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SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. (5GD) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. S$1.36, price S$0.58, upside +136.5%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Utilities · SG · ISIN BMG8585U1027

SG Thin data Sep 27, 2026

SUNPOWER GROUP LTD.

5GD · SG

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value 1.36 SGD · Strongly undervalued (+136.5%)
!Quality 59/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −3.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.4% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓Ranks above peers (10/13)
!Moderate moat 60/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

0.7410 SGD 0.1950 SGD Fair Value 1.36 SGD Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.1950 SGD – 0.7410 SGD · fair‑value band 1.09 SGD – 1.81 SGD · the 0.5750 SGD price screens below the 1.36 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Sunpower Group Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the investment, development, and operation of centralized heat, steam, and electricity generation plants in the People's Republic of China.

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Sunpower Group Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the investment, development, and operation of centralized heat, steam, and electricity generation plants in the People's Republic of China. It involves investment in clean energy business; production and supply of heat and electricity; central heating and power generation; thermal production and supply; energy-saving and environmental protection technology research; supply of steam, heat gas, and electricity; provision of steam to industrial enterprises; and sale of electricity. The company also focused on clean energy in economically developed regions and industrial clusters. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Nanjing, the People's Republic of China.

Stock analysis

SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. (5GD) currently trades at 0.5750 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.36 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 57.7% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of 1.88 SGD per share, and 20 of the 23 models we run sit above the 0.5750 SGD price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.3600 SGD, and 3 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: 1.09 SGD (bear) to 1.81 SGD (bull), the price of 0.5750 SGD sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. reported revenue of 3.3B CNY in FY2025 versus 2.9B CNY in FY2021, a compound +3.5%/yr. Reported net income was 313M CNY in FY2025, compounding −21.7%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 459M SGD (≈ $358M) · P/E ratio 9.6 · P/S ratio 0.90 · EPS (TTM) 0.0600 SGD · Net margin 9.4% · Return on equity 15.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.0% · Operating margin 23.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at −32% fair-value upside, at 137%, 5GD screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear 1.09 SGD Fair Value 1.36 SGD Bull 1.81 SGD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0452 SGD per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 1.46 SGD 2.13 SGD 3.00 SGD 81
Growth DCF 1.48 SGD 2.08 SGD 2.81 SGD 79
Owner Earnings 1.01 SGD 1.52 SGD 2.16 SGD 76
All 23 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 1.46 SGD 2.13 SGD 3.00 SGD 81
Owner Earnings 1.01 SGD 1.52 SGD 2.16 SGD 76
5Y Revenue Exit 1.17 SGD 1.85 SGD 2.69 SGD 72
5Y EBITDA Exit 1.38 SGD 2.23 SGD 3.18 SGD 75
5Y P/E Exit 0.9300 SGD 1.41 SGD 1.89 SGD 71
10Y Revenue Exit 1.24 SGD 1.84 SGD 2.59 SGD 67
10Y EBITDA Exit 1.39 SGD 2.08 SGD 2.92 SGD 68
10Y P/E Exit 1.13 SGD 1.57 SGD 2.05 SGD 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 0.4900 SGD 1.31 SGD 1.71 SGD 65
PEG = 1.0 0.2500 SGD 0.3600 SGD 0.4700 SGD 57
EPV 1.04 SGD 1.22 SGD 1.37 SGD 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple 0.9800 SGD 1.30 SGD 1.63 SGD 63
P/S Multiple 0.9200 SGD 1.23 SGD 1.54 SGD 58
P/B Multiple 0.7300 SGD 0.9800 SGD 1.22 SGD 55
EV/EBIT 1.78 SGD 2.48 SGD 3.17 SGD 66
EV/EBITDA 1.55 SGD 2.17 SGD 2.79 SGD 67
EV/Revenue 1.06 SGD 1.64 SGD 2.22 SGD 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.2700 SGD 0.3600 SGD 0.5400 SGD 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 1.48 SGD 2.08 SGD 2.81 SGD 79
Rev-Margin DCF 1.17 SGD 1.88 SGD 2.66 SGD 72
Economic Profit
Residual Income 0.4900 SGD 0.5700 SGD 0.7200 SGD 71
ROIC Compounder 1.09 SGD 1.36 SGD 1.64 SGD 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 0.7800 SGD 1.11 SGD 1.45 SGD 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 59/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 87
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 22
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 77
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 55
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 66
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 66
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +8.8% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.2%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
≈ +7.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.15% → 24%
⚠ Rate on operating basis: 2025 sits 125% above its own trend.

