue ₹411.70 ₹572.04 ₹732.37 54

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) ₹134.24 ₹179.88 ₹268.47 54

Growth DCF

Growth DCF ₹278.05 ₹408.26 ₹584.33 78

Rev-Margin DCF ₹353.74 ₹600.00 ₹922.07 71

Economic Profit

Residual Income ₹219.32 ₹235.74 ₹280.58 76

ROIC Compounder ₹307.13 ₹368.98 ₹445.47 72

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E ₹414.03 ₹591.47 ₹768.91 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 21

Profitability 48

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 22

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 48

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 78

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 29

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 55

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 9

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 1

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 82

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 85/100

Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Revenue growth 1 year

+6.3%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+15.0%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+16.8%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +14.5% a year

Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+14.1%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.

+30.8%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year+21.2%

Dividend (yield on the price)9.6%

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 7%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Engineering & Construction · 789 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures

A mixed picture versus its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 49 · Below median

Fair Value upside +6.9% · Above median

Profitability

Return on assets 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Net margin (TTM) 2.8% · Below median

Operating margin (TTM) 5.4% · Above median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth −21.1% · Bottom 25%

Dividend yield (TTM) 9.6% · Top 25%

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.00× · Lowest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Engineering & Construction median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 30.2× · Pricier than median

P/B 0.83× · Cheaper than median

P/S (TTM) 0.87× · Pricier than median

EV/EBITDA 9.9× · Pricier than median

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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Samsung C&T Corporation 028260	367,000 KRW	159,718 KRW	−56%
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HOCHTIEF Aktiengesellschaft HOT	€407.40	€203.86	−50%
EMCOR Group EME	$769.03	$525.05	−32%
ACS, Actividades de Construcción y Servicios, S.A ACS	€95.00	€62.20	−35%
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Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited · Fair Value
₹591.47 +6%Fair Value
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<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/532811" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">₹591.47</b> <span style="color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;font-size:14px">+6%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/532811

Frequently asked questions

Is Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited (532811) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹591.47 versus a price of ₹556.90, about +6% upside (fairly valued).

What is the fair value of 532811?

Our model-based fair value for Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited is ₹591.47 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹556.90.

What is the quality score of 532811?

Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited (532811)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹591.47 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹362.82, optimistic scenario ₹768.91. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at ₹591.47, about +6% upside versus a price of ₹556.90 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario ₹362.82, optimistic scenario ₹768.91. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited (532811)?

Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹17.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).

Does Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited pay a dividend?

Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 9.55% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited (532811)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited it is ₹591.47 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of ₹556.90. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 24, 2026, 532811 trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹556.90, fair value ₹591.47, a gap of about +6% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of 532811?

No. The price is what the market pays today (₹556.90); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹591.47). For Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited the two are ₹34.57 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited worth?

The market values Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited at about ₹15.0B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is ₹556.90; our models calculate a fair value of ₹591.47 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 532811?

Our models span a range for Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited: cautious scenario ₹362.82, base ₹591.47, optimistic ₹768.91 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price ₹556.90). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of 532811?

Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 30.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹591.47 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.9, EV/EBITDA 9.9.

How solid is the balance sheet of Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited (532811)?

Balance-sheet figures for Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is 532811 from its 52-week high?

Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited trades at ₹556.90, about 47% below its 52-week high of ₹1,055 and 1% above the low of ₹549.25 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹591.47 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited?

From the same area (Industrials) we also value Quanta Services, Inc, Vinci SA, Comfort Systems USA, Inc, Larsen & Toubro Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price ₹556.90, calculated fair value ₹591.47 (+6%), Quality Score 49/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of 532811 calculated?

We run Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹591.47, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited currently trades 6 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited (532811)?

The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹556.90. Our model-based fair value is ₹591.47, about +6% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited right now?

The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range (₹362.82 to ₹768.91) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited (532811)?

The market capitalisation of Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited is ₹15.0B (≈ $156M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited (532811)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited is 1.49 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited (532811)?

Earnings per share at Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited are ₹7.14 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 30.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited (532811)?

The dividend yield of Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited is 9.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited (532811)?

The net margin of Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited is 4.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited (532811)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited is 10.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited (532811)?

The operating margin of Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited is 5.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited (532811)?

Revenue at Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited is growing −21.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +15.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited (532811)?

Earnings per share at Ahluwalia Contracts (India) Limited are growing −57.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

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