SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. (5GD) Fair Value & Analysis
Utilities · SG · Market cap 415M SGD
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 23 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +15.7% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 175% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (1.02 SGD). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (1.02 SGD to 2.20 SGD) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.1950 SGD – 0.8024 SGD · fair‑value band 1.02 SGD – 2.20 SGD · the 0.5900 SGD price screens below the 1.62 SGD fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. (5GD) currently trades at 0.5900 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.62 SGD, implying the stock looks roughly 174.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. generated revenue of 3.3B SGD at a net margin of 9.4%. Revenue declined 14.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.7%. Net debt stands at 3.0B SGD. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 1.02 SGD (bear case) to 2.20 SGD (bull case); at 0.5900 SGD, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 13% below its 52-week high and 168% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -55% fair-value upside, at 175%, 5GD screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 23 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth DCF (8.36 SGD) versus Asset-Based (1.91 SGD). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 71
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sunpower Group Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the investment, development, and operation of centralized heat, steam, and electricity generation plants in the People's Republic of China.
Full company description
Sunpower Group Ltd., an investment holding company, engages in the investment, development, and operation of centralized heat, steam, and electricity generation plants in the People's Republic of China. It involves investment in clean energy business; production and supply of heat and electricity; central heating and power generation; thermal production and supply; energy-saving and environmental protection technology research; supply of steam, heat gas, and electricity; provision of steam to industrial enterprises; and sale of electricity. The company also focused on clean energy in economically developed regions and industrial clusters. The company was founded in 1997 and is headquartered in Nanjing, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
SUNPOWER GROUP LTD. reported revenue of 3.3B SGD in FY2025 versus 2.9B SGD in FY2021, a compound +3.5%/yr. Reported net income was 313M SGD in FY2025, compounding −21.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
Utilities - Independent Power Producers · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Independent Power Producers median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Utilities - Independent Power Producers stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Constellation Energy Corporation CEG | $278.68 | $88.09 | -68% |
| Vistra Corp VST | $146.68 | $50.39 | -66% |
| Adani Power Limited ADANIPOWER | ₹206.10 | ₹75.57 | -63% |
| CGN Power Co 003816 | ¥3.93 | ¥2.79 | -29% |
| Gulf Development Public Company GULF | 65.00 THB | 39.25 THB | -40% |
| NRG Energy, Inc NRG | $120.66 | $53.91 | -55% |
| Adani Energy Solutions Limited ADANIENSOL | ₹1,583 | ₹342.02 | -78% |
| Talen Energy Corporation TLN | $365.07 | $43.55 | -88% |
| Datang International Power Generation Co 601991 | ¥6.29 | ¥4.95 | -21% |
| Power Assets Holdings 0006 | HK$57.30 | HK$30.76 | -46% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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