NPC Incorporated (59N) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 26, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of NPC Incorporated stock €6.91, price €3.53, upside +95.7%, quality 68 out of 100. Rating: strongly undervalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Fair value above price?Yes
Good quality?Yes
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €2.54 – €7.27 · fair‑value band €4.83 – €8.98 · the €3.53 price screens below the €6.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 21, 2026.
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NPC Incorporated engages in the machinery and environmental businesses. The company researches and develops, and sells various equipment, including automated machines for automobile, electric, precision machine, film, medicine, electronic parts, and logistics industries.
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It also offers photovoltaic (PV) module manufacturing equipment, including cell testers, tabbing and stringing machines, layup machines, tape applicator, bussing machine, glass/sheet feeding machine, vacuum laminator, trimming machine, framing machine, j-box attachment/soldering/potting, inspection device, repair station, and buffer; vacuum bonding machines; and vacuum insulation panels sealing machines, etc.
In addition, the company provides products and services related to PV panel inspection service, PV panel inspection device, PV panel reuse/recycling, PV panel disassembly equipment, etc. Further, the company sells vegetables cultivated in plant factory using artificial light.
NPC Incorporated was incorporated in 1992 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
NPC Incorporated (59N) currently trades at €3.53, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €6.91, implying the stock looks roughly 48.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €7.54 per share, and 20 of the 26 models we run sit above the €3.53 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €2.05, and 6 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €4.83 (bear) to €8.98 (bull), the price of €3.53 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
NPC Incorporated reported revenue of ¥9.3B in FY2025 versus ¥5.2B in FY2021, a compound +15.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥1.3B in FY2025, compounding +34.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap €76.3M Micro · P/E ratio 16.8 · P/S ratio 2.40 · EPS (TTM) €0.2100 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 14.3% · Return on equity 7.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −45% fair-value upside, at 96%, 59N screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear€4.83Fair Value €6.91Bull€8.98
Price €3.53 · Upside +95.7%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.1532 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.63/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −0.1% a year
Revenue growth 11 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+16.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+14.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 21%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−10.5%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −12.3% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Industrial Machinery · 810 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score68 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+95.7% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)7.8% · Above median
Return on assets10.3% · Top 25%
Net margin (12 months)11.1% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)4.4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−19.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.6% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Industrial Machinery median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "NPC Incorporated Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/59N
Frequently asked questions
Is NPC Incorporated (59N) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €6.91 versus a price of €3.53, about +96% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 59N?
Our model-based fair value for NPC Incorporated is €6.91 (as of Oct 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €3.53.
What is the quality score of 59N?
NPC Incorporated has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for NPC Incorporated (59N)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €6.91 (as of Oct 21, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario €4.83, optimistic scenario €8.98. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the NPC Incorporated stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €6.91, about +96% upside versus a price of €3.53 (undervalued). Cautious scenario €4.83, optimistic scenario €8.98. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of NPC Incorporated (59N)?
NPC Incorporated reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥7.1B (latest available figure, as of Oct 21, 2026).
Does NPC Incorporated pay a dividend?
NPC Incorporated currently shows a dividend yield of 1.61% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 21, 2026).
What growth is priced into NPC Incorporated (59N)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, NPC Incorporated would have to grow free cash flow by -10.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +3.2 % per year. As of Oct 21, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 59N use?
Our models discount NPC Incorporated at 12.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 1.04, country premium for Germany. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For NPC Incorporated that is -10.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has NPC Incorporated (59N) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at NPC Incorporated grew +3.2 % a year. The price currently implies -10.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of NPC Incorporated (59N) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into NPC Incorporated (-10.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of NPC Incorporated (59N)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.51 %: that much free cash flow NPC Incorporated produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of NPC Incorporated (59N)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For NPC Incorporated it is €6.91 per share (as of Oct 21, 2026), against a price of €3.53. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is NPC Incorporated stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 21, 2026, 59N trades below its calculated fair value: price €3.53, fair value €6.91, a gap of about +96% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 59N?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€3.53); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€6.91). For NPC Incorporated the two are €3.38 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is NPC Incorporated worth?
The market values NPC Incorporated at about €76.3M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 21, 2026). Per share that is €3.53; our models calculate a fair value of €6.91 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 59N?
Our models span a range for NPC Incorporated: cautious scenario €4.83, base €6.91, optimistic €8.98 per share (as of Oct 21, 2026, price €3.53). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 59N?
NPC Incorporated trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.8 (as of Oct 21, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €6.91 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 1.9, EV/EBITDA 4.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of NPC Incorporated (59N)?
Balance-sheet figures for NPC Incorporated (as of Oct 21, 2026): return on equity 7.8%. They feed the Quality Score of 68/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 59N from its 52-week high?
NPC Incorporated trades at €3.53, about 20% below its 52-week high of €4.41 and 20% above the low of €2.94 (as of Oct 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €6.91 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to NPC Incorporated?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value GE Vernova Inc, SIE, Eaton Corporation, Parker-Hannifin Corporation, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is NPC Incorporated stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 21, 2026: price €3.53, calculated fair value €6.91 (+96%), Quality Score 68/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 59N calculated?
We run NPC Incorporated through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €6.91, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 12.7 % above its aggregate fair value. NPC Incorporated currently trades 49 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of NPC Incorporated (59N)?
The closing price on Oct 26, 2026 was €3.53. Our model-based fair value is €6.91, about +96% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with NPC Incorporated right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (€4.83). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (€4.83 to €8.98) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of NPC Incorporated
How large is the market capitalisation of NPC Incorporated (59N)?
The market capitalisation of NPC Incorporated is €76.3M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of NPC Incorporated (59N)?
The price-to-sales ratio of NPC Incorporated is 2.40 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of NPC Incorporated (59N)?
Earnings per share at NPC Incorporated are €0.2100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of NPC Incorporated (59N)?
The dividend yield of NPC Incorporated is 1.6% (payout 27.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of NPC Incorporated (59N)?
The net margin of NPC Incorporated is 14.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of NPC Incorporated (59N)?
The return on equity (ROE) of NPC Incorporated is 7.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of NPC Incorporated (59N)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of NPC Incorporated is 10.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of NPC Incorporated (59N)?
The operating margin of NPC Incorporated is 4.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at NPC Incorporated (59N)?
Revenue at NPC Incorporated is growing −19.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +28.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at NPC Incorporated (59N)?
Earnings per share at NPC Incorporated are growing −14.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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Broad data
Oct 21, 2026