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−3.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −5.4% a year for the price.

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 73 stocks

Beats the industry median on 10/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 59 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +136.5% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 15.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6.0% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 9.4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 23.4% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −14.9% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.94× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.6× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.03× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM) 0.72× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 3.6× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 3.5× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 1.43× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 28
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 0
PAST (return on equity)63 · sector 35
HEALTH (low debt)53 · sector 71
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 54

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Constellation Energy Corporation CEG $254.02 $92.53 −64%
Vistra Corp VST $140.83 $20.60 −85%
Adani Power Limited ADANIPOWER ₹202.75 ₹75.57 −63%
CGN Power Co 003816 ¥4.19 ¥2.18 −48%
Gulf Development Public Company GULF 60.75 THB 66.83 THB +10%
NRG Energy, Inc NRG $100.37 $74.44 −26%
Adani Energy Solutions Limited ADANIENSOL ₹1,339 ₹335.95 −75%
Huaneng Power International, Inc 600011 ¥6.74 ¥9.10 +35%
Datang International Power Generation Co 601991 ¥5.36 ¥3.65 −32%
China Resources Power Holdings 0836 HK$18.99 HK$36.45 +92%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. (5GD) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.36 SGD versus a price of 0.5750 SGD, about +137% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of 5GD?
Our model-based fair value for SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. is 1.36 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.5750 SGD.
What is the quality score of 5GD?
SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. (5GD)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.36 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario 1.09 SGD, optimistic scenario 1.81 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.36 SGD, about +137% upside versus a price of 0.5750 SGD (undervalued). Cautious scenario 1.09 SGD, optimistic scenario 1.81 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. (5GD)?
SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 3.3B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. (5GD)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. would have to grow free cash flow by -3.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -3.8 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5GD use?
Our models discount SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. at 11.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.00, country premium for Singapore. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. that is -3.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. (5GD) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. grew -3.8 % a year. The price currently implies -3.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. (5GD) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. (-3.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. (5GD)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 27.63 %: that much free cash flow SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. (5GD)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. it is 1.36 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 0.5750 SGD. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 5GD trades below its calculated fair value: price 0.5750 SGD, fair value 1.36 SGD, a gap of about +137% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5GD?
No. The price is what the market pays today (0.5750 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.36 SGD). For SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. the two are 0.7850 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. worth?
The market values SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. at about 459M SGD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 0.5750 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 1.36 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5GD?
Our models span a range for SUNPOWER GROUP LTD.: cautious scenario 1.09 SGD, base 1.36 SGD, optimistic 1.81 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 0.5750 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 5GD?
SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.6 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1.36 SGD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.4, P/B 1.0, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 3.5.
What is the PEG ratio of 5GD?
The PEG ratio of SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. is 1.43 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 27, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. (5GD)?
Balance-sheet figures for SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 15.7%, debt of 0.94 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5GD from its 52-week high?
SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. trades at 0.5750 SGD, about 10% below its 52-week high of 0.6400 SGD and 37% above the low of 0.4200 SGD (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.36 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SUNPOWER GROUP LTD.?
From the same area (Utilities) we also value Constellation Energy Corporation, Vistra Corp, Adani Power Limited, CGN Power Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 0.5750 SGD, calculated fair value 1.36 SGD (+137%), Quality Score 59/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5GD calculated?
We run SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.36 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. currently trades 58 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. (5GD)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 0.5750 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 1.36 SGD, about +137% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (1.09 SGD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of SUNPOWER GROUP LTD.

How large is the market capitalisation of SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. (5GD)?
The market capitalisation of SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. is 459M SGD (≈ $358M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. (5GD)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. is 0.90 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. (5GD)?
Earnings per share at SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. are 0.0600 SGD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. (5GD)?
The net margin of SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. is 9.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. (5GD)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. is 15.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. (5GD)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. is 7.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. (5GD)?
The operating margin of SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. is 23.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. (5GD)?
Revenue at SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. is growing −14.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. (5GD)?
Earnings per share at SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. are growing +239% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. (5GD) carry?
The net debt of SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. is 3.0B CNY (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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