CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED (5TP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED S$1.24, price S$1.25, upside -0.9%, quality 82 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.1509 SGD – 1.99 SGD · fair‑value band 0.7490 SGD – 1.95 SGD · the 1.25 SGD price screens above the 1.24 SGD fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
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CNMC Goldmine Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the exploration and mining of gold deposits in Malaysia. The company also explores for silver, lead, and zinc deposits. Its flagship project is the Sokor Gold Field project, which covers an area of 2,370 acres located in Tanah Merah, Kelantan.
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CNMC Goldmine Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, engages in the exploration and mining of gold deposits in Malaysia. The company also explores for silver, lead, and zinc deposits. Its flagship project is the Sokor Gold Field project, which covers an area of 2,370 acres located in Tanah Merah, Kelantan. The company also provides mineral exploration, drilling, and underground mining services, as well as non-mining related services. CNMC Goldmine Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2006 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Stock analysis
CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED (5TP) currently trades at 1.25 SGD, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 1.24 SGD, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 0.9%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 4.29 SGD per share, and 19 of the 26 models we run sit above the 1.25 SGD price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at 0.1700 SGD, and 7 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.7490 SGD (bear) to 1.95 SGD (bull), the price of 1.25 SGD sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 82/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED reported revenue of $128M in FY2025 versus $32.9M in FY2021, a compound +40.6%/yr. Reported net income was $42.0M in FY2025, compounding +122.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 507M SGD (≈ $395M) · P/E ratio 9.6 · P/S ratio 3.15 · EPS (TTM) 0.1300 SGD · Dividend yield 0.7% · Net margin 32.7% · Return on equity 70.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 20.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −1%, 5TP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.7490 SGDFair Value 1.24 SGDBull 1.95 SGD
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0912 SGD per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.80/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+96.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+71.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+40.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +13.4% a year
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+18.6%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
≈ +69.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+68.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.7%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−22% → 51%
⚠ Approximate: the rate leans on 2025, which sits 925% above its own trend.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−6.2%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −8.4% a year for the price.
Compare CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Gold · 201 stocks
Beats the industry median on 12/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score82 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside+3.3% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)70.6% · Top 25%
Return on assets42.4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)32.7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)53.4% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth112.7% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.7% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Gold median · lower = cheaper
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Is CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED (5TP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 1.24 SGD versus a price of 1.25 SGD, about −1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of 5TP?
Our model-based fair value for CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED is 1.24 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.25 SGD.
What is the quality score of 5TP?
CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED has a Quality Score of 82/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED (5TP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 1.24 SGD (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.7490 SGD, optimistic scenario 1.95 SGD. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 1.24 SGD, about −1% upside versus a price of 1.25 SGD (fairly valued). Cautious scenario 0.7490 SGD, optimistic scenario 1.95 SGD. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED (5TP)?
CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $128M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED pay a dividend?
CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.72% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What growth is priced into CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED (5TP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED would have to grow free cash flow by -6.2 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +40.0 % per year. As of Sep 27, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of 5TP use?
Our models discount CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED at 10.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.91, country premium for Singapore. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED that is -6.2 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED (5TP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED grew +40.0 % a year. The price currently implies -6.2 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED (5TP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +6.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED (-6.2 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED (5TP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.03 %: that much free cash flow CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED (5TP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED it is 1.24 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of 1.25 SGD. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, 5TP trades above its calculated fair value: price 1.25 SGD, fair value 1.24 SGD, a gap of about −1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of 5TP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.25 SGD); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (1.24 SGD). For CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED the two are 0.0110 SGD per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED worth?
The market values CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED at about 507M SGD (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is 1.25 SGD; our models calculate a fair value of 1.24 SGD per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about 5TP?
Our models span a range for CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED: cautious scenario 0.7490 SGD, base 1.24 SGD, optimistic 1.95 SGD per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price 1.25 SGD). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of 5TP?
CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 9.6 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 1.24 SGD is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.7, P/S 3.0, EV/EBITDA 4.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED (5TP)?
Balance-sheet figures for CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 70.6%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 82/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is 5TP from its 52-week high?
CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED trades at 1.25 SGD, about 37% below its 52-week high of 1.99 SGD and 31% above the low of 0.9524 SGD (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 1.24 SGD is for.
Which stocks are comparable to CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Newmont Corporation, Zijin Mining Group, Agnico Eagle Mines Limited, Wheaton Precious Metals Corp, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price 1.25 SGD, calculated fair value 1.24 SGD (−1%), Quality Score 82/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of 5TP calculated?
We run CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 1.24 SGD, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED (5TP)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was 1.25 SGD. Our model-based fair value is 1.24 SGD, about −1% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED right now?
The model range is unusually wide (0.7490 SGD to 1.95 SGD). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED
How large is the market capitalisation of CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED (5TP)?
The market capitalisation of CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED is 507M SGD (≈ $395M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED (5TP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED is 3.15 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED (5TP)?
Earnings per share at CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED are 0.1300 SGD (price ÷ EPS = P/E 9.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED (5TP)?
The dividend yield of CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED is 0.7% (payout 6.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED (5TP)?
The net margin of CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED is 32.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED (5TP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED is 70.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED (5TP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED is 20.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED (5TP)?
The operating margin of CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED is 53.4% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED (5TP)?
Revenue at CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED is growing +113% versus a year earlier (3y avg +71.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED (5TP)?
Earnings per share at CNMC GOLDMINE HOLDINGS LIMITED are growing +384% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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